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Started By
Message
How does one go 0-12 on coin tosses?
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:33 am
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:33 am
Gotta be the craziest thing of the whole ordeal
13
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:34 am to Meauxjeaux
Not even God wanted BK here
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:37 am to Meauxjeaux
I wonder if records are kept for such things.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:40 am to Meauxjeaux
if my math is right...isn't that like 1/4000?
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:40 am to Meauxjeaux
Clearly shows your luck has run out.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:40 am to Meauxjeaux
It is a hell of a contradiction to the Martingale theory
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:41 am to Meauxjeaux
It’s just a quirky stat. We only won 2 in 2019 and had lost 8 straight before winning one.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:44 am to Meauxjeaux
That is a curse from the higher powers that be.
Was often wondering why we were almost always receiving the kick off
Was often wondering why we were almost always receiving the kick off
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:45 am to LSUfan4444
quote:
if my math is right...isn't that like 1/4000?
Yep.. 0.02% probability of losing 12 coin tosses in a row. Pretty incredible.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:46 am to LSUfan4444
Pretty close. 1 in 4,096 or so.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 9:51 am to Meauxjeaux
Les Miles has lost control of the laws of probability.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 11:48 am to lostinbr
quote:
Yep.. 0.02% probability of losing 12 coin tosses in a row. Pretty incredible.
Yeah, but probability is weird. It’s almost like Schrödinger’s Cat. If you’re talking about the math and looking ahead, saying “ok. There’s no way we lose 12 coin flips in a row because the total odds of that grouping of events is 1:4096,” that makes sense
But the reality of the situation is the events also exist in their own space each instance, and carry roughly a 1:2 odd. It’s just our human minds grouping the events together, but that’s not how reality works.
Past events do not dictate present probabilities.
This post was edited on 10/28/25 at 11:49 am
Posted on 10/28/25 at 11:50 am to Meauxjeaux
quote:
How does one go 0-12 on coin tosses?
I guess it didn't matter because Kelly is the only idiot who takes the ball first every game instead of deferring.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 11:56 am to Sev09
quote:
But the reality of the situation is the events also exist in their own space each instance, and carry roughly a 1:2 odd. It’s just our human minds grouping the events together, but that’s not how reality works.
Past events do not dictate present probabilities.
Yeah I’m aware. Technically the odds of losing 12 times in a row are the same as the odds of any other exact series of outcomes.
It’s still remarkably bad luck, though.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 11:57 am to Meauxjeaux
Bad Luck Brian
This post was edited on 10/28/25 at 11:58 am
Posted on 10/28/25 at 12:07 pm to LSUfan4444
Did we actually lose the toss 12 in a row; if so than yes about 1 in 4000.
Or were some of those won, but we elected to receive?
Or were some of those won, but we elected to receive?
Posted on 10/28/25 at 12:08 pm to Meauxjeaux
It's 50-50 each coin flip. It doesn't accumulate
Posted on 10/28/25 at 12:10 pm to Snuffleupagus
Posted on 10/28/25 at 12:11 pm to Meauxjeaux
quote:
How does one go 0-12 on coin tosses?
Even if CBK would have won a coin toss, he would have screwed that up too.
Posted on 10/28/25 at 12:13 pm to jasonbr1975
quote:
Even if CBK would have won a coin toss, he would have screwed that up too.
He won the OT coin toss against Bama in 2022 and played that one to perfection.
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