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ESPN FPI Rankings After Week 1
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:20 pm
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:20 pm
LINK
Don’t know what I am missing, but this is the same ESPN that is projecting LSU #1 in the playoffs.
The Updated ESPN FPI Rankings: Week 1 Edition
No. 1: Texas Longhorns
No. 2: Georgia Bulldogs
No. 3: Ohio State Buckeyes
No. 4: Ole Miss Rebels
No. 5: Penn State Nittany Lions
No 6: USC Trojans
No. 7: Oregon Ducks
No. 8. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
No. 9: Tennessee Volunteers
No. 10: LSU Tigers
Don’t know what I am missing, but this is the same ESPN that is projecting LSU #1 in the playoffs.
The Updated ESPN FPI Rankings: Week 1 Edition
No. 1: Texas Longhorns
No. 2: Georgia Bulldogs
No. 3: Ohio State Buckeyes
No. 4: Ole Miss Rebels
No. 5: Penn State Nittany Lions
No 6: USC Trojans
No. 7: Oregon Ducks
No. 8. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
No. 9: Tennessee Volunteers
No. 10: LSU Tigers
11
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:21 pm to warlock1974
Idk why they even put this crap out
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:23 pm to warlock1974
You don’t understand what FPI is do you?
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:24 pm to tigerbait1.6
Oh they got ya’ll and me to click it
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:25 pm to LSBoosie
Explain it to us like we’re I dunno 14 and make that click bait reasonable
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:27 pm to warlock1974
Tennessee being ranked ahead of us is laughable. They would have got their asses handed to them if they played Clemson away.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:28 pm to ScottAndrew
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily. FPI data from seasons prior to 2019 may not be complete.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:28 pm to ScottAndrew
An Inside Look at College FPI
quote:
The Football Power Index (FPI) is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily.
quote:
FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes. If Vegas ever published the power rankings it uses to set its lines, they would likely look quite a lot like FPI.
Correctly predicting game outcomes can’t be done by evaluating teams’ records because some teams are stronger than their records indicate (lots of close losses), and others have favorable schedules. Both of these situations are reflected in the game- and season-level projections.
It is important to note what FPI is not -- FPI is not a playoff predictor, and it is not designed to identify the four teams most deserving of making the College Football Playoff. ESPN has other metrics, including Strength of Record, that can be used to identify the most deserving teams.
This post was edited on 9/1/25 at 7:30 pm
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:29 pm to LSBoosie
quote:
FPI's rating is based on the average number of points by which team would beat an average NFL (or college) team on a neutral field. The model uses a Bayesian framework, using priors around the EPA rate of each team unit, derived from preseason expectations.
Now, explain why Texas’ FPI would be #1 and/ why the others would be lower.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:29 pm to warlock1974
I don’t see how you can tell any of this after 1 game. The sample size is too small
This post was edited on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:29 pm to warlock1974
It’s consistently one of the dumbest rankings for college football. After we beat Clemson for the natty it still had them ahead of us.
Ole Miss
Ole Miss
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:30 pm to ScottAndrew
quote:
Explain it to us like we’re I dunno 14 and make that click bait reasonable
It’s a computer algorithm completely unconnected to Heather Dinich’s personal opinion of what the CFP committee might do based simply on the Week 1 results. Neither reflects what the entity called ESPN thinks. One is intellectual property owned by ESPN and the other is a single employee of the company.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm to warlock1974
Someone needs to drug test those algorithms.
This post was edited on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm to warlock1974
I'll check back Nov 1.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm to DRock88
quote:
FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 20,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.
What are the presumptions made starting out?
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:31 pm to warlock1974
quote:
Now, explain why Texas’ FPI would be #1 and/ why the others would be lower.
quote:
In the preseason, these components are made up entirely of data from previous seasons, such as returning starters, past performance, recruiting rankings and coaching tenure (more on the preseason component below). That information allows FPI to make predictions (and make determinations on the strength of a team’s opponents) beginning in Week 1, and then it declines in weight as the season progresses. It is important to note that prior seasons’ information never completely disappears, because it has been proved to help with prediction accuracy even at the end of a season. Vegas similarly includes priors when setting its lines.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:32 pm to Y.A. Tittle
quote:
What are the presumptions made starting out?
See my above post.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:32 pm to LSBoosie
There were parts to my ask. It doesn’t matter we’re still in week one
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:33 pm to LSBoosie
Thank you. That’s what I was looking for. So much of that is flawed as far as being determinative of anything for an upcoming season.
Posted on 9/1/25 at 7:34 pm to MikeTheTiger71
Maybe someday people on here will realize what FPI and SP+ are, which are not resume rankings like the traditional AP top 25.
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