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PGEN stock -- potential solid long

Posted on 8/17/25 at 1:13 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45062 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 1:13 pm
Biotech stock. Just received FDA approval for a rare HPV caused disease. It's the only approved drug in the world to treat this type of disease.

quote:

PAPZIMEOS is a non-replicating adenoviral vector-based immunotherapy designed to target the root cause of RRP - human papillomavirus (HPV) types 6 and 11. The treatment is administered through four subcutaneous injections over a 12-week period.

The approval was supported by data from a pivotal study that met both safety and efficacy endpoints. In the trial, 51% of patients achieved a Complete Response, requiring no surgeries in the 12 months following treatment. Of the 18 patients who achieved Complete Response, 15 continued to show this response at the 24-month evaluation.

RRP is a rare and potentially life-threatening disease affecting the respiratory tract that has traditionally been managed through repeated surgeries. These procedures do not address the underlying cause of the disease and can lead to significant complications.


LINK

They have another drug in FDA testing that is looking good, too. They'll basically be able to set their own price for the drug since it's the only approved in the world, it will save lives, and it avoids many very expensive surgeries.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87414 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 1:30 pm to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45062 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 1:38 pm to


Don't go too crazy. They still need to raise cash, set pricing with insurance, and figure out distribution. I think a year from now it'll be $6 to $10.
Posted by GeauxTigers123
Member since Feb 2007
3052 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 2:00 pm to
I just put in for 100 shares. Don’t disappoint me.
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87414 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 2:36 pm to
yeah i may buy 100 and hold.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
23479 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 4:50 pm to
If I’ve learned anything about small pharmas, it’s that you sell after drug success (especially phase 3), and before commercialization.

Granted, not every scenario is the same.
Posted by UltimaParadox
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2008
50528 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

If I’ve learned anything about small pharmas, it’s that you sell after drug success (especially phase 3), and before commercialization.


Yeah I haven't looked specifically at this drug. But generally the thesis for earnings is much more optimistic than the actual deals put in place to get on pbm formularies.

I would have saved a lot of money selling after FDA approval
Posted by Stamps74
Member since Nov 2017
1316 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 6:23 pm to
Know it doesn’t affect today, but around 10 years ago this stock was like $45. What happened for it to drop so low?
Posted by TigerFanatic99
South Bend, Indiana
Member since Jan 2007
34419 posts
Posted on 8/17/25 at 9:17 pm to
quote:

it will save lives, and it avoids many very expensive surgeries.

at the low low cost of $75k per infusion!
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45062 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 3:19 am to
Big investor call at 8am this morning to talk about approval and how they are going to distribute the drug
This post was edited on 8/18/25 at 3:20 am
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
147756 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 8:24 am to
Added to my watch list




What am I looking at here? Day late dolla short?
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87414 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 8:37 am to
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45062 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 8:38 am to
It's going to take a while to ramp up. It was just approved. Roughly 27k patients here in the US. Probably 100k worldwide. Selling the worldwide rights alone will likely 2x or 3x the stock.

The investor call this morning was semi lackluster. They did disclose the treatment cost: 115k per vial. Four vials per year, so $460k per treatment with the possibility of repeat treatments for some patients.
Posted by SuperSaint
Sorting Out OT BS Since '2007'
Member since Sep 2007
147756 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 8:41 am to
quote:

They did disclose the treatment cost: 115k per vial. Four vials per year, so $460k per treatment with the possibility of repeat treatments for some patients.
oof
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87414 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 8:54 am to
ok well just let us know when to buy brother.



Posted by The Pickwick
Member since Jan 2025
451 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 3:44 pm to
I got in at 2.66 today. Nice little profit today
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45062 posts
Posted on 8/18/25 at 3:48 pm to
2.66 was a solid entry.

Quick cap of the #s:

460k per patient treatment
Rough estimate of 27,000 patients in the US
Rough estimate of 2,500 new patients in the US
Probably 70,000 to 100,000 patients worldwide
Possibility of re-treatment for some patients

The company only has about six months' worth of runway, cash-wise. They increased their authorized shares recently, so they will be offering shares soon. Will be some dilution.

Selling just their international rights alone should make the stock jump to ~$4 to $7.

We'll see how they execute.
This post was edited on 8/18/25 at 3:49 pm
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
45062 posts
Posted on 8/19/25 at 8:37 am to
Made a quick $12k. I'm going to rebuy when there's some profit taking
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87414 posts
Posted on 8/19/25 at 9:12 am to
at 3.30 now
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
87414 posts
Posted on 8/19/25 at 9:21 am to
off topic but if you have the patience you can make some money trading RR because this thing runs in non stop cycles. buy when it gets below 2.00 ride it above 2 until you get stopped out. it repeats itself over and over. FYI.

LINK
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