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U.S. added just 73,000 jobs in July and numbers for prior months were revised much lower

Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:18 am
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58825 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:18 am
quote:

Nonfarm payroll growth was slower than expected in July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, raising potential trouble signs for the U.S. labor market.

Job growth totaled 73,000 for the month, above the June total of 14,000 but below even the meager Dow Jones estimate for a gain of 100,000. June and May totals were revised sharply lower, down by a combined 258,000 from previously announced levels.

At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, in line with the forecast.

The June total came down from the previously stated 147,000, while the May count fell to just 19,000, revised down by 125,000.

Stock market futures fell further after the news while Treasury yields also were sharply lower.

“This is a gamechanger jobs report,” said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “The labor market is deteriorating quickly.”

The weak jobs report, including the dramatic revisions, could provide incentive for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates when it next meets in September. Following the report, futures traders raised the odds of a cut at the meeting to 63%, up from 40% on Thursday.

Today’s report adds weight to signs of a slow but persistent cooling trend. While the labor market is not in crisis, hiring momentum continues to soften, and pressures are beginning to build,” said Ger Doyle, North America regional president at Manpower Group.

There were few signs of strength in the July jobs count, with gains coming primarily from health care, a sector that has continued to show strength in the post-Covid recovery. The group added 55,000 jobs, easily leading the way. Social assistance also contributed 18,000 jobs.



LINK
Posted by bad93ex
Walnut Cove
Member since Sep 2018
34228 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:19 am to
Rate cut imminent
Posted by Shexter
Prairieville
Member since Feb 2014
19146 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:31 am to

I think we'll see a boost in a few months:

Illegals who were working under the radar and not filing tax returns.
Those jobs get filled with documented taxpayers.
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12700 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:32 am to
This is meaningless unless you are going to break it down between native born workers vs foreign. Do that and see how it looks. You are seeing the result of illegals being run out of the country.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40207 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:35 am to
Between AI (Artificial Intelligence) and AI (Another Indian) this is not a surprise
Posted by swamptiger99
Member since Aug 2024
373 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:51 am to
NO ONE IS frickING HIRING!
Posted by Philzilla2k
Member since Oct 2017
12427 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:52 am to
12000 fewer government jobs
Posted by cubsfan5150
NWA
Member since Nov 2007
17827 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:59 am to
Glad I have a job... wouldn't want to be looking at this point.
Posted by RAB
Member since Aug 2019
1605 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:09 am to
This is largely a product of doge and getting control of our broken immigration system.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93297 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:14 am to
Too Late strikes again
Posted by hubreb
Member since Nov 2008
2085 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:16 am to
quote:

This is meaningless unless you are going to break it down between native born workers vs foreign. Do that and see how it looks. You are seeing the result of illegals being run out of the country.


US Employment Civilian Labor Force Foreign Born 16 Years And Over
07/31/25 32,066 -2
06/30/25 32,572 0
05/31/25 32,706 -1
04/30/25 33,004 -2
03/31/25 H 33,719 1
02/28/25 33,241 0
01/31/25 33,307 4

US Employment Civilian Labor Force Native Born 16 Years And Over
07/31/25 H 139,580 1
06/30/25 138,771 1
05/31/25 137,510 0
04/30/25 137,646 1
03/31/25 136,935 0
02/28/25 136,874 0
01/31/25 136,507 1


This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 9:17 am
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85746 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:19 am to
I thought we were going to have a huge labor shortage deporting people?



Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
23767 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:23 am to
quote:

Rate cut imminent


Nope. Holding the rates high is just part of the deep states plan to oppose Trump.

Such a complete and utter bullshite way to run the Fed.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
135864 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:35 am to
quote:

Rate cut imminent


Nope
Posted by Odysseus32
Member since Dec 2009
9759 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:38 am to
The frick it’s not.

It’s the same report that has come out every month for the past decade.

So it’s not useless as long as it’s a similar barometer over the course of prior months.
Posted by The Goat
Right here, Chief
Member since Nov 2006
3001 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:43 am to
quote:


Nope. Holding the rates high is just part of the deep states plan to oppose Trump.

Such a complete and utter bullshite way to run the Fed.



do you have any idea how ignorant this statement is?
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
58825 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:47 am to
Right
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
12700 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:56 am to
quote:

do you have any idea how ignorant this statement is?


Not saying you’re wrong, but someone please square what the Fed did in the run up to the 2024 election (rushing to cut, including a half pointer) with what it is doing now. I’ll wait around for a detailed explanation.
Posted by Mid Iowa Tiger
Undisclosed Secure Location
Member since Feb 2008
23767 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:03 am to
Why don’t you tell me? But first, share how far up the mgt tree you are and what the AUA your firm manages is.

At this moment we have $208,860,038,697.19 showing on my dashboard, I happen to run the M&A shop and report to the SVP of growth and development.


I’m sure you’re much more in tune to what the Fed is doing than the 30 something analysts we have working the issue and the 1,000+ employees and 4,000+ advisors we have across the country.
Posted by The Goat
Right here, Chief
Member since Nov 2006
3001 posts
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:11 am to
quote:

Not saying you’re wrong, but someone please square what the Fed did in the run up to the 2024 election (rushing to cut, including a half pointer) with what it is doing now. I’ll wait around for a detailed explanation.



Dude, why not speak to what they did in the previous 18 to 24 months? Because THEY DID EXACTLY what they were supposed to do given the circumstances. They RAISED fricking rates. Then, in December 2023 they paused. The fact that they finally decided to lower them (in Sept of 2024 IIRC) is what your concerned about? They raised rates for 2 years because they had to. All the while you clowns bitched about "Biden's" inflation. Lowering them 2 months before the election had ZERO immediate impact as there is a 12 month lag before you truly see the effects of rate cuts/hikes.

And I do not recall Joe Biden ever calling out the Fed. Not ONE frickING TIME. Despite the fact that the hikes were hurting his re-elections chances. He did not say one f-cking word directing the fed to do anything. And that is how this thing is supposed to work.

Meanwhile, Tariff Boy gets himself in a bind and points the finger at the fed.

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