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Started By
Message
U.S. added just 73,000 jobs in July and numbers for prior months were revised much lower
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:18 am
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:18 am
quote:
Nonfarm payroll growth was slower than expected in July and the unemployment rate ticked higher, raising potential trouble signs for the U.S. labor market.
Job growth totaled 73,000 for the month, above the June total of 14,000 but below even the meager Dow Jones estimate for a gain of 100,000. June and May totals were revised sharply lower, down by a combined 258,000 from previously announced levels.
At the same time, the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, in line with the forecast.
The June total came down from the previously stated 147,000, while the May count fell to just 19,000, revised down by 125,000.
Stock market futures fell further after the news while Treasury yields also were sharply lower.
“This is a gamechanger jobs report,” said Heather Long, chief economist at Navy Federal Credit Union. “The labor market is deteriorating quickly.”
The weak jobs report, including the dramatic revisions, could provide incentive for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates when it next meets in September. Following the report, futures traders raised the odds of a cut at the meeting to 63%, up from 40% on Thursday.
Today’s report adds weight to signs of a slow but persistent cooling trend. While the labor market is not in crisis, hiring momentum continues to soften, and pressures are beginning to build,” said Ger Doyle, North America regional president at Manpower Group.
There were few signs of strength in the July jobs count, with gains coming primarily from health care, a sector that has continued to show strength in the post-Covid recovery. The group added 55,000 jobs, easily leading the way. Social assistance also contributed 18,000 jobs.
LINK
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:31 am to RLDSC FAN
I think we'll see a boost in a few months:
Illegals who were working under the radar and not filing tax returns.
Those jobs get filled with documented taxpayers.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:32 am to RLDSC FAN
This is meaningless unless you are going to break it down between native born workers vs foreign. Do that and see how it looks. You are seeing the result of illegals being run out of the country.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:35 am to RLDSC FAN
Between AI (Artificial Intelligence) and AI (Another Indian) this is not a surprise
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:51 am to RLDSC FAN
NO ONE IS frickING HIRING!
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:52 am to RLDSC FAN
12000 fewer government jobs
Posted on 8/1/25 at 8:59 am to RLDSC FAN
Glad I have a job... wouldn't want to be looking at this point.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:09 am to RLDSC FAN
This is largely a product of doge and getting control of our broken immigration system.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:16 am to SloaneRanger
quote:
This is meaningless unless you are going to break it down between native born workers vs foreign. Do that and see how it looks. You are seeing the result of illegals being run out of the country.
US Employment Civilian Labor Force Foreign Born 16 Years And Over
07/31/25 32,066 -2
06/30/25 32,572 0
05/31/25 32,706 -1
04/30/25 33,004 -2
03/31/25 H 33,719 1
02/28/25 33,241 0
01/31/25 33,307 4
US Employment Civilian Labor Force Native Born 16 Years And Over
07/31/25 H 139,580 1
06/30/25 138,771 1
05/31/25 137,510 0
04/30/25 137,646 1
03/31/25 136,935 0
02/28/25 136,874 0
01/31/25 136,507 1
This post was edited on 8/1/25 at 9:17 am
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:19 am to RLDSC FAN
I thought we were going to have a huge labor shortage deporting people?
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:23 am to bad93ex
quote:
Rate cut imminent
Nope. Holding the rates high is just part of the deep states plan to oppose Trump.
Such a complete and utter bullshite way to run the Fed.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:38 am to SloaneRanger
The frick it’s not.
It’s the same report that has come out every month for the past decade.
So it’s not useless as long as it’s a similar barometer over the course of prior months.
It’s the same report that has come out every month for the past decade.
So it’s not useless as long as it’s a similar barometer over the course of prior months.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:43 am to Mid Iowa Tiger
quote:
Nope. Holding the rates high is just part of the deep states plan to oppose Trump.
Such a complete and utter bullshite way to run the Fed.
do you have any idea how ignorant this statement is?
Posted on 8/1/25 at 9:56 am to The Goat
quote:
do you have any idea how ignorant this statement is?
Not saying you’re wrong, but someone please square what the Fed did in the run up to the 2024 election (rushing to cut, including a half pointer) with what it is doing now. I’ll wait around for a detailed explanation.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:03 am to The Goat
Why don’t you tell me? But first, share how far up the mgt tree you are and what the AUA your firm manages is.
At this moment we have $208,860,038,697.19 showing on my dashboard, I happen to run the M&A shop and report to the SVP of growth and development.
I’m sure you’re much more in tune to what the Fed is doing than the 30 something analysts we have working the issue and the 1,000+ employees and 4,000+ advisors we have across the country.
At this moment we have $208,860,038,697.19 showing on my dashboard, I happen to run the M&A shop and report to the SVP of growth and development.
I’m sure you’re much more in tune to what the Fed is doing than the 30 something analysts we have working the issue and the 1,000+ employees and 4,000+ advisors we have across the country.
Posted on 8/1/25 at 10:11 am to SloaneRanger
quote:
Not saying you’re wrong, but someone please square what the Fed did in the run up to the 2024 election (rushing to cut, including a half pointer) with what it is doing now. I’ll wait around for a detailed explanation.
Dude, why not speak to what they did in the previous 18 to 24 months? Because THEY DID EXACTLY what they were supposed to do given the circumstances. They RAISED fricking rates. Then, in December 2023 they paused. The fact that they finally decided to lower them (in Sept of 2024 IIRC) is what your concerned about? They raised rates for 2 years because they had to. All the while you clowns bitched about "Biden's" inflation. Lowering them 2 months before the election had ZERO immediate impact as there is a 12 month lag before you truly see the effects of rate cuts/hikes.
And I do not recall Joe Biden ever calling out the Fed. Not ONE frickING TIME. Despite the fact that the hikes were hurting his re-elections chances. He did not say one f-cking word directing the fed to do anything. And that is how this thing is supposed to work.
Meanwhile, Tariff Boy gets himself in a bind and points the finger at the fed.
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