Recession, inflation, and interest rates.

Yes. They are getting the economy from relying on fake government economy to a real private sector economy - if they don’t do this then the country goes bankrupt

We have to have a small recession to get interest rates to come down

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Yes. They are getting the economy from relying on fake government economy to a real private sector economy

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So how much smaller will the CR in a week or so be compared to the last one?

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So how much smaller will the CR in a week or so be compared to the last one?

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Ouch

Just bought two stock funds today that dropped yesterday. Buying opp.

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The ONLY way to stop inflation is to stop printing money and increasing the money supply.

It's that simple. Nothing else creates or dissolves inflation.

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And cutting back on government spending can also cause a recession which lowers rates and inflation. Then build our economy back with private enterprise. All part of an economic symphony. If it works before the mid terms Trump will have pulled off a miracle.

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Schumer is demanding all DOGE cost-saving efforts be reversed and all elements of a Biden debt ridden budget be restored or he'll shutdown the government and get the PPP to blame the GOP for it.

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This was inevitable because nobody wants to cut. Schumer is just trying to get press clippings for "standing up to Trump". It's theater.

Even MAGA people like Clay Higgins are promoting the CR and its bloated spending.

Of course it did. They DGAF - Progressives are the most undisciplined people on planet earth

To be fair, people have been saying a recession was coming since like 2017

We are long overdo. Forbes

Maybe 2015 (Fortune)

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a mild recession.

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Delinquency rates for everything but student loans are on the rise. Mortgage delinquency rates are still near historic lows but delinquencies for credit cards, car loans and car leases have risen considerably since COVID ( LINK). I haven't had the time to find defaults, but it wouldn't shock me to see those moving in the same direction as 30 and 60 day past-due, which is to be increasing ever since ~2022.

Along with that, the growth in GDP has been almost completely (if not completely) reliant on ever-increasing consumer and federal debt. In other words, if consumer and federal debt had not grown so much since COVID we would have already been considered to be in a recession. This has had the effect of not only kicking the recession can down the road, but it's caused the pressures which build up prior to a recession to increase.

When we get into a recession, Unemployment rises as consumer activity slows. How much more is it going to slow once consumers begin defaulting on these high-interest loans (20+% for credit cards, for example) and then cannot access credit for a while? This is a consumer debt bubble and it's growing.

In other words, we're set up for the consumer debt bubble to pop if a recession hits within the next 6-12 months. If that happens, the recession can't be mild.