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Expectation of FED announcement this afternoon? *Update: YT Link for 2:30ET start
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:40 am
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:40 am
Expectation has the rate being cut .25%. Why is that good/bad?
I hear that market has been caking this in this week/last. So no major ripples expected after the announcement, as long as, it is what is expected?
What type of sectors benefit/doesn't from this cut?
*UPDATE: I figured I add the below for everyone's enjoyment:
I hear that market has been caking this in this week/last. So no major ripples expected after the announcement, as long as, it is what is expected?
What type of sectors benefit/doesn't from this cut?
*UPDATE: I figured I add the below for everyone's enjoyment:
This post was edited on 12/18/24 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:50 am to HagaDaga
SOFI has been ripping since October. I sold profits at $14, and regretting it.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:54 am to HagaDaga
quote:
I hear that market has been caking this in this week/last.
Well that's scary.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:54 am to lsugerberbaby
quote:I may have bought your shares.
I sold profits at $14, and regretting it.
There's an expectation of a substantial cut this afternoon.
I haven't kept up with exactly how large.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:57 am to HagaDaga
quote:
Expectation of FED announcement this afternoon?
Expectation has the rate being cut .25%.
And after the rate reduction is announced, the next thing they'll say is, "We now believe rates are at or near equilibrium for further economic growth and price moderation."
Which is Fed Speak for, "Grab your nuts, boys, we ain't cuttin' rates again!"
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:57 am to HagaDaga
The rate cut announcement today isn't important. It's already in the market. The question is, the guidance. How many rate cuts in 2025?
Personally, I think we'll see just 2. One in the spring and the other late summer/early fall. I think if that sort of language is used it'll be bearish.
Personally, I think we'll see just 2. One in the spring and the other late summer/early fall. I think if that sort of language is used it'll be bearish.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:58 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Well that's scary
How come? I really am a newb, so don't know. Just what I've heard, but may be wrong.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 9:58 am to HagaDaga
quote:
I hear that market has been caking this in this week/last. So no major ripples expected after the announcement, as long as, it is what is expected?
We could use a ripple
Posted on 12/18/24 at 10:02 am to bigjoe1
quote:
The question is, the guidance. How many rate cuts in 2025?
Oh yeah that's another thing I heard. Every other fed meeting is whats being talked about as a positive. I'm assuming that's true?
So do they meet 4 times a year so 2 would be every other meeting?
Posted on 12/18/24 at 10:03 am to DarthRebel
Oh dang.
Is that from a regular site I can get on or your brokerage acct? Looks pretty nice to compare.
Is that from a regular site I can get on or your brokerage acct? Looks pretty nice to compare.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 10:05 am to HagaDaga
Posted on 12/18/24 at 10:07 am to HagaDaga
The Fed holds 8 Open market Committee meetings a year and can schedule more if necessary. All FOMC meetings don't conclude with a rate change.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 10:18 am to HagaDaga
quote:
How come? I really am a newb, so don't know. Just what I've heard, but may be wrong.
Maybe I'm wrong because everything has been backwards for a while but the market has been down for a couple weeks and they usually like a rate cut. But again, nothing seems to be normal so who knows?
Posted on 12/18/24 at 10:26 am to HagaDaga
my 2 cents:
good news is already priced in and there is substantial downside risk if traders dont like what Powell says.
good news is already priced in and there is substantial downside risk if traders dont like what Powell says.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 11:01 am to OysterPoBoy
quote:
but the market has been down for a couple weeks
What now?
Posted on 12/18/24 at 11:45 am to HagaDaga
.25 for sure. Nothing will happen cause of this
Need another 1pt next year minimum
Need another 1pt next year minimum
Posted on 12/18/24 at 11:48 am to HagaDaga
Kinda surprised they'd cut again to be honest.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 12:14 pm to SDVTiger
quote:
Need another 1pt next year minimum
Why?
Posted on 12/18/24 at 12:56 pm to OysterPoBoy
quote:
Maybe I'm wrong because everything has been backwards for a while but the market has been down for a couple weeks and they usually like a rate cut. But again, nothing seems to be normal so who knows?
Ok...so if you are right then the cut not doing what it would normally do is the scary part. ie...hopefully it goes up, but may not if "caked in." I get what you mean. thx.
I do still have some DJT that has been slowly moving up the last week, but has stayed stagnant the last couple of days. :fingers-crossed: the announcement helps dislodge it.
Posted on 12/18/24 at 1:09 pm to bigjoe1
quote:
The Fed holds 8 Open market Committee meetings a year and can schedule more if necessary. All FOMC meetings don't conclude with a rate change.
Thanks. So no rhythm or reason to when/if they do it. Like "the first Tuesday of every other month", etc.
But do they tend to announce ahead of time if that particular meeting will or not have a rate cut or is it all depends on the meeting discussion? And is it all just pure speculation, like they may not do anything today?
Thanks for the patience on questions, trying to catch up on stuff I never really paid attention too.
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