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Why is LSU only a 2 point favorite over Baylor when we just beat OU by 20? What players?

Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:50 am
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
6798 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:50 am
What players are sitting out? I refuse to believe that in a regular season game we are anything less than a 7 pt favorite over Baylor.

There's no reason for me to believe that OU wouldn't be a 10-2 Big 12 team as they have done that the last 20 years, but drew probably #1 or #2 SOS.
This post was edited on 12/10/24 at 10:53 am
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
23777 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:52 am to
quote:

I refuse to believe that in a regular season game we are anything less than a 7 pt favorite over Baylor.


What are you waiting for then? Bet the house on it.
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
6798 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:52 am to
I will once I figure out who is sitting. Thanks for contributing to the post.
Posted by OliverTwist225
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2021
554 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:53 am to
Probably because we have no idea who's actually going to play in it.
Posted by Kool Kaliper
Mansfield, TX
Member since Nov 2018
1893 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:57 am to
Vegas' confident that Nuss will choose to declare for the NFL Draft and ultimately sit out the upcoming game.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
23777 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 10:58 am to
quote:

I will once I figure out who is sitting


By the time you figure it out the line will already have swung wildly in either direction. That's kind of how betting works.
Posted by NOSTRODAMUS
Prairieville/Dutchtown
Member since Dec 2003
16641 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:02 am to
quote:

Vegas' confident that Nuss will choose to declare for the NFL Draft and ultimately sit out the upcoming game.


If that were the case Baylor would be at least a 7.5pt favorite. We’d have Swann starting with no Taylor, Lacy nor Daniels.
This post was edited on 12/10/24 at 11:25 am
Posted by Sun God
Member since Jul 2009
46981 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:02 am to
I thought your top 5 MBA made you really good at this stuff

Why do you need this board’s assistance?
Posted by saturncube21
Member since Nov 2015
9666 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:06 am to
LOL
Posted by beauchristopher
Member since Jan 2008
69751 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:07 am to
Probably because of potential opt outs.
Posted by 777Tiger
Member since Mar 2011
83846 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:09 am to
quote:

Nuss will choose to declare for the NFL Draft and ultimately sit out the upcoming game.


two bow games(potentially,) he's turned his back on his team, but he bleeds P&G and loooooooves him some LSU
Posted by beauchristopher
Member since Jan 2008
69751 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:09 am to
At full strength LSU would be a decent favorite IMO, but not with the potential amount of opt outs.
Posted by Riolobo
On the lake
Member since Mar 2017
4981 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:10 am to
No Lacy, Daniels, Campbell, or Taylor at a minimum . I’m sure there will be many more.
Posted by JimTiger72
Member since Jun 2023
11814 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:10 am to
Imagine a full game with AJ Swann at QB

Can we bring Jontre back?
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
23777 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:12 am to
quote:

two bow games(potentially,) he's turned his back on his team, but he bleeds P&G and loooooooves him some LSU


Melting like a bitch from just a hypothetical situation said by somebody on the board?

And I don't know how anybody can second guess his decision to not burn his redshirt and play in that bowl game. It's the difference in the possibility of him being able to return next season or not.
Posted by SouthernInsanity
Shadows of Death Valley
Member since Nov 2012
22644 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:28 am to
Probably favored more if Vegas knew who was playing for LSU.
Posted by Got Blaze
Youngsville
Member since Dec 2013
9510 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:29 am to
quote:

I thought your top 5 MBA made you really good at this stuff

Why do you need this board’s assistance?


OP clearly does NOT understand how Vegas sets the odds and point spread on betting.
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
35661 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:30 am to
Vegas is a salacious whore.



She awaits you.
Posted by Sponge
Member since Nov 2018
4241 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:38 am to
Do you remember what Aranda was able to do here when given at least 2 weeks to prepare?
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
29570 posts
Posted on 12/10/24 at 11:40 am to
quote:

Why is LSU only a 2 point favorite over Baylor
Home vs neutral site game, plus Baylor is probably as good or slightly better than Oklahoma
quote:

There's no reason for me to believe that OU wouldn't be a 10-2 Big 12 team as they have done that the last 20 years
They were a 6-6 Big 12 team just two years ago.
This post was edited on 12/10/24 at 11:42 am
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