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Arizona Early Vote Data

Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:28 pm
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
15042 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:28 pm
Posted by DaTruth7
Member since Apr 2020
3926 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:30 pm to
Does this include mail in? Comparison to last year?
Posted by Slayer103
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2009
737 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:33 pm to
Am I crazy for thinking that Trump might win Arizona by like 500k at this point? Cuz if the “other” breaks for him 60-40, then he’s already not terribly far.
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 6:35 pm
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
20194 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:35 pm to

This doesn’t have this update in it but here’s the comparison -3 days out 2020 vs 2024
Posted by blafayette
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2014
704 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:36 pm to
Is this before the "cheat", or after?

Geaux Trump.


Posted by lsursb
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2004
11990 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:36 pm to
Is that enough to cover the cheating?
Posted by DaTruth7
Member since Apr 2020
3926 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:38 pm to
That would take a lot of printed fake ballots to make up by the Dems. Thanks
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
15042 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:38 pm to
Its going to harder to cheat. Boots are on the ground. No social distancing BS excuses
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
21189 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:43 pm to
If you think that you’re stupid AF
Posted by xxGEAUXxx
minneapolis
Member since Dec 2012
1271 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:43 pm to
If this happens. No way Lake doesn’t get dragged across the finish line.
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
738 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:44 pm to
Proximo, what is that an image of?
If 908K Repubs have already voted, how are there only 842 registered republicans? (same for the Dem numbers)

How do we reconcile the OP and this graphic?
Posted by Proximo
Member since Aug 2011
20194 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:47 pm to
quote:

1putt

target early website
It’s the data from this website

The numbers don’t match because this doesn’t include this update yet

ETA those numbers are early votes, not registered
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 6:49 pm
Posted by tarzana
TX Hwy 6-- the Brazos River Valley
Member since Sep 2015
29417 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:48 pm to
It's not out of the realm of possibility Trump gets AZ's 11 EV, but Lake is not winning.
Posted by David_DJS
Member since Aug 2005
20902 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

It's not out of the realm of possibility Trump gets AZ's 11 EV

- realm of possibility? Trump is a lock in AZ and there's a 50/50 chance he drags KL across the finish line.
Posted by DaTruth7
Member since Apr 2020
3926 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 6:59 pm to
Looking at the numbers on that site the dems are way underperforming 2020. Hopefully it continues.
Posted by 1putt
Member since Sep 2024
738 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 7:07 pm to
So, doing some quick math, using these numbers Trump is already 182K votes ahead in AZ. On election in 2020, he gained over 10% on the election day in person voting in Arizona.

The Dems would have to steal about 445K votes. Which is easy, I still have access to a video where they had a "late night drop" and in 9 seconds added 250k votes to Biden in Wisconsin in 2020 ... and never looked back.

Repubs will win. Dems will steal. They have a really good idea of how many votes they need in each city precint already.

EDIT: For referernce, he "lost" AZ by 10K votes in 2020
This post was edited on 11/2/24 at 7:09 pm
Posted by xxGEAUXxx
minneapolis
Member since Dec 2012
1271 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 10:52 pm to
This might be true. But if Trump wins by 4+ points in any state that is a swing state he will drag any senate candidate across. I promise.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
24583 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 10:53 pm to
quote:

OSZ

X account with 13k followers.
Posted by GeneralLee
Member since Aug 2004
13879 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 10:56 pm to
2020 was R+5 and Biden barely won Arizona as independents there lean a bit left and you have McCain Republicans. Looks like it will be R+7-10 this year so I expect Trump to win AZ by 3-5 and the Senate race to be a coin flip.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
15042 posts
Posted on 11/2/24 at 11:00 pm to
Here is one with 27k followers that has been posting all the Arizona Early vote Updates. Do you not believe them?


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