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FL Early vote: GOP at 800K vote lead (was 100K deficit going into election day in 2020)
Posted on 10/23/24 at 3:51 pm
Posted on 10/23/24 at 3:51 pm
LINK
Florida is going all-in on MAGA. I think Trump could win Florida by 10+ points. Hopefully this is enough to keep Amendment 4 (the abortion one) under 60%.
Florida is going all-in on MAGA. I think Trump could win Florida by 10+ points. Hopefully this is enough to keep Amendment 4 (the abortion one) under 60%.
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 11:20 am
14
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:09 pm to GeneralLee
Nice. Wish this was the data for Pennsylvania. Of course I don’t have much faith in a state that can elect a senator that’s mentally handicapped
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:10 pm to CFB_Fanatic
PA looks directionally better than 2020, but Dems have about a 350K vote firewall there right now.
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:13 pm to GeneralLee
I believe it was 800,000 in 2020
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:14 pm to GeneralLee
This has got to be good for the House race too
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:14 pm to John Barron
quote:
I believe it was 800,000 in 2020
I thought it was over a million.
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:16 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
PA looks directionally better than 2020, but Dems have about a 350K vote firewall there right now.
The firewall in 20 was 1 million + and it barely held, they need at least 600,000 to have a realistic shot before Election Day.
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:25 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
PA looks directionally better than 2020, but Dems have about a 350K vote firewall there right now.
Not much of a firewall for them compared to previous elections
Posted on 10/23/24 at 4:33 pm to GeneralLee
quote:
Florida is going all-in on MAGA.
I early voted on Tuesday and I live in Pasco County, FL (500k residents). I live north of Tampa in a rural but growing community. I talked to a poll worker after I voted and she said that that polling station (1 of 20) 10k people showed up to vote on the opening day of early voting.
Trump is going to be somewhere around +20 in Florida
Posted on 10/23/24 at 5:28 pm to GeneralLee
I agree hopefully Trump will win by enough to stop amendment 4 and pass amendment 1 . I am shocked there hasn’t been much about amendment 1 . I live in a heavy republican county and we have 2 democrat school board members because it’s a non partisan race .
Posted on 10/24/24 at 10:51 am to tjv305
Mid-day update: GOP lead now at 250K vote lead. GOP at 43.94% of early vote, Democrat deep state pawns at 35.86% of the early vote.
Posted on 10/24/24 at 10:52 am to GeneralLee
Just a sign to all of you. Vote early. As the October surprises drop you can just laugh.
Posted on 10/24/24 at 4:56 pm to aTmTexas Dillo
GOP just reached 300K vote lead and Miami Dade county flipped red. Unreal momentum! 
Posted on 10/24/24 at 5:11 pm to GeneralLee
Trump +12 in Florida
Posted on 10/28/24 at 10:10 am to Veritas
A poll came out today that had Trump +12 in Florida and Scott at +10 in the Senate race. Those seems very in line with early voting patterns so far, now the GOP is up to a 525K vote lead. Hopefully the lead going into election day is pushing 1M votes.
Posted on 10/28/24 at 10:11 am to GeneralLee
Yea but the problem is that Trump had a comedian speak at the Nazi rally and he made fun of the island of Puerto Rico
Posted on 10/28/24 at 10:14 am to GeneralLee
So the polls showing Trump +10 and +14 may actually be accurate.
Posted on 10/28/24 at 10:16 am to TakingStock
GOP is at 45%, Dems at 34%, NPA at 19% of the votes so far. I expect GOP will probably top out at 47-48% by end of election day, which would make a ~15 point victory margin very feasible, assuming NPA's are split roughly 50/50.
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:03 am to GeneralLee
It’s amazing what Desantis has done for Florida
Posted on 10/28/24 at 11:12 am to GeneralLee
I live in the largest county in the panhandle, over 30% turnout already. I will say, the local Dems have done a good job knocking on doors, it seems every registered Dem has a Kamala sign in their yard. That said, I expect Trump to win by nearly double digits, which would be the largest MOV in Florida since Bush/Dukakis in '88 (+22.36), nobody has won the state by more than 5.7 (Clinton '96) since then.
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