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HarrisHos when did it go so wrong for us?
Posted on 10/21/24 at 7:18 am
Posted on 10/21/24 at 7:18 am
5
Posted on 10/21/24 at 7:23 am to Seldom Seen
All of those numbers are within the margin of fraud.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 7:41 am to Tantal
I hope polls are still underperforming Trump by 4-5 points like before.
If they are, he is outside the margin of fraud. If the race is truly that close, they will cheat enough to win
If they are, he is outside the margin of fraud. If the race is truly that close, they will cheat enough to win
Posted on 10/21/24 at 7:45 am to deltaland
quote:
I hope polls are still underperforming Trump by 4-5 points like before.
If they are, he is outside the margin of fraud. If the race is truly that close, they will cheat enough to win
I highly suspect that the major pollsters have adjusted over the last two or three cycles and are more accurately accounting for how Trump polls. We're likely seeing more accurate polling.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 7:55 am to Tantal
Many of the polls being used for the average are still using D+7.
They had to cheat last time when the D+7 polls had him down by 7-8 points going into the election. If those same polls have him tied or down 2 that means they have to manufacturer 5% additional votes to cover the difference.
It wasn’t easy even with Covid to cover what they had to do last time.
In Pennsylvania there were 6.8M votes cast in 2020. To cover a 5% deficit means they have to manufacture 340,000 votes on top of what they had to do last time to put Biden over the top.
Not saying they can’t do it, but it’s no easy feat.
They had to cheat last time when the D+7 polls had him down by 7-8 points going into the election. If those same polls have him tied or down 2 that means they have to manufacturer 5% additional votes to cover the difference.
It wasn’t easy even with Covid to cover what they had to do last time.
In Pennsylvania there were 6.8M votes cast in 2020. To cover a 5% deficit means they have to manufacture 340,000 votes on top of what they had to do last time to put Biden over the top.
Not saying they can’t do it, but it’s no easy feat.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 9:33 am to tide06
quote:
In Pennsylvania there were 6.8M votes cast in 2020. To cover a 5% deficit means they have to manufacture 340,000 votes on top of what they had to do last time to put Biden over the top.
Not saying they can’t do it, but it’s no easy feat.
we're going to see lots of "115% voter turnout" numbers in the following days.
This post was edited on 10/21/24 at 9:34 am
Posted on 10/21/24 at 9:34 am to Seldom Seen
quote:
HarrisHos when did it go so wrong for us?
When Harris opened her mouth
Posted on 10/21/24 at 10:04 am to Seldom Seen
Posted on 10/21/24 at 10:06 am to Seldom Seen
quote:
HarrisHos when did it go so wrong for us?
At birth.
Brought into this world by shitty parents.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 10:13 am to TigerFanatic99
quote:
I highly suspect that the major pollsters have adjusted over the last two or three cycles and are more accurately accounting for how Trump polls. We're likely seeing more accurate polling
I honestly don’t know how you would do it. I’m not a statistician, but it seems like it’s so hard to gauge who is going to vote for Trump.
I mean who answers polls anyway?
It’s hard to imagine any kind of formula they could come up with to be accurate.
This post was edited on 10/21/24 at 10:14 am
Posted on 10/21/24 at 12:42 pm to TigerFanatic99
quote:
I highly suspect that the major pollsters have adjusted over the last two or three cycles and are more accurately accounting for how Trump polls. We're likely seeing more accurate polling.
This would mean pollsters have abandoned their propaganda. I don't buy it.
Posted on 10/21/24 at 12:44 pm to Seldom Seen
What were they this time in 2020?
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