Gold Medal Race Final Day

Thought I’d put together an update on SammyTiger’s thread for the final day.

There are 4 events tomorrow that will likely determine the nation with the most golds this Olympics. The U.S. will likely need to win all 3 of its events below to beat the Chinese for most golds.

Schedule:
4:30 women’s weightlifting +81kg
6:00 women’s volleyball final
~6:40 women’s freestyle wrestling 76kg (I think wrestling events start consecutively, so I’m not sure if it will start at exactly this time)
8:30 women’s basketball

Weightlifting:
China’s Li Wenwen is the heavy favorite. If anyone is going to beat Li, it’ll probably be Park Hye-jeong (South Korea) or Emily Campbell (Great Britain), but Li likely isn’t losing unless she misses her lifts.

Volleyball:
Italy is -250 to beat the American women, but last Summer Olympics the Americans upset Brazil to get their 1st Olympic gold in the sport and jump China on the final day.

Wrestling:
America’s Kennedy Blades takes on Japan’s Yuka Kagami. Blades is only 20 years old but is favored to win. Unlike weightlifting though, wrestling matches have more upset potential in them.

Basketball:
America is a big favorite here. I view this as canceling out the weightlifting, so it should come down to wrestling and volleyball.

There are a few women’s cycling events that the U.S. still has a long shot at. I don’t think China is competitive in any of the remaining events except for the near guaranteed weightlifting gold.