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We lose two games this year.

Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:02 am
Posted by Tactical Syrup
Member since Jun 2024
1273 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:02 am
Playoff games aren't counted in this. We could lose one of those.

But I see two losses on the schedule , and if this LSU team beats USC and UCLA in the same season.. it would be impossible to leave us out of the playoffs even with 3 L's. But we won't have three.

The schedule is stacked as frick and gets harder as we progress, making the ability to snowball a lot bigger.

Our resume this year could be 2011 level, we just have to win those two big OOC games. And if we do that, the rest will piece itself together.
Posted by Ed Osteen
Member since Oct 2007
58817 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:05 am to
Depending on how the year shakes out it could be very easy to leave a team with 3 losses out of the playoffs
Posted by dstone12
Texan
Member since Jan 2007
38393 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:05 am to
I could go with that.

Anyone thinking our defense got significantly better in 9 months while losing a heisman contender is not being realistic.
Posted by Tactical Syrup
Member since Jun 2024
1273 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:08 am to
quote:

Anyone thinking our defense got significantly better in 9 months while losing a heisman contender is not being realistic.


Nuss will be in the Heisman race. We thought Joe Burrow was an anomaly for LSU football. Daniels proves that it's a trend.

So many people underrated LSU this year. Gonna surprise a LOT of people.
Posted by jacksajester
Metry
Member since Jun 2014
2206 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:15 am to
At least
Posted by Falco
Member since Dec 2018
2216 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:28 am to
LSU fans went from thinking 7/8 wins was a great season under Dinardo, to thinking 10 wins and playing in the SEC Championship was acceptable under Saban, to 11/12 wins and being in contention for a National Title with Les, then back to 10/11 with O, and now a 9/10 win season is seen as fantastic again.
Posted by SulphursFinest
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2015
11291 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:44 am to
I see Ole Miss as the toughest team we play, followed by Bama. The rest of the games I’m confident we should win
Posted by SteveLSU35
Shreveport
Member since Mar 2004
14805 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:46 am to
I will always think that winning 10 games is a successful season. If you’re able to go 10-3 with a bowl win your program is one or two plays away from being at the top. Consistently being at 10 means there will be times where you’re a championship team.
Posted by GeauxGutsy
Member since Jul 2017
5853 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 8:50 am to
quote:

and if this LSU team beats USC


Hopefully we break our season opener losing streak
Posted by BayouCowboy
Member since Dec 2012
16444 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:05 am to
The offense should have enough balance they don't have to lean on Nuss. I suspect Kelly wants to keep the pressure off him and use the OL to control games and keep the D off the field. Kelly seemed surprisingly optimistic about the D and DL. We have talent on the edge which could take the emphasis away from the DTs. LB corps should be solid and if the DBs can gel the defense can be good enough.

Get through the USC game and we should be 5-0 going into the Ole Miss game. We have a bye week before that and I wouldn't be shocked if we pull that game off at home. Win that and Kelly just might be able to have that year 3 magic he has historically had.
Posted by oldskule
Down South
Member since Mar 2016
23148 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:17 am to
The selection board will have still a tough job selecting the at large teams....look for LSU to be in that bubble area.
Posted by LSBoosie
Member since Jun 2020
16938 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:24 am to
quote:

it would be impossible to leave us out of the playoffs even with 3 L's.

It’s impossible for you to know this without know how other teams around the country do. Just let it play out man
Posted by USAFTiger42
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2016
3695 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:27 am to
The difference between last year's defense and this year will be if the DL can just do their assignments and not get pushed back. There might be a few OL groups we can worry about but most of them we should be able to stop them. Then you factor in late season progression for the new guys McKinley, Johnson and Breaux might be able to do more in the last segment of games when they're gonna be needed the most. Most of my worry is the first 7 games when they're "getting their feet wet" and how quickly they adjust.
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
7218 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:28 am to
Any team with three losses shouldn’t be in playoff consideration unless there is plenty of three loss teams out there and they need one or two to complete the 12 team field.
Posted by LSUFanMizeWay
Picayune MS
Member since Sep 2014
6497 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:41 am to
In Baseball?
Posted by Gings5
Member since Jul 2016
10983 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:47 am to
I think we are undefeated going into Ole Piss game.

USC lost their heisman QB and had a worse defense than us.
South Carolina is projected to go 4-8 and it’s 11am away.
UCLA replaced their HC and it’s a home game.
Ole Miss will be good but it’ll be Saturday night in death valley.
Arky sucks.
Texas A&M on the road following an away game at Arky concerns me.
Bama will be good.
Florida is in turmoil.
Vandy is Vandy.
OU will be solid but has a freshman QB.

The only games I potentially see LSU losing are USC, Ole Piss, @aTm, Bama, OU.

3/5 are home with another being neutral site. We have a good schedule this year and I think we make the playoffs.

Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
64799 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:54 am to
If I was to put a win percentage on the games this year, I'd say:

USC 55%
Nicholls 98%
SCAR 80%
UCLA 80%
South Alabama 99%
Ole Miss 50%
Arkansas 80%
ATM 65%
Bama 50%
UF 70%
Vandy 85%
OU 55%

9-3 or 10-2 is most likely. Have to think we drop 2 of USC, Ole Miss, Bama, OU. ATM on the road is a wildcard. It's hard to make any predictions at this point because the defense is so unknown. I feel good about the offense in general.
Posted by redfish99
B.R.
Member since Aug 2007
18674 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:55 am to
Two loss team not a lock for playoff.
Posted by ipodking
#StopTalkingAboutWomensSports
Member since Jun 2008
58395 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:56 am to
Two games + the yearly “how did CBK lose that game?” game
Posted by BayouCowboy
Member since Dec 2012
16444 posts
Posted on 7/21/24 at 9:57 am to
Seems a little crazy, but from an opponent standpoint, if we get past that week one game vs USC and beat Ole Miss at home, I think we are a playoff time. Even with a Bama loss and a possible let down vs Aggie.
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