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Message
Post your Hawkeye Cauci Predictions
Posted on 1/15/24 at 11:01 am
Posted on 1/15/24 at 11:01 am
I think DeSantis does well, relative to polls, as his base of support is solid. Nikki does not do as well as polls suggest because I think a lot of her support is soft: mostly opposition to other candidates rather than support for Haley.
Trump - 51%
DeSantis - 22%
Haley - 17%
Vivek - 9%
Others - 1%
Trump - 51%
DeSantis - 22%
Haley - 17%
Vivek - 9%
Others - 1%
20
Posted on 1/15/24 at 11:02 am to BengalOnTheBay
Probably in the ballpark.
Posted on 1/15/24 at 11:54 am to BengalOnTheBay
It is Iowa, when was the last time they correctly predicted the next Republican POTUS?
If Iowa folks were smart they would take all that corn and fire up the still today
If Iowa folks were smart they would take all that corn and fire up the still today
Posted on 1/15/24 at 12:22 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Don't think Trump gets to 51 percent. There will be a lot of democrats voting for the best Democrat running in 24 Haley.
Trump 1st about 42
Haley second 27
Tiny D 21
Ramaswamy 8
Rest who cares.
Trump 1st about 42
Haley second 27
Tiny D 21
Ramaswamy 8
Rest who cares.
Posted on 1/15/24 at 12:27 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Posted on 1/15/24 at 12:30 pm to Cheese Grits
quote:
It is Iowa, when was the last time they correctly predicted the next Republican POTUS?
So you are saying that Don will lose the nomination or presidency
Interesting.
I will report you to local MAGA for your reeducation
Posted on 1/15/24 at 12:31 pm to BengalOnTheBay
DeSantis: 37%
Trump: 36%
Vivek: 15%
Haley: 10%
Others: 2%
Bonus: DeSantis dominates northwest Iowa
Trump: 36%
Vivek: 15%
Haley: 10%
Others: 2%
Bonus: DeSantis dominates northwest Iowa
This post was edited on 1/15/24 at 12:34 pm
Posted on 1/15/24 at 12:37 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Whole lotta FRAUD
Posted on 1/15/24 at 1:31 pm to BengalOnTheBay
This is my DeSantis beats expectations prediction.
Trump -40%
DeSantis - 34%
Haley - 12%
Vivek - 13%
Others - 1%
More likely it will be:
Trump -51%
DeSantis - 22%
Haley - 16%
Vivek - 10%
Others - 1%
Haley's support comes from Democrats crossing over and voting for her - they will not turn out in this weather. That, plus DeSantis' excellent ground game and Iowa endorsement will ensure Haley does not finish 2nd.
Trump -40%
DeSantis - 34%
Haley - 12%
Vivek - 13%
Others - 1%
More likely it will be:
Trump -51%
DeSantis - 22%
Haley - 16%
Vivek - 10%
Others - 1%
Haley's support comes from Democrats crossing over and voting for her - they will not turn out in this weather. That, plus DeSantis' excellent ground game and Iowa endorsement will ensure Haley does not finish 2nd.
Posted on 1/15/24 at 1:37 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Trump - 59%
Haley - 19%
Vivek - 12%
DeSantis - 9%
Others - 1%
Haley - 19%
Vivek - 12%
DeSantis - 9%
Others - 1%
This post was edited on 1/15/24 at 1:37 pm
Posted on 1/15/24 at 1:48 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Let's not forget that Trump lost to Cruz by 3.3 points in 2016. Trump finished ahead of Rubio by 1.2 points.
Iowa is not as prophetic as they hope to be it seems.
Iowa is not as prophetic as they hope to be it seems.
This post was edited on 1/15/24 at 1:53 pm
Posted on 1/15/24 at 1:51 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Trump - 47%
Haley - 22%
DeSantis - 18%
Vivek - 12%
Others - 1%
Haley - 22%
DeSantis - 18%
Vivek - 12%
Others - 1%
Posted on 1/15/24 at 2:35 pm to BengalOnTheBay
I think Vivek will shock the others (other than Trump)
Posted on 1/15/24 at 2:35 pm to BengalOnTheBay
My Hawkeye prediction is Trump
Posted on 1/15/24 at 3:16 pm to Jayrod79
quote:
There will be a lot of democrats voting for the best Democrat running in 24 Haley.
I just don't see that contigent of people going out in the weather just to "show Trump," but that is certainly the biggest unknown tonight, I think.
Posted on 1/15/24 at 3:17 pm to keakar
quote:
Trump - 59%
Haley - 19%
Vivek - 12%
DeSantis - 9%
Others - 1%
If the night is that bad for DeSantis, I don't see how he can continue his campaign.
Posted on 1/15/24 at 4:07 pm to Adam Banks
quote:
I will report you to local MAGA for your reeducation
MAGA folks are not MAGA folks
Ronnie was OG MAGA, this MAGA it just a shell. If you live through the history, kinda hard to reeducate without using some form of MAO Commie brainwashing.
Posted on 1/15/24 at 4:16 pm to BengalOnTheBay
42% Trump
24% DeSantis
17% Haley
12% Vivek
24% DeSantis
17% Haley
12% Vivek
Posted on 1/15/24 at 4:19 pm to BengalOnTheBay
Posted on 1/15/24 at 4:41 pm to BengalOnTheBay
quote:
I just don't see that contigent of people going out in the weather just to "show Trump," but that is certainly the biggest unknown tonight, I think.
I tend to agree with you here. Going worst case in that prediction. The everyone hates Trump propaganda is definitely exhausted.
This post was edited on 1/15/24 at 4:42 pm
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