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re: Social Security - Help me understand better

Posted on 2/8/23 at 10:34 pm to
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 10:34 pm to
quote:

So is the second one. I’m not sure why you’re having a meltdown; I linked to the SS page. It’s not as if I was putting out false information, you just made a poor assumption about the part I disagreed with.


Your link supports my position. Everyone that works pays into social security (unless covered by certain pensions). That’s been a tremendous point of confusion ITT. I don’t have any idea why you’re trying to side step that reality. I’m not melting and you are reaching bigly now.

Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 10:39 pm to
quote:

So is the second one. I’m not sure why you’re having a meltdown; I linked to the SS page. It’s not as if I was putting out false information, you just made a poor assumption about the part I disagreed with.


Let me extend you an olive branch.

If your whole point is that you were right that some orphans never paid into social security but are receiving benefits, you are correct.

There’s an insignificant percentage of people in this country that have, by choice, not paid into social security but are still receiving benefits. Do you agree or disagree?
Posted by 1morecast
Member since Jan 2013
61 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 10:46 pm to
Who needs more ss money at age 70? Take it early for less money and enjoy life if you planned ahead while working
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 10:48 pm to
quote:

Who needs more ss money at age 70? Take it early for less money and enjoy life if you planned ahead while working


Wealthy people trying to build generational wealth.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
22195 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 11:10 pm to
quote:

There’s an insignificant percentage of people in this country that have, by choice, not paid into social security but are still receiving benefits. Do you agree or disagree?


It was once insignificant; I’m not sure it is now. You’re not so naive, I hope, to think it consists largely of orphans. I’d be curious to see an accurate number in the increase over the last 30-40 years in “disability” payouts. I think it would be depressing.
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 11:25 pm to
quote:

It was once insignificant; I’m not sure it is now. You’re not so naive, I hope, to think it consists largely of orphans. I’d be curious to see an accurate number in the increase over the last 30-40 years in “disability” payouts. I think it would be depressing.


It’s an insignificant and meaningless number when taking into consideration what those folks would get up to without the handouts. It’s unfortunate, but it’s the truth.

I’m as conservative as it gets, but if you don’t believe social security is the lesser evil, you shouldn’t be accusing anyone of being naive. People in this country cannot be trusted to save for retirement. It’s a major problem. Social security isn’t a solution but at least it’s a safety net.
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/8/23 at 11:31 pm to
quote:

It was once insignificant; I’m not sure it is now. You’re not so naive, I hope, to think it consists largely of orphans. I’d be curious to see an accurate number in the increase over the last 30-40 years in “disability” payouts. I think it would be depressing.


I encourage you to fact check your claim that a person can receive disability payouts without paying into social security.

Let me know what you find.
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14543 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 12:30 am to
Posted by boxcar willie
kenner
Member since Mar 2011
16038 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 5:54 am to
Depends on how long you live. With people living longer these days they get more out than they put in
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124688 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 6:38 am to
quote:

With people living longer these days they get more out than they put in
Fair enough. But what is your measure of "what they put in"?

Cash contributions? or Cash contributions w/ 10% compounding interest?
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7752 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 6:59 am to
quote:

Fair enough. But what is your measure of "what they put in"? Cash contributions? or Cash contributions w/ 10% compounding interest?


For those saying about the unfairness of some SS payments verses others, SS is an insurance program. Your premiums are a percentage of your pay and employer share, and after meeting certain conditions you are eligible for a certain level of payments.

Unfortunately, some do not live to collect every dollar that was paid as premiums, and others collect way more that they ever could put in.

One thing I think that could help with some stability in the system would be an optional extra contribution that individuals could get a match by their employer to avoid future cuts when we get to that point. If workers elected to do this then future benefits would not be reduced as much as required by law when we get to that point depending on your level of participation.

I also believe that some changes to the system are necessary such as increased quarter requirements to reflect a lifetime of work and not someone who will game the system by increasing pay for a few years before retiring or join the workforce for a few years before retirement age to become eligible for a check.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124688 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:08 am to
quote:

SS is an insurance program.
quote:

not someone who will game the system by increasing pay for a few years before retiring


quote:

some do not live to collect every dollar that was paid as premiums
Again, fair enough. But what is your measure of "every dollar that was paid as premiums"? Cash contributions alone? or Cash contributions with compounding interest?
Posted by I B Freeman
Member since Oct 2009
27843 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:21 am to
It really doesn’t much how long or how much you paid in. The max is about $3400 and I suspect the average is $1500 or so. So in reality a some people will get a lot more than they paid in while a lot will never get what they paid in.
This post was edited on 2/9/23 at 7:28 am
Posted by Crimson Wraith
Member since Jan 2014
25132 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:23 am to
Maybe Ukraine will lend us some money.
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:41 am to
Yes, I’ve acknowledged children are eligible for benefits if their parents paid into social security.

I have plenty of clients with actual disabled children. Disability benefits are not what you think. It’s not a hill worth dying on.
Posted by southdowns84
Member since Dec 2009
1455 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:45 am to
I know it’s strange, but technically SS is an insurance program. The benefits are calculated based on your Primary Insurance Amount.

LINK
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124688 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 7:58 am to
quote:

but technically SS is an insurance program
Actuarial analysis is different than insurance itself.
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
7752 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:10 am to
quote:

SS is an insurance program.


Even SSA uses insured person on their website.

quote:

not someone who will game the system by increasing pay for a few years before retiring


I know this is more prevalent in state retirement systems when worker maybe in the last few years of employment to get promoted to a higher pay scale only to retire a few years later to get their 5 or 3 year average to bump up their retirement. I don’t know how social security determines your benefit amount, but fixing the calculations to prevent should be considered.


quote:

some do not live to collect every dollar that was paid as premiums Again, fair enough. But what is your measure of "every dollar that was paid as premiums"? Cash contributions alone? or Cash contributions with compounding interest?


Do you collect every dollar of car insurance or homeowners insurance if you don’t file a claim?

What I meant by that is that you have someone that dies at 65 and unless they filed early they will not collect a single cent from their social security record. Their widow(er) can file but if their earnings record is better they will only be able to collect on one of the two benefits and not both. But as stated above, that is why Social Security is more insurance than a welfare program.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124688 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 8:49 am to
quote:

Do you collect every dollar of car insurance or homeowners insurance if you don’t file a claim?
I think you are missing the point.
(1) SS is a loan which an employee is forced to allow the Federal Government to borrow with repayment structured to begin when/if the employee reaches retirement, not "insurance." The terms of borrow include an ROI which is (in most instances) very low. The low cost of borrow renders SS an invaluable monetizing vehicle for the federal government.
(2) My question, though, regarding your measure of "every dollar that was paid as premiums," relates to ROI. SS totals a participant's unadjusted contributions vs SS payouts. When total payouts exceed total contributions, SS proponents shout "See what a great program this is!" At that crossover point (Total contributions = Total payouts), ROI remains significantly negative IAW compounded inflation rate over the contributional timeframe. Hence, the question regarding how total "premiums" are assessed.
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14543 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 9:54 am to
quote:

The amount that you pay into it goes directly to the current beneficiaries (i.e., retirees). This works well as long as you have stable age demographics, which we do not. Because of an aging of the population, the share of retirees is growing relative to the share of people paying into it, making the program unsustainable under current tax rates ($ inflows) and benefits ($ outflows).


Just want to bump this. In a rare moment for the Poliboard, the answer was in the first response.
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