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re: Social Security - Help me understand better

Posted on 2/9/23 at 12:53 pm to
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Yes, I’ve acknowledged children are eligible for benefits if their parents paid into social security.

I have plenty of clients with actual disabled children. Disability benefits are not what you think. It’s not a hill worth dying on.




Take a look at the people who are recieving SSI and try to find out something about their past....it is not what its cut out to be but most of those people are so out of touch with reality it is the best deal they have ever been offered in their lives. That is a problem. Work should be rewarding to the point that it provides hope for people who have none and are willing to pretend to be disabled for $900 a month....
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5063 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 12:56 pm to
quote:

I guess, or otherwise just leave them to their own devices but about 80% of Americans think SS is preferable to either choice...only the hateful and greedy gripe about it.


Bullshat. People with a brain gripe about SS because they know there is a better alternative.

The country would do well to teach EVERYONE about compound interest and how it works at the high school. Simple math. Drill it into their heads.

This goes back to the "give a man a fish and feed him for a day" _"teach him how to fish, feed him for life."
This post was edited on 2/9/23 at 12:59 pm
Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14513 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

Again, a ponzi scheme is sold on you being paid out of returns on your investment, not by the other people in the scheme. Social security is sold, up front, as you being paid by those investing in the scheme, not from YOUR investment in the scheme. It really is simple minded to pretend that you don't undrstand this OR just stupid if you really do not...


You are being either willfully ignorant or technically pedantic. Regardless of how it is "sold" (what does that mean anyway?) it operates as ponzi scheme. And even if not technically correct, people opposed cuts because they put in "their money" so they deserve the benefits they "earned."

"Using new investor funds to pay prior investors" is a key ingredient of a ponzi scheme. How it was "sold" is irrelevant.



Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:00 pm to
quote:


Yeah, people in this country can't be trusted to save because we've trained them not to. This is the exact same thing the libs do with school lunches; look at the growing numbers and assume those children will all starve to death without the lunch program.



WHo taught Americans not to save for retirement before social security?? They did not then either. Someone must have taught them, no? The funny thing about Social Security is that the first generation of Americans who were born prior to its existence and watched those around them age, become disabled and orphaned and how they suffered for their ill behavior to become old, disabled or orphaned were ADAMANT in their support for social security as has every generation of American's yet EXCEPT for a small % of baby boomers who thought flower power was a good idea in the 1970s and Supply Side economics was a good idea in the 1980s. Those idiots started the villification of a program which was and is a booming success in its core mission and is nothing more than a promise from the able bodied and adult to the feeble and the child with no means that they will be taken care of with some modest income and dignity. Those same idiots are now staunch supporters of THEIR social security but the raised a bunch of mal-adjusted kids who carry on their idiocy and hateful ways. It is a shame that so many people have been deluded into thinking that because they have a 401K they belong to the investor class...
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:12 pm to
quote:

You are being either willfully ignorant or technically pedantic. Regardless of how it is "sold" (what does that mean anyway?) it operates as ponzi scheme. And even if not technically correct, people opposed cuts because they put in "their money" so they deserve the benefits they "earned."

"Using new investor funds to pay prior investors" is a key ingredient of a ponzi scheme. How it was "sold" is irrelevant.


It does not operate as a ponzi scheme. A ponzi scheme is sold to potential investors with claims that their money plus a substantial amount more will be repaid in a short period of time based on the investment of that money. The scheme is perpetuated by paying the early investors with the money of the subsequent investors with the person doing the selling taking a portion for their trouble. It is doomed to fail from conception because it relies on an increasing number of investors when there is a finite number of investors and eventually some investors are not going to get paid and the jig is, as they say, up.

Social security, on the other hand, has NEVER made any claims that anyone would be paid from their money being invested in anything. It has always been upfront in how it would be funded...nearly all working people would pay some, and most people would be eligible for a modest income should they become too old to work, physically unable to do so or were orphaned an unable to work due their being a child. Social Security also never made any claims that anyone would be repaid all of their money plus some in a short period of time. It is understood that, barring some tragedy, that most people will wait 45 years or longer before seeing any money from the fund. If they become disabled or orphan their kids they or their kid will see some but the payer will wait a while in most instances. It is also understood should you die before being eligible and do not have any dependents that you will see nothing from the fund. Further it is understood that the benefits you recieve will be limited regardless ofhow much you pay in...there is a ceiling that is reached in benefit amount that no one surpasses.

So it is easy to see that a person who is stating SS is not a Ponzi scheme is being honest and truthful while anyone claiming otherwise is most likely villifying a program that is a smashing sucess in its core mission or simply ignorant.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:23 pm to
quote:


"Using new investor funds to pay prior investors" is a key ingredient of a ponzi scheme. How it was "sold" is irrelevant.


No one who is not trying to villify social security has ever referred to anyone paying into the trust fund as an investor nor any recipient of benefits a prior investor because social security has never been sold, promoted, marketed or otherwise presented to anyone as a financial investment. People paying into the fund are workers and benefit recipients are just that, recipients.

Anyone claiming that social security is an investment knows nothing or is being dishonest. You can sell an investment or stop investing. You can do neither with social security. Social security benefits are backed by the United States Government and as such are about as sure as death and taxes. No investment can make that claim outside of bonds and treasury notes, which can be cashed in at any time or opted out of anytime...so there is that. Social security benefits are also adjusted for inflation....investments are not in any way shape form or fashion. Finally social security benefits are payable as long as you or your spouse lives and ends then, or when your child becomes and adult. You can will an investment to an heir...you can't social security because it ain't an investment.

Not being an investment prevents it fitting the definition of a ponzi scheme. But most people who claim otherwise know this and pretend to think differently or they are ignorant.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124183 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Yeah, but that's a pretty low bar.
Indeed. But that low bar is a massive 1000% of predicted SS shortfalls.

SSTF holdings are currently ~$2.8 trillion. Any shortfalls in annual revenue:expenditure are withdrawn from the trust fund.

In 2034, the SSTF is slated to run out of money. At that point, SS revenue will amount to 80% of SS payouts. That equates to a ~$220 Billion/yr deficit. If unaddressed, the 20% SS deficit would continue in a fairly stable manner for the next 75yrs.

In the meantime, the non-SS budgetary deficit is slated run about $2 trillion in 2034. i.e., UNSUSTAINABLE and 10 times the SS deficit.

Again the fact we are even discussing SS, as opposed to our gargantuan non-SS overspending is demonstrative as to how ridiculous the deficit conversation has become.
quote:


quote:


Posted by BigJim
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2010
14513 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

It does not operate as a ponzi scheme


quote:

A ponzi scheme is sold to potential investors


You are equating operating with sold. I don't care how it was marketed, I care how it's financed. No private insurance company could get away with how SS is financed.

quote:

Social security, on the other hand, has NEVER made any claims that anyone would be paid from their money being invested in anything. It has always been upfront in how it would be funded


Who is "Social security?" Maybe the trust is honest, but the politicians and interest groups that have control and influence over social security law and policy have done nothing to disabuse people of the notion that any policy that "cuts" benefits is taking away benefits that they "paid for." You are ignoring this to the point of dishonesty.

And let's side aside that point. Even then, the best you can say is "Social Security is honest about being a ponzi scheme."






Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
19691 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:45 pm to
SS has a horrible return on investment, but government loves to borrow money with a zero or negative interest rate.
Posted by Flats
Member since Jul 2019
21879 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

WHo taught Americans not to save for retirement before social security?? They did not then either. Someone must have taught them, no? The funny thing about Social Security is that the first generation of Americans who were born prior to its existence and watched those around them age, become disabled and orphaned and how they suffered for their ill behavior to become old, disabled or orphaned were ADAMANT in their support for social security as has every generation of American's yet EXCEPT for a small % of baby boomers who thought flower power was a good idea in the 1970s and Supply Side economics was a good idea in the 1980s. Those idiots started the villification of a program which was and is a booming success in its core mission and is nothing more than a promise from the able bodied and adult to the feeble and the child with no means that they will be taken care of with some modest income and dignity. Those same idiots are now staunch supporters of THEIR social security but the raised a bunch of mal-adjusted kids who carry on their idiocy and hateful ways. It is a shame that so many people have been deluded into thinking that because they have a 401K they belong to the investor class...


You sound like a woman; nothing but emotional arguments.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

Bullshat. People with a brain gripe about SS because they know there is a better alternative.

The country would do well to teach EVERYONE about compound interest and how it works at the high school. Simple math. Drill it into their heads.

This goes back to the "give a man a fish and feed him for a day" _"teach him how to fish, feed him for life."



People with a brain understand that there has NEVER been an alternative offered that would accomplish what Social Security has accomplished since its inception and implementation. There is no better alternative in the core mission of social security, period. Mankind had several thousand years to find a way for the elderly, the disabled and the orphaned to survive with a modest amount of dignity and failed to do so until about 80 or so years ago. It is not perfect but it is fay superior to anything that preceded it in the history of the species.

The country would do well to teach everyone about investing and the advantages and pitfalls. I would posit they do this but everyone is inundated with images of wealth and leisure that can be purchased on time without a care in the world and way too many people take that to heart while eschewing the virtues of saving and investment until it is too late or nearly so.

Investment, saving and compound interest have absolutely nothing to do with the core mission of social security, however. We would also be well served if this simple and relatively easy to understand concept was taught to everyone. Social security is not an investment. You can't sell it, you can't, for the most part opt out and the return is limited to a dollar amount per month until you die....you can not will it to a successor other than your spouse should you choose a lower benefit amount to begin with. There is NOTHING about social security which would suggest it is an investment and has anything to do with the miracles of compounding interest. That idea is about 180 degrees out of phase with reality.

It is far better to teach a man to fish than give him a fish IF that man is physically able to catch a fish himself. If he is not teaching him to fish is a nice gesture but he will starve if fish is all that is available because he ain't physically able to catch a fish. This parable, while absolutely accurate, is as far off the mark in regards to social security as it could be. Most social security recipients know how to catch a fish...they have been doing it succesfully since they were 18 or so and now that they are 65 are expert anglers. No one is giving them NOTHING. They are, however, many times no longer physically able to catch a fish or enough fish to sustain themselves....so the younger anglers among us reach in our creel and give them some so they can exist in a moderate level of dignity after having contributed so much to the world in their 65 or more years. Anyone who would begrudge that angler a portion of their catch is just a hard hearted old soul.

There are also some potential anglers who do never possessed the physical ability to catch a fish or through some tragedy or accident lost the ability to catch a fish. Again, the able bodied anglers among us gladly reach in our amply creel and hand that would be angler a fish or two so they may survive with some dignity. Again, only a cold a-hole would begrudge that person a fish now and then.

Finally there are young, would be anglers, too young yet to catch their own fish but in the process of learning how to and gaining the physical ability to do so whose teachers were taken from them by cold fate. Again, the able bodied angler reaches in his creel and hands a fish or two over to these orphans. Only a troglodyte would begrudge an orphan a fish.

Social Security has been, is and will continue to be a smashing success in its core mission if enough of us refuse to lower ourselves to our base nature and get so cold and hard hearted that we would indeed begrudge an old person, a person with limited abilities or an orphan some modest income, out of ours, that allows them to survive with some modest dignity instead of being on the dole or worse, resorting to crime, to survive. If we refuse to allow bankers to con us into thinking this, our money and our promise to one another, is an investment meant to enrich ourselves with no regard to the well being of others, social security will continue to do what it was always intended to do....provide a modest income to those unable to earn said income while doing so with some dignity.
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
32348 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

you can not will it to a successor other than your spouse should you choose a lower benefit amount to begin with.
and even then, if your spouse also has SS, you have to pick the higher of the two. Spouse does not get both.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:03 pm to
quote:

SS has a horrible return on investment, but government loves to borrow money with a zero or negative interest rate.


While social security is not now, never has been and never will be an investment lets pretend for a moment it is.....the ROI is better than most investments because there is almost NO risk involved. If you do not die before you reach FRA you will receive SOME return on your money...everyone who does not die before FRA and has paid into the system will also receive some return. This return is GUARANTEED and backed by the US Government....there is NO other investment that will return SOMETHING that is close to as risk free as Social Security.

Additionally, should you become diasbled you will see a return on your investment. That is not the case of any other investment if it no longer has any value which can and does happen. Your spouse will also see a return if you took a lower benefit or they have no other income. Again, if any other "investment" has lost value to zero they will see nothing. Finally if your child becomes an oprhan they will see some return until they become an adult. Try that with an investment which has lost all value. Risk is a major consideration when comparing ROIs and there is almost zero risk in social security compared to almost any other investment.....therefore social security, were it an investment (it is not) would have better ROI than any other....
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124183 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

...only the hateful and greedy gripe about it.
Dude

I can assure you I'm neither hateful or greedy. But I'll damn well gripe about any mandatory program run as inefficiently as SS.

e.g., Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have received SS checks for years. When I eventually qualify for SS, I'll fall their highest benefits tranche, and won't need a penny of it.

OTOH, working class employees have their income garnered for years only to have it returned (maybe) at an inflation-adjusted ROI loss 40yrs later. Federal payroll tax withholding is a big deal for folks on a budget. At least the damn payout at the other end could make it worthwhile.

Adding insult to injury, life expectancy for various working class groups may run as much as 10yrs shorter than for wealthier demographics. Yet, there is no transference of benefit or money for early death or underutilized "benefits." Does that piss me off? Yeah, it kind of does. It should probably piss you off as well, even if you're not hateful and greedy.
Posted by frogtown
Member since Aug 2017
5063 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

People with a brain understand that there has NEVER been an alternative offered that would accomplish what Social Security has accomplished since its inception and implementation. There is no better alternative in the core mission of social security, period. Mankind had several thousand years to find a way for the elderly, the disabled and the orphaned to survive with a modest amount of dignity and failed to do so until about 80 or so years ago. It is not perfect but it is fay superior to anything that preceded it in the history of the species.

The country would do well to teach everyone about investing and the advantages and pitfalls. I would posit they do this but everyone is inundated with images of wealth and leisure that can be purchased on time without a care in the world and way too many people take that to heart while eschewing the virtues of saving and investment until it is too late or nearly so.

Investment, saving and compound interest have absolutely nothing to do with the core mission of social security, however. We would also be well served if this simple and relatively easy to understand concept was taught to everyone. Social security is not an investment. You can't sell it, you can't, for the most part opt out and the return is limited to a dollar amount per month until you die....you can not will it to a successor other than your spouse should you choose a lower benefit amount to begin with. There is NOTHING about social security which would suggest it is an investment and has anything to do with the miracles of compounding interest. That idea is about 180 degrees out of phase with reality.

It is far better to teach a man to fish than give him a fish IF that man is physically able to catch a fish himself. If he is not teaching him to fish is a nice gesture but he will starve if fish is all that is available because he ain't physically able to catch a fish. This parable, while absolutely accurate, is as far off the mark in regards to social security as it could be. Most social security recipients know how to catch a fish...they have been doing it succesfully since they were 18 or so and now that they are 65 are expert anglers. No one is giving them NOTHING. They are, however, many times no longer physically able to catch a fish or enough fish to sustain themselves....so the younger anglers among us reach in our creel and give them some so they can exist in a moderate level of dignity after having contributed so much to the world in their 65 or more years. Anyone who would begrudge that angler a portion of their catch is just a hard hearted old soul.

There are also some potential anglers who do never possessed the physical ability to catch a fish or through some tragedy or accident lost the ability to catch a fish. Again, the able bodied anglers among us gladly reach in our amply creel and hand that would be angler a fish or two so they may survive with some dignity. Again, only a cold a-hole would begrudge that person a fish now and then.

Finally there are young, would be anglers, too young yet to catch their own fish but in the process of learning how to and gaining the physical ability to do so whose teachers were taken from them by cold fate. Again, the able bodied angler reaches in his creel and hands a fish or two over to these orphans. Only a troglodyte would begrudge an orphan a fish.

Social Security has been, is and will continue to be a smashing success in its core mission if enough of us refuse to lower ourselves to our base nature and get so cold and hard hearted that we would indeed begrudge an old person, a person with limited abilities or an orphan some modest income, out of ours, that allows them to survive with some modest dignity instead of being on the dole or worse, resorting to crime, to survive. If we refuse to allow bankers to con us into thinking this, our money and our promise to one another, is an investment meant to enrich ourselves with no regard to the well being of others, social security will continue to do what it was always intended to do....provide a modest income to those unable to earn said income while doing so with some dignit


Please learn to be pithy with your comments or soon people will be ignoring you.

Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
124183 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

....the ROI is better than most investments because there is almost NO risk involved.
ORLY?
Run the numbers for a new retiree w/ a 45work-yr history, SS vs a US Treasury account.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261538 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

While social security is not now, never has been and never will be an investment lets pretend for a moment it is.....the ROI is better than most investments because there is almost NO risk involved


What kind of interest am I getting?
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:19 pm to
quote:

Who is "Social security?" Maybe the trust is honest, but the politicians and interest groups that have control and influence over social security law and policy have done nothing to disabuse people of the notion that any policy that "cuts" benefits is taking away benefits that they "paid for." You are ignoring this to the point of dishonesty.

And let's side aside that point. Even then, the best you can say is "Social Security is honest about being a ponzi scheme."


Social security has never been presented in a similar fashion as a Ponzi Scheme by anyone who wasn't villifying one of the most successful social programs in the history of mankind. It can't be turned into a Ponzi scheme by dishonest politicians and special interest groups, which certainly do exist and have done all they can to use social security as a dividing line between people so they can exploit us further. The only real damage that can be done would involve turning it over to the investor class.

I am not ignoring folks who claim any adjustment is a cut in benefits that people have paid for...I think that any adjustment is rightfully seen as just that...and it is necessary still for the fund to satisfy its core mission. More honest politicians in the early 80's from both parties managed to pull just that off while telling people exactly what they were doing...making it longer to reach FRA which is indeed a cut in benefits that have been bought and paid for. No one liked it but they accepted it because they could trust those leaders. This was before one party openly admitted they dreamed of letting medicare wither on the vine and handing the SS money over to bankers because that has worked out for the elderly, the disabled and the orphaned so well in the past and the other party concluded that any talk of any adjustment in social security was an attack on the neediest segments of society when in fact most of the burden is carried by the wealthiest among us. That started just days after we accepted the last major adjustment and since we have been inundated with tales of social securities imminent demise and how bad an investment it is, despite it never having been an investment (why it isn't also touted as a lousy linebacker is beyond me, it is as much that as an investment) and villification of the fund to the point where many of us are simply done with altogether. We are willing to break our promise to one another because abunch of sleazy politicians tell us its the other sides fault and that makes us feel good.

quote:

You are equating operating with sold. I don't care how it was marketed, I care how it's financed. No private insurance company could get away with how SS is financed.


That is because of 2 things....social security is not a private insurance company and no private insurance company would feign to undertake the basic mission of social security because there is no way to do so and turn a profit. Every penny of social security is used to administer the fund and pay benefits. Insurance requires investors be made whole. They could not do that and meet the basic requirement of the mission of social security.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:22 pm to
quote:

quote:
you can not will it to a successor other than your spouse should you choose a lower benefit amount to begin with.
and even then, if your spouse also has SS, you have to pick the higher of the two. Spouse does not get both.



Good point and one more example of how social security is as much a linebacker as it is an investment. Were it an investment a spouse would reap the entirety of their ROI. That is not the case with social security, benefits are limited by law. If you take a lower benefit initially though your spouse will continue to receive benefits after you die even if they never paid a penny in.
Posted by AwgustaDawg
CSRA
Member since Jan 2023
7280 posts
Posted on 2/9/23 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Dude

I can assure you I'm neither hateful or greedy. But I'll damn well gripe about any mandatory program run as inefficiently as SS.

e.g., Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger have received SS checks for years. When I eventually qualify for SS, I'll fall their highest benefits tranche, and won't need a penny of it.

OTOH, working class employees have their income garnered for years only to have it returned (maybe) at an inflation-adjusted ROI loss 40yrs later. Federal payroll tax withholding is a big deal for folks on a budget. At least the damn payout at the other end could make it worthwhile.

Adding insult to injury, life expectancy for various working class groups may run as much as 10yrs shorter than for wealthier demographics. Yet, there is no transference of benefit or money for early death or underutilized "benefits." Does that piss me off? Yeah, it kind of does. It should probably piss you off as well, even if you're not hateful and greedy.



My wife and I are in the same position....we do not need SS to retire comfortably unless something tragic happens in the next 10 years or so. That is a problem. You are 100% correct. It is also a problem that some folks jobs means their life expectancy is not as high as others and they will get shafted. Lifestyle is the same way as is income level...poor people die younger and pay far more in relative terms into SS than wealthy people and that is a problem. There are heaping piles of things we should do to social security to make it even sounder and more equitable for those who truly need it but we don't because all we talk about are social security cheats (the scum of the earth) how bad an investment it is (it is not an investment but we talk about that a lot) and how much of a shame it is that bankers can't get their hands on the money so they can steal most of it.

You are 100% correct Social Security is FAAAAARRRRR from perfect...its just the best idea ever conjured up to accomplish its core mission and mankind had several thousand years to do so and only came up with a seriously flawed but working system in the last 80 years or so....
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