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Are we a tournament team?
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:04 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:04 am
Tough loss last night but what I saw was very encouraging. We should be favored in most of our home games and the bottom half of the SEC is beatable!
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:04 am to IndianInBR
No guarantees but certainly a realistic and attainable goal.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:07 am to IndianInBR
It looks much more doable after the last two games than most thought possible just two weeks ago.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:09 am to timlan2057
You right. Last week, I would have said “absolutely not!” Well coached and they play hard. They got a shot! The schedule doesn’t do us any favors.
This post was edited on 1/4/23 at 9:16 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:14 am to IndianInBR
Low Dance or High NIT team.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:18 am to IndianInBR
If the tournament started tomorrow, probably not (just on the outside looking in). However, if LSU can get performances similar to what they displayed last night on a consistent basis they likely will be. Winning on the road in college basketball is tough in general. Beating good teams on the road is even tougher. But if you think Kentucky is a top 4-5 SEC team, then that kind of performance is going to give you a few road wins against lesser teams and make you very tough to beat at home.
You almost have to think of the basketball season as two different seasons. (1) non-conf and (2) conference. Given all of the "new" surrounding this team, which was essentially everything, it took some time for the coaches to figure out the best line ups. For instance, it was only about the last 4 games or so of non-conf play that it became clear Fountain and Hayes needed to be starting. You're now seeing the coaches trying to figure out the lineups/rotations in SEC play. Two games in it has become clear Hannibal needs to be playing big minutes. They will continue to run out different rotations to see what works best in the next few games. Give McMahon credit. He's willing to deviate from the initial game plan if necessary.
You almost have to think of the basketball season as two different seasons. (1) non-conf and (2) conference. Given all of the "new" surrounding this team, which was essentially everything, it took some time for the coaches to figure out the best line ups. For instance, it was only about the last 4 games or so of non-conf play that it became clear Fountain and Hayes needed to be starting. You're now seeing the coaches trying to figure out the lineups/rotations in SEC play. Two games in it has become clear Hannibal needs to be playing big minutes. They will continue to run out different rotations to see what works best in the next few games. Give McMahon credit. He's willing to deviate from the initial game plan if necessary.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:24 am to Alt26
Not a big dance team this year, but they should be able to get a NIT bid
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:25 am to IndianInBR
Rothstein thinks so
Seth Davis thinks highly of us too
quote:
If LSU is good enough to beat Arkansas and play like that at Rupp Arena then it's good enough to play in the NCAA Tournament. So impressed with the Tigers.
Seth Davis thinks highly of us too
quote:
Didn't foul. Won anyway. Playing with fire Cal! Cats needed that win in the worst way. And LSU is legit.
This post was edited on 1/4/23 at 9:29 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:29 am to IndianInBR
Not this year. Maybe NIT. McMahon will have LSU in the tournament most years, once he gets a couple of recruiting classes under his belt.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:31 am to IndianInBR
If we finish above .500 in conference (MAYBE EVEN .500) we should be in. It would be hard to make it with a losing record in SEC since our out of conference schedule was not particularly strong. Pulling for these tigers! Really want to see Adam Miller get cooking like he was early season and trust me... its coming!
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:38 am to IndianInBR
Will have to wait and see. Can't look too far ahead. LSU was a projected as a 2 seed at this point last year.
LSU this season has played up and down to their opponents. But a 1-1 start to this brutal first half of the SEC season is already exceeding expectations. LSU's next two games are both very winnable and LSU needs to split them at worst.
LSU has had A&M's number the past few years as Will Wade was 10-0 vs the Aggies. But, new coach, new roster, and it's NEVER easy on the road in the SEC. Would not be the end of the world if LSU drops this game, but a win keeps LSU firmly in the bubble and might slip the team from 1st 4 out to last 4 in bracketology-wise.
Then LSU cannot afford to lose to Florida at home. Florida has a decent SOS and NET ranking considering their 7-6 record. But they're 0-6 against Quad 1 (0-5) and 2 (0-1) opponents with 6 of 7 wins coming against Quad 4 teams.
eta: Even with the loss, LSU passed the eye test against UK. Still counts as a loss, but the eye test matters, especially as a potential bubble team.
LSU this season has played up and down to their opponents. But a 1-1 start to this brutal first half of the SEC season is already exceeding expectations. LSU's next two games are both very winnable and LSU needs to split them at worst.
LSU has had A&M's number the past few years as Will Wade was 10-0 vs the Aggies. But, new coach, new roster, and it's NEVER easy on the road in the SEC. Would not be the end of the world if LSU drops this game, but a win keeps LSU firmly in the bubble and might slip the team from 1st 4 out to last 4 in bracketology-wise.
Then LSU cannot afford to lose to Florida at home. Florida has a decent SOS and NET ranking considering their 7-6 record. But they're 0-6 against Quad 1 (0-5) and 2 (0-1) opponents with 6 of 7 wins coming against Quad 4 teams.
eta: Even with the loss, LSU passed the eye test against UK. Still counts as a loss, but the eye test matters, especially as a potential bubble team.
This post was edited on 1/4/23 at 9:41 am
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:41 am to IndianInBR
LSU has an opportunity to make the tourney. The problem as I see it is that they are going to play everyone close. That's a double-edged sword. You beat an Arkansas at home which is great, but maybe you slip up at A&M on the road. With the margins being that thin all of the time, LSU is going to have to be nearly spotless in one possession games to pile enough conference wins to get in the NCAAt.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:43 am to IndianInBR
Prolly a bubble this year.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:44 am to The Truth 34
quote:
Rothstein thinks so
quote:
If LSU is good enough to beat Arkansas and play like that at Rupp Arena then it's good enough to play in the NCAA Tournament. So impressed with the Tigers.
Seth Davis thinks highly of us too
quote:
Didn't foul. Won anyway. Playing with fire Cal! Cats needed that win in the worst way. And LSU is legit.
Kentucky basketball is Alabama football. If the Wildcats aren't blowing out every SEC opponent the fanbase is furious. The pressure was building on the team and Cal last night and they had to have a win. LSU was playing with house money. Even then, it took a terrible 3 point shooter Toppin (17% on the year) to hit a contested three to keep LSU at bay in a 1 point game with l:30 to go. UK shot a slightly higher % from the FT line than they generally do and got 12 second chance points (which they often do). That was just enough to hold off an LSU team that played one of their best games of the season. Other than giving up a few too many offensive rebounds, I bet McMahon would tell you LSU executed the game plan for the most part. They gave a poor 3 point shooting team some looks that they hit. If anything, LSU may have been TOO unselfish a few times offensively. Particularly Hannibal.
There are no moral victories. But if last night's performance can give the team greater confidence moving forward they are going to be tough to beat on most nights.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:49 am to KamaCausey_LSU
quote:
LSU's next two games are both very winnable and LSU needs to split them at worst.
I'm almost of the opinion they need to win both. After Florida, LSU is @ Alabama before coming home to play Auburn and Tennessee. They then go to Arkansas. It will be tough to get one win out of those four games...let alone more. The schedule seems to become more favorable after the road game at Arkansas. So if you can stack two more wins this week and steal 1 of the aforementioned 4 games, LSU will probably not be in bad position going into February.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 9:59 am to IndianInBR
If we continue to shoot 44% on 3’s then yes we are. We have to make 8/10 to beat above average teams which is damn near the entire remaining schedule. Everything else is in place to win 8/9 games.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 10:04 am to therick711
LSU will be in EVERY game with the way they are playing
Posted on 1/4/23 at 10:21 am to IndianInBR
If you mean the NIT, probably.
Posted on 1/4/23 at 10:34 am to IndianInBR
We're not close to being in the NCAA tournament yet. Our NET is 79. If the season ended now, we are in the NIT. We have to win at least half of our remaining games, avoid bad losses, and hope that a few of the wins are "good ones" to increase our NET rating before the selection day. Time will tell.
Personally, I think we are a mid to high seeded NIT team rather than a low seeded NCAA team. I would give a 20% probability for a NCAA berth, 75% probability for a NIT berth, and 5% probability for no tournament berth (if injuries riddle the team).
Personally, I think we are a mid to high seeded NIT team rather than a low seeded NCAA team. I would give a 20% probability for a NCAA berth, 75% probability for a NIT berth, and 5% probability for no tournament berth (if injuries riddle the team).
Posted on 1/4/23 at 10:38 am to PNG Futbol
I think we end up making the tourney. Miller might’ve got some confidence back after last night’s game which is massive.
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