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Anyone have insight on how high mortgage rates will go?
Posted on 9/28/22 at 11:52 am
Posted on 9/28/22 at 11:52 am
Started building in February and lumber was the issue. Now lumber is down and interest rates have no sign of slowing down. Can I expect to have a 9% interest rate by the time this is over? Do any bankers think it will go down in 2023? Any insight and help is much appreciated. Anyone that knows who I can get a great rate with? Hoping to be finished in November.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:07 pm to shoelessjoe
Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:09 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
Anyone have insight on how high mortgage rates will go?
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Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:16 pm to iAmBatman
quote:
18.5%, based on historical peaks.
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Posted on 9/28/22 at 12:23 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
Anyone have insight on how high mortgage rates will go?
All the way to the top.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:12 pm to shoelessjoe
If anyone had this information they would be the wealthiest human on the planet.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 1:54 pm to shoelessjoe
8% by year end depending on the area. I wouldn’t be a bit shocked to hit 9% by April
Posted on 9/28/22 at 2:12 pm to shoelessjoe
My guess right now? 10-ish (and that may be pushing it).
Posted on 9/28/22 at 2:58 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
how high mortgage rates will go?
There's a direct correlation with how retarded the Fed wants to be in the time between now and when you lock your loan. Just a little advice: anybody (even in the industry) that talks about rates next year with any degree of certainty is not somebody you should trust.
Just for reference loans funding right now are still 5-5.5%
This post was edited on 9/28/22 at 3:12 pm
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:24 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:Have you checked today? I had multiple lenders call me yesterday telling me theirs spiked up
Just for reference loans funding right now are still 5-5.5%
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:25 pm to llfshoals
Two lenders for conventional loans where quoting me in the 7s today.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:30 pm to shoelessjoe
At least as high as the inflation rate. Whatever that may be….
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:37 pm to Puffoluffagus
quote:I had one still at 6.75, 6.375 for FHA if I remember correctly
Two lenders for conventional loans where quoting me in the 7s today.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:41 pm to llfshoals
quote:
if I remember correctly
nobody is holding their breath
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/Iconcheers.gif)
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Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:45 pm to I Love Bama
quote:I’m old, admittedly counting on my memory isn’t the safest bet ever.
nobody is holding their breath
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:51 pm to llfshoals
Yeah, funny enough we've been talking about revenue optimzation stuff where I work today.
I'm talking about street prices. Those are lender specific prices they are quoting you that include the branch margin and the corporate margin and all of the fees associated with it, and then of course the borrower specific attributes. So in other words they might not be competitive versus the aggregate market but maybe they are in your area. I can't imagine high demand for that loan on the secondary market which is why I'm struggling with how high they can realistically go. But ignore people saying 18% when they are trying to answer your question![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
I'm talking about street prices. Those are lender specific prices they are quoting you that include the branch margin and the corporate margin and all of the fees associated with it, and then of course the borrower specific attributes. So in other words they might not be competitive versus the aggregate market but maybe they are in your area. I can't imagine high demand for that loan on the secondary market which is why I'm struggling with how high they can realistically go. But ignore people saying 18% when they are trying to answer your question
![](https://images.tigerdroppings.com/Images/Icons/IconLOL.gif)
Posted on 9/28/22 at 3:54 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:My first mortgage was 17%, I bought 4 points to get it to 13%.
But ignore people saying 18% when they are trying to answer your question
I don’t think it’ll get that high again, but I don’t have to imagine what it’d be like. I lived it.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 4:01 pm to shoelessjoe
quote:
Can I expect to have a 9% interest rate by the time this is over?
Yes. At least.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 4:39 pm to llfshoals
quote:
My first mortgage was 17%, I bought 4 points to get it to 13%.
Yeah, I understand that but you're talking about basically two entirely different industries at that point.
Posted on 9/28/22 at 4:44 pm to wutangfinancial
quote:Oh I know, I don’t begin to understand the secondary market. I deal mainly in the (for lack of a better word) primary with the buyer/lender. Most of the time I’m making those introductions.
Yeah, I understand that but you're talking about basically two entirely different industries at that point.
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