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Looks like Alaska will hand the Democrats a win in November, Republicans battle each other

Posted on 9/7/22 at 6:51 am
Posted by Major Dutch Schaefer
Location: Classified
Member since Nov 2011
38054 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 6:51 am
LINK

quote:

In the special election, both Palin and Begich lost to former State Rep. Mary Peltola, the Democratic candidate, who captured 41% of the vote in the first round of the new state’s ranked-choice vote system. Palin and Begich gained 31% and 28%, respectively, according to the Alaska Division of Elections.


quote:

Palin has argued that, had Begich not run, many of Begich’s votes would have presumably shifted to her, enabling her to win the special election in the first round.


quote:

“It is time for the GOP to unite, we need to unite behind my candidacy and starting today with Nick Begich withdrawing from this race,” said Palin at a press conference in Wasilla, Alaska.


quote:

For his part, Begich has refused to drop out, vowing to continue campaigning and that he can win the race.

“Ranked choice voting showed that Palin simply doesn’t have enough support from Alaskans to win an election and her performance in the Special was embarrassing as a former Governor and Vice Presidential candidate,” he said in a statement to the Associated Press.

The most recent poll, conducted by Alaska Survey Research in July, showed Begich beating Peltola in a head-to-head special election matchup by eight points (54% to 46%) while showing Palin losing to her, head-to-head, by five points (53% to 48%).
Posted by Icansee4miles
Trolling the Tickfaw
Member since Jan 2007
31744 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 6:54 am to
How Louisiana of them
Posted by SlickRickerz
Member since Oct 2018
2290 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 7:49 am to
Maybe Palin should have never ran again, that’s like Bobby Jindal running for Louisiana governor again and complaining when GOP voters don’t vote for him. People are tired of career politicians.
Posted by TigerB8
End Communism
Member since Oct 2003
10849 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 8:11 am to
quote:

People are tired of career politicians.


They aren't tired of Murkowski.
Posted by GhostOfFreedom
Member since Jan 2021
13017 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 8:18 am to
That establishment hack isn't a real Republican and he is only running to prevent Sarah from getting a clear win.

How GOPe of him.
Posted by weptiger
Georgia
Member since Feb 2007
11561 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 8:21 am to
quote:

How GOPe of him.

Correct. His candidacy was designed to do exactly what it did.
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
11726 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 8:24 am to
Rank choice voting, pushed through by Murkowski to help keep her in power, got Peltola the W.

If it was HTH: Palin vs Peltola, Palin gets the W in the special election.
This post was edited on 9/7/22 at 8:26 am
Posted by NPComb
Member since Jan 2019
27913 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 8:50 am to
This is why we can't have nice things. Having Alaska blue is fricked. I would like to hear Roger's take.
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
62492 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 8:56 am to
quote:

People are tired of career politicians.
I'll believe this when the re-election rate drops below 90%.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35594 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 9:00 am to
quote:

If it was HTH: Palin vs Peltola, Palin gets the W in the special election.

What do you rely on for that? Because Begich's supporters just told you, via their second choice selections, who they would vote for in a head to head race between Palin and Peltola. And they did not choose Palin.

Why would that change in a H2H race?
Posted by LSU2ALA
Member since Jul 2018
2062 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 9:03 am to
quote:

Correct. His candidacy was designed to do exactly what it did.


It certainly seems at this point though that he has the better shot at winning a head to head then she does. Given that, you can certainly argue she’s playing more of a spoiler than he.
Posted by SlickRickerz
Member since Oct 2018
2290 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 9:29 am to
quote:

I'll believe this when the re-election rate drops below 90%.

But she’s not an incumbent, she’s a politician that hasn’t held office since 2009. Her funds are running low and she needs a new position to siphon from taxpayers.
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
112086 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 9:30 am to
quote:

Ranked choice voting showed that Palin simply doesn’t have enough support from Alaskans to win an election and her performance in the Special was embarrassing as a former Governor and Vice Presidential candidate,” he said in a statement to the Associated Press.


quote:

Begich


fricking retard
Posted by RockyMtnTigerWDE
War Damn Eagle Dad!
Member since Oct 2010
108003 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 9:32 am to
Their voting process is so whack
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40177 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Republicans battle each other


We have a thread on the first page discussing what establishment Republicans we need to get rid of.

In the OP it states...

quote:

Even if it comes at the cost of temporarily losing seats


More and more, it is clear the GOP doesn't actually want to be in control.

Posted by LSUbest
Coastal Plain
Member since Aug 2007
14987 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:03 am to
They have some plan to use governors to retain power.
Posted by Midget Death Squad
Meme Magic
Member since Oct 2008
28032 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:03 am to
Begich is a Dem operative doing this for the sole purpose of preventing a Palin win. This is by design.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464991 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:07 am to
quote:

The most recent poll, conducted by Alaska Survey Research in July, showed Begich beating Peltola in a head-to-head special election matchup by eight points (54% to 46%) while showing Palin losing to her, head-to-head, by five points (53% to 48%).

So this is Palin's fault. Got it.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
35594 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:09 am to
quote:

Begich is a Dem operative doing this for the sole purpose of preventing a Palin win. This is by design.

Just so I understand, the theory is that if Begich were not in the race, that Palin would defeat Peltola head to head. Right?

I do not understand where that is coming from. The majority of the people voting for Begich just selected Peltola over Palin as their second choice in the special election.

Are you saying that those people only chose Peltola over Palin because Begich was in the race? And that if he weren't, they would vote for Palin?
Posted by SlowFlowPro
With populists, expect populism
Member since Jan 2004
464991 posts
Posted on 9/7/22 at 10:10 am to
quote:

the theory is that if Begich were not in the race, that Palin would defeat Peltola head to head. Right?

Yes, which no data supports.

quote:

The majority of the people voting for Begich just selected Peltola over Palin as their second choice in the special election.

That and recent polling show Palin is not likely to win.

quote:

Are you saying that those people only chose Peltola over Palin because Begich was in the race? And that if he weren't, they would vote for Palin?

That's what they want to believe. Emotions over facts.
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