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Tropical Storm Ophelia *No Gulf Threat**

Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:19 am
Posted by trussthetruzz
Marquette, MI
Member since Sep 2020
9236 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:19 am


Some models are quite bullish
This post was edited on 9/22/23 at 3:56 pm
Posted by Ingeniero
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2013
20242 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:21 am to
Inshallah it can swing a little wider and make landfall in DC
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:24 am to
The NAM.

LOL

The way the NAM handles convection, hurricanes blow up in an unrealistic manor. Good model for severe weather, very good for shallow cold air intrusions, aint worth a shite for tropical intensity.
Posted by jose
Houma
Member since Feb 2009
29374 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:26 am to


What about the one further out there?
Posted by redneck
Los Suenos, Costa Rica
Member since Dec 2003
53999 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:28 am to
GFS has it getting pushed out to sea before it gets to the Bahamas
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:36 am to
quote:

What about the one further out there?


Interesting case that one. Has an opportunity to slip into the Caribbean if moving quickly enough.

But just as many ensembles are letting it find the opening to recurve out to sea. This season has generally seen the recurves hit, so Im leaning out to sea right now.

But watching the trends on that one. ETA: Trend is going the right direction right now
This post was edited on 9/21/23 at 11:39 am
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
130843 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 12:11 pm to
quote:

Trend is going the right direction
What is the "right direction" to you?
Posted by BananaManCan
Member since Sep 2009
4353 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 12:23 pm to
I think he means the direction it looks like it's currently going.
Posted by foosball
Member since Nov 2021
2210 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 12:25 pm to


Posted by LsuFan_1955
Slidell, La
Member since Jul 2013
1890 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 4:07 pm to
It is going to turn north next week. It will never reach our coast.
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
125550 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 4:17 pm to
quote:

trussthetruzz




rds or gtfo
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 4:37 pm to
quote:

What is the "right direction" to you?


Out to sea.

Its weird, we end up talking about trajectory in terms of no people in the way = good.

Ok that aint weird but no matter where it is going, intensity is talking about in terms of health of the storm. Stronger = good.

Despite, you know, how its actually bad for people.
This post was edited on 9/21/23 at 4:39 pm
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
171743 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 5:52 pm to
Thread should be whacked for using NAM for a tropical system
Posted by Cosmo
glassman's guest house
Member since Oct 2003
125550 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Thread should be whacked for using NAM for a tropical system


Some Rob Perillo bullshite
Posted by Mr Breeze
The Lunatic Fringe
Member since Dec 2010
6504 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:17 pm to
quote:

The NAM.


Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

Thread should be whacked for using NAM for a tropical system


This is problem with rds being awol and me being a lazy piece of shite. Dubious threads happen.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66144 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:24 pm to
quote:

Dubious threads happen.

It livens the joint up and separates the wheat from the chaff. Let it ride.
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36408 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:25 pm to
I have no intentions of stopping the laziness.
Posted by LSUFANMICK
Colorado Springs
Member since Sep 2009
1240 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:25 pm to
Climate change Bro
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
66144 posts
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:31 pm to
quote:

I have no intentions of stopping the laziness.


I have no expectations of anything else.
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