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Message

Tropical Storm Ophelia *No Gulf Threat**
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:19 am
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:19 am

Some models are quite bullish

This post was edited on 9/22/23 at 3:56 pm
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:21 am to trussthetruzz
Inshallah it can swing a little wider and make landfall in DC
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:24 am to trussthetruzz
The NAM.
LOL
The way the NAM handles convection, hurricanes blow up in an unrealistic manor. Good model for severe weather, very good for shallow cold air intrusions, aint worth a shite for tropical intensity.
LOL
The way the NAM handles convection, hurricanes blow up in an unrealistic manor. Good model for severe weather, very good for shallow cold air intrusions, aint worth a shite for tropical intensity.
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:26 am to Duke

What about the one further out there?
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:28 am to jose
GFS has it getting pushed out to sea before it gets to the Bahamas
Posted on 9/21/23 at 11:36 am to jose
quote:
What about the one further out there?
Interesting case that one. Has an opportunity to slip into the Caribbean if moving quickly enough.
But just as many ensembles are letting it find the opening to recurve out to sea. This season has generally seen the recurves hit, so Im leaning out to sea right now.
But watching the trends on that one. ETA: Trend is going the right direction right now
This post was edited on 9/21/23 at 11:39 am
Posted on 9/21/23 at 12:11 pm to Duke
quote:What is the "right direction" to you?
Trend is going the right direction
Posted on 9/21/23 at 12:23 pm to LSURussian
I think he means the direction it looks like it's currently going.
Posted on 9/21/23 at 4:07 pm to jose
It is going to turn north next week. It will never reach our coast.
Posted on 9/21/23 at 4:17 pm to trussthetruzz
quote:
trussthetruzz

rds or gtfo
Posted on 9/21/23 at 4:37 pm to LSURussian
quote:
What is the "right direction" to you?
Out to sea.
Its weird, we end up talking about trajectory in terms of no people in the way = good.
Ok that aint weird but no matter where it is going, intensity is talking about in terms of health of the storm. Stronger = good.
Despite, you know, how its actually bad for people.
This post was edited on 9/21/23 at 4:39 pm
Posted on 9/21/23 at 5:52 pm to trussthetruzz
Thread should be whacked for using NAM for a tropical system
Posted on 9/21/23 at 5:55 pm to The Boat
quote:
Thread should be whacked for using NAM for a tropical system
Some Rob Perillo bullshite
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:20 pm to The Boat
quote:
Thread should be whacked for using NAM for a tropical system
This is problem with rds being awol and me being a lazy piece of shite. Dubious threads happen.
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:24 pm to Duke
quote:
Dubious threads happen.
It livens the joint up and separates the wheat from the chaff. Let it ride.
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:25 pm to LegendInMyMind
I have no intentions of stopping the laziness.
Posted on 9/21/23 at 6:31 pm to Duke
quote:
I have no intentions of stopping the laziness.
I have no expectations of anything else.
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