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Bovada odds on Texas' next HC

Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:16 pm
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:16 pm
They've got Herman at 1/5. That's pretty high.

I'm sure LSU is all in on Jimbo any way. Can they get him? I'd say it's about a 40% chance at the moment.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
179922 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Bovada odds on USA's next POTUS
Posted by Tunasntigers92
The Boot
Member since Sep 2014
28325 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:16 pm to
You are saying its a 40% chance we get Jimbo?
Posted by cas4t
Member since Jan 2010
72196 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:19 pm to
quote:

I'm sure LSU is all in on Jimbo any way. Can they get him? I'd say it's about a 40% chance at the moment.


why do you give it 40%?

I ask because I know you have some connections.
Posted by jbraua
Oklahoma City, OK
Member since Oct 2007
7807 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

it's about a 75% chance at the moment.


FIFY
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

why do you give it 40%?


A few factors:
1) I know he has interest in LSU. Strong interest. That said, there is a difference between living in a different house than you ex & kids vs living in a different state than them (also, regardless of his son's improving health, Jimbo is well aware that the life expectancy is still less than 40 years and I can't see him being in a different state than him, so you have to weigh the whole "move the family and the ex" and you just don't know if Candi wants to move. It's more complicated than moving a married coach with healthy family, despite his strong interest in LSU, so it isn't a lock.)

2) He's got it wired at FSU now. he has little to no surprises in his role, and his team is built for success next year and beyond.

3) He's going to have some strong demands in order to overcome points 1 and 2 and make the move. Depends on if LSU wants to meet those demands, which they may or may not.

I'm not saying 40% JUST because of him. It may be that as talks progress LSU isn't as excited about it.
This post was edited on 11/21/16 at 3:54 pm
Posted by rstamp1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
1524 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:55 pm to
Jimmy Detail said the ex wife lives in Birmingham. Driving time to BR from Birmingham 6 hours, to Tallahassee 5 hours.
Posted by EvrybodysAllAmerican
Member since Apr 2013
12951 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

Jimmy Detail said the ex wife lives in Birmingham


Im sure we could all figure out a nice compromise with Saban/Bama/Fisher that would leave all parties happy...
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 4:03 pm to
quote:

Jimmy Detail said the ex wife lives in Birmingham


I'm not sure that's the case. Her mom and step dad live in Birmingham and, I think, she and Jimbo used to have a property in Bham together.

If she's here, it isn't full time. I was told he set her up with a place in Tally.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
63676 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

They've got Herman at 1/5. That's pretty high.



pretty high? that's basically a lock.
Posted by LSU GrandDad
houston, texas
Member since Jun 2009
21564 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 4:11 pm to
there is absolutely no validity to "odds" in this context. it's a dressed up guess.

garbage is garbage.
Posted by WAY2GOLSU
Stick Red
Member since Dec 2007
1571 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 4:43 pm to
What where their odds for Hillary to win prez before MAGA happened?
Posted by Captain Crown
Member since Jun 2011
57291 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 4:44 pm to
I believe Herman is the favorite and expected to land there. But gambling is a risky business
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 11/21/16 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

What where their odds for Hillary to win prez before MAGA happened?


You're comparing something involving 140M+ decision makers to something involving about a half dozen people?
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