Favorite team:Ole Miss 
Location:Baton rouge
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Number of Posts:126
Registered on:10/1/2018
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in betting, the breakeven line is variable depending on the vig. if your betting 10 percent vig the break even point is around 52%, i fyour betting a bunch of underdogs then it moves to the left, betting a bunch of faves and it moves to the right. The professional gamblers hover around 58-60 percent. this is also based upon your betting tendencies, do you bet one unit for every bet or do you fluctuate? Parlays are sucker bets. At best if your getting even odds your chance of winning one bet is 50%, winning two bets is 25%, 3 Bets is 12.5% etc. Now the payouts are bigger, that is agreed Casinos advertise big parlay winners all of the time, but if you did a deep dive into the math your not paying 10 percent juice, you are paying about 18 percent give or take because the vig is also compounding. Now some bettors do bet correlating parlays which have a higher chance of winning, for example in the NFL the underdog and the over is a correlative parlay, statistics and logic say that if the underdog wins then they have to score more than the predicted score thus covering the over/under. It isn't 100% but it happens more than a coin flip.

re: Good Scotch

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 2/18/26 at 8:41 am to
Macallan 15 year is a basic good scotch and will be appreciated
which General? Mid City or Bluebonnet?
Bourbon, FWIW i am looking for recommendations for my first bottle back

re: Good Scotch

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 2/13/26 at 9:07 am to
what type of scotch does he like to drink?

re: Godfather 3

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 2/10/26 at 10:26 am to
you're a funny guy
Every year i give up Bourbon, then about 2 weeks before Good Friday, I go bourbon hunting to find that year's first bottle back. It is pretty cool because I am not looking for price or name in a sense but more of profiles and quality. I love EH Taylor Small batch, but if has never been my first bottle back. Last year was Wild Turkey Kentucky Spirit, the year before was JD SBBP Rye.
It's probably in French so expect it to be Metric
I saw a video a couple of years back with 2 girls that had a cup. they both looked pretty skinny
Been three times
The first was to see Aerosmith open their Residency, did mostly Tourist things, it was fun

Second was my brother's bachelor party, the day we landed is when the world shut down for Covid, on strip sucked off strip was fun, we found the best sushi i have ever had. It seemed off strip was a little laxer with the covid rules at that time. Casinos were horrible 2 people at a table was nice but kills the roulette and craps vibes. Blackjack was hard to get a seat, sports were nonexistent so gambling was tough. Reservations were cancelled etc. I attribute all of this to the fact that people did not know what to expect with the new epidemic.

The third time was for a company sales trip, it was during the Formula one time trials. Lots of money everywhere the casino bars were parties. it felt like a 3 day bender, and i was literally exhausted on the plane ride back

re: Looking for Smoker Recommendations

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 1/21/26 at 11:12 am to
Depends on what you are looking for,
If you want something easy with modern tech but when it fails it fails big time then look for the pellet smoker or electric gravity feeders.

Stick Burners ae simple, but require work. Its not a dial it in and go on about your day, but there is very little risk besides overcooking your food. It teaches you the fundamentals, that once mastered make it fun.

Drums are fun, i do enjoy my drum smoker, the only real downfall is cooking capacity. I would recommend taking time to learn fire and temp control because the margins are slim.

Kettles are great to learn the fundamentals, but your limited to one or two proteins at a time. its the swiss army knife, in that it can do everything okay but nothing super great.

Electric smokers are entry level, would not recommend
and the bodyguard, you know for protection
the administration a few years ago was trying to turn it all chinese. it was a pipeline from Beijing to the US.
def cc everybody so that she knows it isn't just a fling

re: Pro Drive Center console

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 12/11/25 at 4:00 pm to
the spot i hunt in oklahoma is a big lake but the coves get shallow. my 40 yamaha struggled in those rocks. as far as running open water, I am not looking to go 60 miles an hour. just something that can get me there.

Pro Drive Center console

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 12/11/25 at 9:57 am
I am in the early stages of talking myself into another boat. I am looking into a new pro drive center console to use mostly for deer hunting and fishing around the house. Possibly the Gar Rodeos also. Has anyone purchased the water-cooled engine and hull? how quiet is it, how is it in shallow water, what about deep water etc.?

re: Your go to Piccadilly meal

Posted by Thewingnut323 on 12/10/25 at 10:02 am to
Please share them, and the carrot souffle