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re: CFP Selection Show Thread ESPN

Posted by UFFan on 12/7/25 at 12:01 pm to
It’s because the ACC would have been furious if they didn’t get a team.


The committee actually could have easily solved that problem by putting Duke in the playoffs over JMU. As I discussed in my previous post.


But instead the committee ends up seeming retarded by letting a #60ish JMU into the playoffs rather than a #35ish Duke, and jumping Miami over ND when both are idle.

re: CFP Selection Show Thread ESPN

Posted by UFFan on 12/7/25 at 11:54 am to
That really is what people are missing here. Duke should be in the playoffs rather than JMU.

To get into more detail, JMU’s 14 point loss to 8-4 Louisville really shouldn’t be considered an upset, and Louisville really should be ranked ahead of JMU.


Louisville didn’t directly play Duke. But Louisville went 4-4 in the ACC, and Duke beat 3 of the 4 teams who Louisville lost to.

So Duke should be ranked ahead of Louisville, who in turn should be ranked ahead of JMU.


Of course Duke does not belong in the playoffs either. But JMU belongs in the playoffs even less than Duke does.


re: CFP Selection Show Thread ESPN

Posted by UFFan on 12/7/25 at 11:44 am to
It’s presumably because Duke upset UVA and the ACC fans were going to be furious if no ACC team made it.

UVA would have been 11-2 and would have had a decent enough resume to make it over JMU and Tulane. Duke on the other is 8-5, including a head to head loss to Tulane.

re: CFP Selection Show Thread ESPN

Posted by UFFan on 12/7/25 at 11:41 am to
The committee moved Alabama ahead of ND last week just to avoid the appearance that they’d be dropping Bama out of the playoffs due to a CCG game loss if BYU beat Texas Tech.

However, they actually wouldn’t have been punishing Bama for a CCG game loss in that scenario, and instead would have been moving BYU into Alabama’s playoff spot.


I’m not even sure the committee last week gave any thought to the possibility that Duke would beat UVA and they’d have to invite Miami as a substitute ACC team.


This has resulted in a ridiculous scenario where Alabama has passed ND with the new data being that Alabama barely beat 5-7 Auburn and lost by 21 to UGA, while ND creamed an admittedly bad Stanford team. And then Miami didn’t pass ND with their fairly impressive rout of Pitt, but passed ND when both teams were bye.

re: Georgia 28 @ Alabama 7 Final - ABC

Posted by UFFan on 12/6/25 at 6:10 pm to
I’ll admit the bad officiating calls that go against Alabama when they occur. That was a pretty bizarre 3rd down spot. I think it was more like 4th and 0.2 yards rather than 4th and 1.

re: Georgia 28 @ Alabama 7 Final - ABC

Posted by UFFan on 12/6/25 at 5:49 pm to
On top of the ineligible man downfield, it looked like one of the refs provided a block there.


Not sure if I was imagining things.

re: Georgia 28 @ Alabama 7 Final - ABC

Posted by UFFan on 12/6/25 at 5:46 pm to
Georgia 21 Alabama 0 Refs 7

re: Georgia 28 @ Alabama 7 Final - ABC

Posted by UFFan on 12/6/25 at 5:44 pm to
How was that a catchable ball?

re: Georgia 28 @ Alabama 7 Final - ABC

Posted by UFFan on 12/6/25 at 5:43 pm to
I can’t believe that so called roughing penalty.
How can they even judge whether a fictional AI character is 18 or 17 years and 364 days old?
Look at the odds to make the CFB playoff. It's as obvious as can possibly be that somebody on the committee leaking news to Vegas after how Alabama was -3300 to make the playoffs even before the committee reveal.

Here are some things of note:

1. Most notably, ND's playoff odds are -520 to make the playoffs and +370 to not make the playoffs. Not coincidentally, those are almost exactly the same as the odds for Texas Tech to beat BYU.

2. Relatedly, Miami is -900 to not make the playoff and +570 to make the playoff. Apparently it's unlikely the committee will invite them even if Duke wins the ACC title. (Which would leave the ACC with no playoff teams.)

3. On a more minor note, Alabama's odds are actually now down to -1500 to make the playoff and +790 to miss the playoff. I guess there's a smidgen of chance that the committee will move Alabama out if they get routed by Georgia. The committee actually really didn't completely follow their "Championship Game can't move a team down in the rankings" philosophy last year with how SMU falled from 7th to 12th after losing to Clemson. However, they did follow a policy of not actually dropping a team from the playoffs due to a CCG loss.

LINK


Eh, there definitely seems to be somebody in the committee who leaks news to Vegas based on how Alabama was given -3300 odds to make the playoffs even before this ranking reveal while ND was at like -350.

ND will probably still make the playoffs if Texas Tech beats BYU.

ND’s odds to make the playoffs are actually up to -500 after the ranking reveal, which implies that the leaker on the committee is now saying that ND and Miami won’t be reversed next week. Not coincidentally, Texas Tech is also -500 favorites to beat BYU.
What’s with the double standard between Vandy and Alabama?

Vandy remains barely in the top 15 after a solid win over a ranked TN team? But Alabama needing the refs hope to beat Auburn moves them up a spot?
Probably, although we still haven’t seen what the committee will do if a team loses a CCG by 30 points or something.
Regardless of whether ND should have been ahead of Alabama to begin with, moving Alabama ahead of ND on the basis of that abortion of a win over Auburn is BS.
I can't really find any source that clearly ranks the basketball conferences. Pomeroy doesn't provide conference rankings unless you buy his subscription which costs $24.95, and I'm not going to spend $25 for that. Sagarin has inexplicably stopped providing CBK rankings ever since April 2024.
IIRC, didn't LSU's president come up with the idea of the SWC and chair the first SWC meeting, but then decided to not have LSU join the conference?
Wasn't the BK hire supposed to be a smashing success?
No, the SEC is probably not quite as tremendous as last year. But it's still the best bball conference again.
I had to look up who OK State's hire was.

How is getting the North Texas coach who went 22-15 better than anybody who the SEC hired?

I'm unhappy with the Sumrall hiring, but he has a better resume than OK State's new coach.