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Started By
Message
Will Repubs keep House come Tuesday?
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:48 pm
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:48 pm
Opinions are all over the place.
What’s the feel here?
What’s the feel here?
17
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:52 pm to okietiger
Yes, but not by much
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:52 pm to okietiger
Yes
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:53 pm to okietiger
No
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:55 pm to okietiger
No. Dems get a 3-5 seat majority.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:56 pm to okietiger
Nope
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:57 pm to okietiger
Maybe. If not, the Dems won't have more than a single-digit majority.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:58 pm to okietiger
I sure hope so
Posted on 11/2/18 at 12:58 pm to okietiger
Here's what we should all do:
1. Pray that it's God's will for Republicans to keep the house.
2. Go vote Republican.
1. Pray that it's God's will for Republicans to keep the house.
2. Go vote Republican.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:12 pm to Ebbandflow
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:17 pm to tigerpawl
For what it's worth, the Dems are -280 to take the House on Bovada which makes them a decent sized favorite.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:17 pm to okietiger
probably
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:18 pm to tigerpawl
No. Dems net 30 seats in House and have a 223-212 majority come Jan 3, 2019.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:21 pm to okietiger
It’s looking increasingly likely they hang on by their fingernails.
The downside of that is the power given to the RINO wing like the “third highest Republican on TV”, Peter King, through the ability to block legislation they don’t want to vote for.
It’s better than Pelosi as Speaker but it virtually guarantees a Do Nothing House.
The downside of that is the power given to the RINO wing like the “third highest Republican on TV”, Peter King, through the ability to block legislation they don’t want to vote for.
It’s better than Pelosi as Speaker but it virtually guarantees a Do Nothing House.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:25 pm to teke184
That's better than a Democrat house with non-stop baseless impeachment talk and ridiculous investigations
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:27 pm to okietiger
Not a chance. Dems flip at least 42 seats.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:28 pm to okietiger
Yes.
What the Dems don't realize is that Reps will win 3-5 previously D seats. And for every 1 the R's win, that's 2 more the D's need to reach the majority threshold.
Dems need 23 right now. If R's win 1 previously D seat, then Dems need 25.
There are 9 Dem House seats out there where the R candidate is up/tied/within the margin of error on the RCP poll average, and yet the Cook idiot report only has 1 D seat in his "toss-up" category.
Those 9 should all be "toss-ups".
Meanwhile, there's 27 Rep seats where the D candidate is up/tied/within margin of error on the RCP poll average, and yet for some strange reason Cook has 40 R seats in his "toss-up" category.
Basically, if there's an R seat in a any district that Hillary won or statistically tied Trump, he's calling it a toss-up, but then acting like it's guaranteed to go D, which is ridiculous.
If R's happen to take even just 3 of the 9 Dem toss-ups, Dems will then have to win 29 previously R seats, and that's just not happening.
I personally believe Reps will win 4 previously D House seats, setting the Dem number at 31, and then Dems only win 21 seats and fall short by 8.
What the Dems don't realize is that Reps will win 3-5 previously D seats. And for every 1 the R's win, that's 2 more the D's need to reach the majority threshold.
Dems need 23 right now. If R's win 1 previously D seat, then Dems need 25.
There are 9 Dem House seats out there where the R candidate is up/tied/within the margin of error on the RCP poll average, and yet the Cook idiot report only has 1 D seat in his "toss-up" category.
Those 9 should all be "toss-ups".
Meanwhile, there's 27 Rep seats where the D candidate is up/tied/within margin of error on the RCP poll average, and yet for some strange reason Cook has 40 R seats in his "toss-up" category.
Basically, if there's an R seat in a any district that Hillary won or statistically tied Trump, he's calling it a toss-up, but then acting like it's guaranteed to go D, which is ridiculous.
If R's happen to take even just 3 of the 9 Dem toss-ups, Dems will then have to win 29 previously R seats, and that's just not happening.
I personally believe Reps will win 4 previously D House seats, setting the Dem number at 31, and then Dems only win 21 seats and fall short by 8.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 1:28 pm to Bokke
Bokke, I see you are back on the board after your kavanaugh flop
Posted on 11/2/18 at 2:08 pm to Bokke
quote:
Not a chance. Dems flip at least 42 seats.
Do you ever get tired of being completely wrong?
Posted on 11/2/18 at 3:25 pm to okietiger
Based off my theory built up over the past 2 years of way too much internet
The vast increase in shite posting, hostile shills, and outright ridiculous mass media lie campaigns on reddit and other networks = they truly are scared shitless
The vast increase in shite posting, hostile shills, and outright ridiculous mass media lie campaigns on reddit and other networks = they truly are scared shitless
This post was edited on 11/2/18 at 3:26 pm
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