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re: Why the Models are all way overstated .....and must be revised
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:28 am to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:28 am to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
If you are referring to the Brit model, fact with Birx threw cold water on back on the 18th.
If you are referring to the model for the USA and state by state, it's pretty fricking accurate in deaths and resources needed.
If you are referring to the model for the USA and state by state, it's pretty fricking accurate in deaths and resources needed.
1
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:35 am to CitizenK
quote:
If you are referring to the model for the USA and state by state, it's pretty fricking accurate in deaths and resources needed.
Last Sunday, the Missouri model said our peak would be April 22nd and we’d need 650 ventilators for Covid patients. On Monday, the model said our peak would be May 21st and we’d need 247 vents.
The model is “accurate” because they’re constantly adjusting it to the data they’re getting.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:37 am to MississippiLSUfan
quote:
I was being kind to him when I said not even close to being full. Half full or less is probably more accurate. And the ER is damn near a ghost town compared to pre Covid. Nobody wants to go to a fricking ER right now unless they absolutely have to go to one. So now the ER is really doing ER shite all of the time. No more drug seekers and hypochondriacs. Just folks that would rather be anywhere else. Like it was built for.
This is what I'm seeing.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:45 am to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
What the left failed to accomplish with their climate change models,
they are making up for it with their pandemic models.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:55 am to the808bass
Missouri or the one CDC is using. I checked about 20 states last night, pretty frickin accurate
JBE's model posted yesterday is what the frick off of what CDC is using for Louisiana.
JBE's model posted yesterday is what the frick off of what CDC is using for Louisiana.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 6:56 am to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Thank you for posting some truth. We have Chicken Little’s in very dangerous ,high profile positions who are doing unimaginable damage to our country.
Posted on 4/4/20 at 7:39 am to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
quote:
they are almost always high (and very high!!) in their predictions and CRITICALLY OVERSTATING THE DEMANDS ON HOSPITALS!!
Thank you for stating this. I may not be MIT-educated, but I have been looking at raw numbers, and not just reading articles that tell me what to think about the numbers.
You are absolutely correct. The "wave" of hospitalizations is not happening on a large scale. The wild predictions are doing a disservice to politicians and the public at large.
The other day, my wife got very upset because Brian The Liar Williams was hosting some show and had this guy on blathering about the next 'hotspots.' He included Asheville, NC. Why, you ask?
Because Asheville had an increase in positive cases of around 50 percent over a couple of days. While the wife is getting hysterical, I look up the data from the state health department. Asheville, at that time, had 26 cases and 1 death of an elderly patient.
ETA: As of 4/3, Buncombe County (Asheville) had 27 cases - an increase of 1 over a 3 day period. Ooooohhhh, scary.
The other issue with that report was that the guy making these predictions was a political correspondent, not a scientist, doctor, health care worker, social worker or anything of the sort. It was journalistic malpractice at its worst.
This post was edited on 4/4/20 at 12:18 pm
Posted on 4/4/20 at 9:48 am to TrueTiger
quote:
What the left failed to accomplish with their climate change models,
they are making up for it with their pandemic models.
Stop it. "The left" has no authority to make the CDC or the individual state departments of health in 50 different states use specific assumptions in the SIR model. If you think the assumptions are incorrect, that's fine. But it's not a giant conspiracy.
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