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Why the early US failure doesn't really matter: Germany's cases explode after re-opening

Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:31 pm
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
421612 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:31 pm
LINK

quote:

According to the Institute the infection rate – the so-called “R” rate - has been above one for the past three days.

The rate means on average one person will potentially transmit the virus to one other individual.

The Institute for public health estimated the “R” rate was at 1.07 on Monday and 1.13 on Sunday.


quote:

Ms Merkel has been under increasing pressures to kick-start the faltering German economy with widespread protests taking place at the weekend in major cities including Munich.


Germany has the sixth highest number of coronavirus infections around the world but its vigorous testing regime has limited the number of fatalities compared to Italy, Spain and the UK.


although this doesn't really make sense. how does testing help with fatalities?
Posted by The Maj
Member since Sep 2016
27045 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

how does testing help with fatalities?


Well, you can weld the positive folks in their apartments or put them in camps... I heard Germany is really famous for their train rides and first rate camps...
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164042 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:34 pm to
Are they testing more people? I don’t give a rats arse about total cases. Hospitalization is the only thing that matters. If it burns through the population without putting more people in the hospital who gives a crap.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Carolinas
Member since Sep 2003
123779 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

Why the early US failure doesn't really matter
The early US test failure matters because without it, we would not have shut down. So it mattered to the tune of trillions of dollars.
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68426 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

The early US test failure matters because without it, we would not have shut down. So it mattered to the tune of trillions of dollars.




Do you think having more tests means we don't shut down?
This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 1:39 pm
Posted by joshnorris14
Florida
Member since Jan 2009
45195 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:39 pm to
quote:

The early US test failure matters because without it, we would not have shut down. So it mattered to the tune of trillions of dollars.


The early US failure WAS the US shutting down
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
421612 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:40 pm to
quote:

The early US test failure matters because without it, we would not have shut down.

everywhere else shut down. we would have, too
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32089 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

The early US test failure matters because without it, we would not have shut down. So it mattered to the tune of trillions of dollars.


I guess if we didn’t test, we wouldn’t have been scared into shutting down?
Posted by the808bass
The Lou
Member since Oct 2012
111498 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

Do you think having more tests means we don't shut down?


We would have had better data to make decisions.

And we wouldn’t have artificially restricted test subjects to people who had traveled initially. And then not limited it to people known to have been exposed.
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32089 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

The early US failure WAS the US shutting down


The second failure is moving the goal posts from “flattening the curve” to spread prevention.
Posted by seawolf06
NH
Member since Oct 2007
8159 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:42 pm to
Germany cases have not exploded. You can see this clearly on the stickied tracker at the top of this forum.
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
30382 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:44 pm to
But Melinda Gates said...
Posted by dgnx6
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2006
68426 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:44 pm to
I agree with better data, but.

How do you get asymptomatics to willingly test? No one has given me a good answer on this.

Let's say they do test positive, how do you make sure they self isolate for two weeks?

And lastly, how many tests were needed and what's the appropriate time frame in manufacturing that many?
Posted by member12
Bob's Country Bunker
Member since May 2008
32089 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:45 pm to
quote:


We would have had better data to make decisions.

And we wouldn’t have artificially restricted test subjects to people who had traveled initially. And then not limited it to people known to have been exposed


What trigger should have been used to introduce mass testing?

By the time we knew there was an outbreak in Washington state, this thing was raping Europe - who was only then starting to plan to increase testing.

Since we have the benefit of hindsight - the right course of action was for China to not lie about human to human transmission until after the Chinese New Year. Had they restricted travel in Wuhan 3 weeks earlier (when they started stockpiling PPE), 95% of cases wouldn’t exist today.

I don’t see a way we would have had a better outcome without China being honest with American and European leaders and health organizations back in December and January.
This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 1:49 pm
Posted by Oddibe
Close to some, further from others
Member since Sep 2015
6565 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

second failure is moving the goal posts from “flattening the curve” to spread prevention.
This^^^

Open this mother up and let herd immunity take over. Leave the sick and elderly at home.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90498 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 1:59 pm to
quote:

how does testing help with fatalities?


If you test positive you must wear an armband showing others you’re sick and to avoid you. Also you can only shop in designated stores in the Covid 19 ghettos with other positive people.

If you refuse, you’re forced on a train to a medical facility where you are isolated and do hard labor to sweat out the virus. If you die your body is burned.
Posted by Pianoman
New Iberia
Member since Dec 2003
2874 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:02 pm to
Goal posts definitely moved from flattening the curve to flattening the economy.
Posted by boosiebadazz
Member since Feb 2008
80178 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:04 pm to
quote:

If you test positive you must wear an armband showing others you’re sick and to avoid you. Also you can only shop in designated stores in the Covid 19 ghettos with other positive people.

If you refuse, you’re forced on a train to a medical facility where you are isolated and do hard labor to sweat out the virus. If you die your body is burned.



And we could document that with pictures, documents, and survivor testimony and 100 years from now some folks will still swear it was all a hoax and made up by the coronavirus survivors to engender sympathy and world domination.
Posted by Caplewood
Atlanta
Member since Jun 2010
39156 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:06 pm to
This post was edited on 5/12/20 at 2:26 pm
Posted by Wtodd
Tampa, FL
Member since Oct 2013
67482 posts
Posted on 5/12/20 at 2:07 pm to
quote:

I heard Germany is really famous for their train rides and first rate camps...

Don't forget the showers
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