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re: Why is our apex projected to be 21-28 days away?

Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:18 pm to
Posted by C
Houston
Member since Dec 2007
28247 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:18 pm to
my guess is they are expecting one more major city outbreak like chicago. Some of those travelers from Florida over spring break will likely spread it and it just hasn't hit our radar yet. I imagine New York and New Orleans will start to hit their peak this weekend.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
35492 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:23 pm to
Every doctor I know outside of New Orleans is sitting at home doing nothing. Emergencies only.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

Some of those travelers from Florida over spring break will likely spread it and it just hasn't hit our radar yet.


combo of many states gov lax attitudes and lack of testing.

just as h1n1 eventually hit every burg in iowa and montana, cv19 will make it to piddletown idaho by and by. piddletown has 2 ventilators and a 30 bed hospital with 5 icu for
3,500 people.




Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62971 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:47 pm to
quote:

Well, my hospital/surgeon just postponed my back surgery, scheduled for April 7, because they "expect" to be full of Covid patients


That’s 100% a lie.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62971 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

Ponchatoula, North Oaks hospital. My surgeon called me personally last week to tell me I was a go, for this next surgery, (after the one I had in October). He regarded my procedure to be critical and not "elective". Had this appointment scheduled after he called, only to be told, "things have changed".


So, he didn’t tell you it was because they are expecting the hospital to be full of corona patients?

210 posts.

Your intent is to drive the fear narrative.
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:51 pm
Posted by LookSquirrel
Old Millville
Member since Oct 2019
7662 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:53 pm to
WT actual F?? My post count? My "INTENT"?

Really!!
This post was edited on 3/27/20 at 12:56 pm
Posted by MOT
Member since Jul 2006
30976 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

just keep moving the bar

Wasn’t this the intent all along with all of the measures that have been taken? Trump himself last week said the peak would be in June or July.
Posted by LookSquirrel
Old Millville
Member since Oct 2019
7662 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

That’s 100% a lie.


Okay, you got me there little brother. YEP, I'm a lyin lyer, or however the F its spelled.

You did get my dander up though.

Anyone else here as dumb a frick as this frick??
Posted by Taxing Authority
Houston
Member since Feb 2010
63280 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

Why is our apex projected to be so lengthened in comparison to other countries?

Bigger country. Takes longer to complete propagation.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
62971 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:16 pm to
quote:

WT actual F?? My post count? My "INTENT"?

Really!!


Yes. You lied and still haven’t admitted it.
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:18 pm to
quote:

Trump himself last week said the peak would be in June or July.





what? no miracle?!
Posted by LookSquirrel
Old Millville
Member since Oct 2019
7662 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:20 pm to
OK.....
Posted by Norbert
Member since Oct 2018
3692 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

Every doctor I know outside of New Orleans is sitting at home doing nothing. Emergencies only


And the vast majority of them support the quarantine measures as harmful as it is to them personally.
Posted by jondavid11
benton,la
Member since Aug 2007
1170 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 1:29 pm to
Guessing an answer to OP question.

If you were exposed today (day 1) you might not show signs for about 2 weeks. Example, 1st case in New Orleans was 13 days after Fat Tuesday.

If you could then be sick for about week or two then from day 1 to being no longer sick could be around the 21-28 day mark.

Since they started the social distancing thing a couple weeks ago, then the peak should start going down about 21-28 days from then.

Math sucks but you get idea.
Posted by Bjorn Cyborg
Member since Sep 2016
35492 posts
Posted on 3/27/20 at 2:13 pm to
quote:

And the vast majority of them support the quarantine measures as harmful as it is to them personally.


I never stated otherwise.

And it's as much to save PPE and hospital beds as it is quarantine measures.
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