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Why evidence points to a blue wave in November?

Posted on 7/26/18 at 10:57 pm
Posted by weagle99
Member since Nov 2011
35893 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 10:57 pm
An article today predicted Dems would win the House but offered no reason why. So why would this be happening?
Posted by Stacked
Member since Apr 2012
5675 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 10:58 pm to
They're just trying to talk about it hoping the talk will grow and turn into an authentic movement so they can stop having to manufacture one (i.e. fake marches). They're confused at why it isn't catching on. They're hitting all the virtue signaling they normally hit but aren't getting the response they've become used to. The reason is because nobody can stand them. Their bag of tricks is empty and everyone's had it with their act.
This post was edited on 7/26/18 at 11:01 pm
Posted by Hurricane Mike
Member since Jun 2008
20059 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:09 pm to
That's all they have to run on and they are hoping Trump has alienated voters

In the meantime they will have spent 2 years alienating voters and all their voting secrets have been exposed.
Posted by reggierayreb
Germantown
Member since Nov 2012
16968 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:11 pm to
The Dems platform is centered around the rights of illegal aliens....


Repeat that sentence slowly and then tell me we’re in for Blue Wave.
Posted by CajunTiger92
Member since Dec 2007
2821 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:13 pm to
quote:

So why would this be happening?



Because this is what usually happens to the party in power, they loose seats. As much as I’d like the dems to get their asses handed to them, historical trends favor them in the house. Perhaps 2018 will be different and I hope it will be.

This is the polling data from 2010 (when obama was pres).



And this is the polling data for 2018.





This post was edited on 7/27/18 at 4:09 am
Posted by starsandstripes
Georgia
Member since Nov 2017
11897 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:14 pm to
I think the RNC is going to throw the midterms. They don't really want Trump's agenda because they hate America.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35626 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:16 pm to
Trump isn't popular outside those who identify as Republican, the midterms are typically bad for the party in power, libs energized to go vote, ect.

It's a reasonable hypothesis.
Posted by FT
REDACTED
Member since Oct 2003
26925 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:17 pm to
The people hate the President. Not enough of them, but enough to flip the house.
Posted by Tigerbait357
Member since Jun 2011
67928 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:33 pm to
quote:

The people hate the President. Not enough of them, but enough to flip the house.



You are out of touch with reality
Posted by Wild Thang
YAW YAW Fooball Nation
Member since Jun 2009
44181 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:36 pm to
quote:

They're just trying to talk about it hoping the talk will grow and turn into an authentic movement so they can stop having to manufacture one (i.e. fake marches). They're confused at why it isn't catching on. They're hitting all the virtue signaling they normally hit but aren't getting the response they've become used to. The reason is because nobody can stand them. Their bag of tricks is empty and everyone's had it with their act.


This is 100% accurate.

Well done
Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
78648 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:38 pm to
An increase in Unicorn sightings usually precedes Democratic electoral gains. And this has been a busy Unicorn season.
Posted by TigernMS12
Member since Jan 2013
5531 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:42 pm to
The mid term map favors the Dems for the house. Exact opposite in the senate where Rs hold a big advantage on the map
Posted by Wild Thang
YAW YAW Fooball Nation
Member since Jun 2009
44181 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:45 pm to
I will go on record, and say the House stays Red.

And the GOP claims a 53-47 Senate advantage.

Bookmark it sky screamers.

Posted by Lsupimp
Ersatz Amerika-97.6% phony & fake
Member since Nov 2003
78648 posts
Posted on 7/26/18 at 11:54 pm to
The midterm cliche falls apart under analysis. That’s because 1994 and 2010 totally skew the numbers as they were wave elections. This is definitely NOT a wave election. This is an economy election. As such , the trends will be local to districts and much more predictable. So while I agree that Dems pick up seats, I also think Republicans are going to pull out enough surprises to keep a safe majority in the House. The Senate is going to be a Republican rout . Republicans easily pick up three, more likely four or five and if things fall right, maybe six or seven if the stars align. These statewide elections are stacked against Dems this year.
Posted by Muthsera
Member since Jun 2017
7319 posts
Posted on 7/27/18 at 12:03 am to
The DCCC is breaking records in fundraising, the weekly marches and demonstrations have driven a massive amount of voter registration, the party in power is always at a historical disadvantage in midterms (though everything about the Trump presidency is an anomaly),and GOP incumbents are retiring left and right leading to more vulnerable districts on their side.

If I had to put money on it, I'd say the Dems take the House by the skin of their teeth.
Posted by tWildcat
Verona, KY
Member since Oct 2014
19324 posts
Posted on 7/27/18 at 12:07 am to
It's not going to be a blue wave. I could see the Dems maybe taking the house but the GOP will pick up seats in the senate.
This post was edited on 7/27/18 at 12:08 am
Posted by bayoumuscle21
St. George
Member since Jan 2012
4638 posts
Posted on 7/27/18 at 12:57 am to
quote:

The people hate the President. Not enough of them, but enough to flip the house.


Care to make a wager?
Posted by badlands
Member since Apr 2008
2313 posts
Posted on 7/27/18 at 3:37 am to
They like him more than that women in your picture.
This post was edited on 7/27/18 at 3:39 am
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 7/27/18 at 3:45 am to
I thought Georgia was a big opportunity for them but the actual primary voting didn’t say that

Same for texas
Posted by CajunTiger92
Member since Dec 2007
2821 posts
Posted on 7/27/18 at 5:29 am to
It also happened in 1982 and 1994, so I’m not so sure it’s a cliche. It certainly helps that the economy is doing well and that the senate elections has a lot of dems in red states up. The antics the dem supporters also helps. They’ve given plenty of fodder for election ads.
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