Use this thread to make specific predictions about the "US/China" deal

1. The problems as you see them

2. What you would like to see happen

3. What you are expecting Trump to accomplish

4. Your satisfaction level with 3

I'll go first:

1. Too much IP theft and too much incursive spying and cyber warfare that has gone almost unanswered by the US (i.e. Biden). Too much reliance on Chinese manufacturing of critical items (pharma, medical, rare earths etc. A trade imbalance that is partially obscured because it's "outsourced" to other Asian countries.

2. I would like to see the Chinese on full alert that we will respond in-kind (or worse) to any cyber warfare or aggressive espionage. I'd like to see some rational attempt to right-size the issue of critical manufacturing, ideally by engaging Europe et al and not putting them under the gun simultaneously.

3. Very nominal "gains" that will be mostly headlines, will give Trump an off-ramp and then very little change long-term.

4. No, but it's a repeat of his 1st term. His appointed trade negotiators actually were extremely hardcore and on point, but Trump didn't have the stomach to see it through. He likely won't this time either, although possibly he has slightly more stomach for it.

Wild Cards: JD Vance is a bigger believer on this issue than Trump.