- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Daily COVID Updated as of 11/2/20 8:00 PM
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:12 am to Chromdome35
Posted on 8/1/20 at 7:12 am to Chromdome35
quote:I see that. Obviously it’s hard to tease out noise from that, especially since it’s we’re dealing with essentially a hierarchical data with levels nested within one another and crossed at levels as well (given the nature of the viral transmission and human movement on top of that).
Notice the uptick in the cases index today, The 7-day average new cases curve still shows downward movement, while the Index shows upward.
Foreshadowing?
Hopefully, it’s not foreshadowing something; at the very least, it seems that this wave’s tail may be even longer than the first’s since that one was partially a result of test expansion . But with an already much lower positivity rate, I don’t think there is as much room to have that this time. More concerning though, is that deaths seem to have an even longer tail.
Regardless, your awesome work really allows us to easily analyze things as they happen. I’ve wanted to link it on Twitter a bunch of times, often to show the inferior and agenda-driven data analysts how to do it objectively and comprehensively to help understand an uncertain and novel circumstance where nobody is an expert. Of course, the sign of non-expertise is doing the opposite like they are. That said, I don’t want to dox myself so I don’t link it.
1
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:21 am to buckeye_vol
Does anyone know what the Minnesota data error was? Surely they didn’t take, much less fail to report, 200k tests but that is the difference in total testing from last Friday.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 10:43 am to lsumatt
Do y’all really believe all this shite?
I keep hearing over and over that they are counting anything Covid
I know two people that went to get tested in Orlando so they filled out all of the paperwork and after waiting 2 hours they said f it they had to leave
A week later they both received an automated phone call saying that they tested positive. They didn’t even do the fricking test!
I keep hearing over and over that they are counting anything Covid
I know two people that went to get tested in Orlando so they filled out all of the paperwork and after waiting 2 hours they said f it they had to leave
A week later they both received an automated phone call saying that they tested positive. They didn’t even do the fricking test!
Posted on 8/1/20 at 11:13 am to Chromdome35
Do the daily positivity stats lag the date of the actual tests?
On average it takes multiple days for a positive result to be determined and reported after a test is given. But I’d presume a test given can and is reported almost same day. If so could that explain a near term positive rate uptick or plateau while the testing rate declines? So not a real uptick just a result of a data from the same test reported days apart?
On average it takes multiple days for a positive result to be determined and reported after a test is given. But I’d presume a test given can and is reported almost same day. If so could that explain a near term positive rate uptick or plateau while the testing rate declines? So not a real uptick just a result of a data from the same test reported days apart?
Posted on 8/1/20 at 5:41 pm to FlySaint
I know for a fact that this is true for Georgia. If you look at our cases by date of reporting, we're in a plateau state wide. However, if you look at the data by date of test or onset of symptoms, whichever comes first, you see that we hit our peak 3 weeks ago (July 11). There is a 2 week window for reporting "completed" data for Georgia, so anything inside of 2 weeks is still subject to massive change. However even outside of 2 weeks, the metro Atlanta counties have all seen 7 day averages drop between 20 and 35% between July 11 and 18th. Georgia as a whole is down ~25% in that same timeframe.
This post was edited on 8/1/20 at 5:42 pm
Posted on 8/1/20 at 5:59 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:03 pm to FLTech
Do we believe what exactly, I believe 100% that these are the numbers as they have been reported. I also believe 100% that they aren't moonshot accurate; however, it's all we have and I'll take semi obscured visibility every day over blindness.
One thing I've tried very hard to do in this thread is to remain neutral in my presentation of the data. I am putting it out there for you to draw your own conclusions and make whatever decisions are best for you and your situation. I don't think any of us benefit when people present these numbers based on an agenda.
One thing I've tried very hard to do in this thread is to remain neutral in my presentation of the data. I am putting it out there for you to draw your own conclusions and make whatever decisions are best for you and your situation. I don't think any of us benefit when people present these numbers based on an agenda.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:04 pm to lsumatt
Minnesota removed around 200K tests from their totals, it drove the positivity rate for the day up.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:04 pm to Chromdome35
Not sure what to make of the testing drop in the past week. Are tests that hard to find, or are we starting to see a drop in demand for testing? Doubt anyone has the answer, but I haven't heard of any bottlenecks in test production either.
Also, Chrome, is there any chance the positivity % data from yesterday is changed?
Also, Chrome, is there any chance the positivity % data from yesterday is changed?
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:06 pm to FlySaint
Fly, I don't know the answer to your question. I suspect that some states are reporting one way, and others some other way. Given how much inconsistency there is in the data as its been reported, each state may be doing it differently than all the other states
Posted on 8/1/20 at 6:07 pm to AUMIS01
AUM, are you asking me to change it or if it's been changed in the source data?
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:09 pm to AUMIS01
quote:
Not sure what to make of the testing drop in the past week. Are tests that hard to find, or are we starting to see a drop in demand for testing? Doubt anyone has the answer, but I haven't heard of any bottlenecks in test production either.
i don't know the answer for other states, but here in arizona there was a "testing surge" in low-income areas that was planned to last 12 days. it's over now. testing is still available, but these "surge" sites (that were providing free tests) are shut down now.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:11 pm to Bunsbert Montcroff
The Arizona data is starting to look really good
Hospitalizations down 30% from peak and every day the decline in new hospital admits is accelerating.
Hospitalizations down 30% from peak and every day the decline in new hospital admits is accelerating.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 8:49 pm to AUMIS01
I know that in my area other than the free testing sites, clinics are often not testing unless you have symptoms.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 9:17 pm to AUMIS01
quote:
Are tests that hard to find, or are we starting to see a drop in demand for testing?
Louisiana was part of the Federal surge testing which ended about a week or so ago. They were having a hard time finding enough people to test...it wasn't lack of testing supplies.
Posted on 8/1/20 at 9:39 pm to DMAN1968
Late to the discussion but where I live a positive results in 14 day quarantine, to include members of household, and then two consecutive negative test results....basically house arrest.
Imagine folks will quit being tested for simply feeling poorly
Imagine folks will quit being tested for simply feeling poorly
Posted on 8/1/20 at 10:38 pm to Chromdome35
Source data. Thought there were some earlier posts about the positivity rate being overstated yesterday.
Edit: ignore me, saw your response to this question from elsewhere but missed it when I sent the OP.
Edit: ignore me, saw your response to this question from elsewhere but missed it when I sent the OP.
This post was edited on 8/2/20 at 8:27 am
Posted on 8/2/20 at 11:44 am to Chromdome35
Data may suck buy as long as it consistently sucks we can maybe glean some overall trend info.
Posted on 8/2/20 at 3:06 pm to oklahogjr
Testing is gonna go down because People realize this probably won’t kill them and their kids won’t even notice it. Therefore, why risk missing work?
Posted on 8/2/20 at 5:50 pm to Chromdome35
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/
New Cases by State
New Deaths by State
7-day average growth rate of new cases
Page 279 of 331
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News