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buckeye_vol
Ohio State Fan
Member since Jul 2014
33380 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Notice the uptick in the cases index today, The 7-day average new cases curve still shows downward movement, while the Index shows upward.


Foreshadowing?
I see that. Obviously it’s hard to tease out noise from that, especially since it’s we’re dealing with essentially a hierarchical data with levels nested within one another and crossed at levels as well (given the nature of the viral transmission and human movement on top of that).

Hopefully, it’s not foreshadowing something; at the very least, it seems that this wave’s tail may be even longer than the first’s since that one was partially a result of test expansion . But with an already much lower positivity rate, I don’t think there is as much room to have that this time. More concerning though, is that deaths seem to have an even longer tail.

Regardless, your awesome work really allows us to easily analyze things as they happen. I’ve wanted to link it on Twitter a bunch of times, often to show the inferior and agenda-driven data analysts how to do it objectively and comprehensively to help understand an uncertain and novel circumstance where nobody is an expert. Of course, the sign of non-expertise is doing the opposite like they are. That said, I don’t want to dox myself so I don’t link it.


lsumatt
LSU Fan
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12788 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Does anyone know what the Minnesota data error was? Surely they didn’t take, much less fail to report, 200k tests but that is the difference in total testing from last Friday.


FLTech
USA Fan
Cumming, Georgia
Member since Sep 2017
4999 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Do y’all really believe all this shit?

I keep hearing over and over that they are counting anything Covid

I know two people that went to get tested in Orlando so they filled out all of the paperwork and after waiting 2 hours they said f it they had to leave

A week later they both received an automated phone call saying that they tested positive. They didn’t even do the fricking test!


FlySaint
Alabama Fan
FL Panhandle
Member since May 2018
541 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Do the daily positivity stats lag the date of the actual tests?

On average it takes multiple days for a positive result to be determined and reported after a test is given. But I’d presume a test given can and is reported almost same day. If so could that explain a near term positive rate uptick or plateau while the testing rate declines? So not a real uptick just a result of a data from the same test reported days apart?


AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
114 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
I know for a fact that this is true for Georgia. If you look at our cases by date of reporting, we're in a plateau state wide. However, if you look at the data by date of test or onset of symptoms, whichever comes first, you see that we hit our peak 3 weeks ago (July 11). There is a 2 week window for reporting "completed" data for Georgia, so anything inside of 2 weeks is still subject to massive change. However even outside of 2 weeks, the metro Atlanta counties have all seen 7 day averages drop between 20 and 35% between July 11 and 18th. Georgia as a whole is down ~25% in that same timeframe.
This post was edited on 8/1 at 5:42 pm


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20
Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1351 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1351 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Do we believe what exactly, I believe 100% that these are the numbers as they have been reported. I also believe 100% that they aren't moonshot accurate; however, it's all we have and I'll take semi obscured visibility every day over blindness.

One thing I've tried very hard to do in this thread is to remain neutral in my presentation of the data. I am putting it out there for you to draw your own conclusions and make whatever decisions are best for you and your situation. I don't think any of us benefit when people present these numbers based on an agenda.


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1351 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Minnesota removed around 200K tests from their totals, it drove the positivity rate for the day up.


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10
AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
114 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Not sure what to make of the testing drop in the past week. Are tests that hard to find, or are we starting to see a drop in demand for testing? Doubt anyone has the answer, but I haven't heard of any bottlenecks in test production either.

Also, Chrome, is there any chance the positivity % data from yesterday is changed?


Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1351 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Fly, I don't know the answer to your question. I suspect that some states are reporting one way, and others some other way. Given how much inconsistency there is in the data as its been reported, each state may be doing it differently than all the other states


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Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1351 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
AUM, are you asking me to change it or if it's been changed in the source data?


Bunsbert Montcroff
Arizona Fan
Phoenix AZ
Member since Jan 2008
5038 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Not sure what to make of the testing drop in the past week. Are tests that hard to find, or are we starting to see a drop in demand for testing? Doubt anyone has the answer, but I haven't heard of any bottlenecks in test production either.

i don't know the answer for other states, but here in arizona there was a "testing surge" in low-income areas that was planned to last 12 days. it's over now. testing is still available, but these "surge" sites (that were providing free tests) are shut down now.


HailHailtoMichigan!
LSU Fan
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
61612 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
The Arizona data is starting to look really good

Hospitalizations down 30% from peak and every day the decline in new hospital admits is accelerating.


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30
tiger91
LSU Fan
South of Lafayette
Member since Nov 2005
25379 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
I know that in my area other than the free testing sites, clinics are often not testing unless you have symptoms.


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DMAN1968
Member since Apr 2019
1977 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
quote:

Are tests that hard to find, or are we starting to see a drop in demand for testing?

Louisiana was part of the Federal surge testing which ended about a week or so ago. They were having a hard time finding enough people to test...it wasn't lack of testing supplies.


wfallstiger
LSU Fan
Wichita Falls, Texas
Member since Jun 2006
8077 posts
 Online 

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Late to the discussion but where I live a positive results in 14 day quarantine, to include members of household, and then two consecutive negative test results....basically house arrest.

Imagine folks will quit being tested for simply feeling poorly


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50
AUMIS01
Auburn Fan
Atlanta
Member since May 2020
114 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Source data. Thought there were some earlier posts about the positivity rate being overstated yesterday.

Edit: ignore me, saw your response to this question from elsewhere but missed it when I sent the OP.
This post was edited on 8/2 at 8:27 am


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10
oklahogjr
Arizona State Fan
Gold Membership
Member since Jan 2010
29229 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Data may suck buy as long as it consistently sucks we can maybe glean some overall trend info.


The Levee
LSU Fan
Bat Country
Member since Feb 2006
7196 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
Testing is gonna go down because People realize this probably won’t kill them and their kids won’t even notice it. Therefore, why risk missing work?


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30
Chromdome35
Arkansas Fan
NW Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
1351 posts

re: UPDATED: Daily COVID-19 Stats as of 7:30 PM 8/9/20 CST Final Numbers for the Day
This is the link to the COVID-19 tracker that I have created and shared on Google Drive.
If you want to view the shared sheet, follow this link COVID-19 Tracker
If you want to download a copy of this sheet and manipulate it follow this link Downloadable COVID-19 Tracker
The source for the data is from https://covidtracking.com/data/















New Cases by State


New Deaths by State


7-day average growth rate of new cases


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