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Update - Models overstating demand on hospitals, ICU's, ventilators....
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:50 pm
Posted on 4/5/20 at 7:50 pm
As I said in prior posts, these models are all based primarily on the early cases - the least healthy among us, not the total population. They have been accurate so far on deaths because they have a 2.5 week lag built in. They will be way over forecasted deaths in the next week and everyone will cheer - it won't be for any real reason other than the model's fallacious forecast based only on early data!
LINK to Story
quote:
LATEST NUMBERS: Govt. Models Overestimated Hospitalizations by 8 Times; ICU Beds by 6.4 Times; Ventilators Needed by 40.5 Times
LINK to Story
15
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:07 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
The computer models are dogshit just like the climate models...... Muh science!
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:14 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
ya but they only overestimated the numbers by a factor of 1000x
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:15 pm to keakar
Models...
Then the media amplified the overstated models even more
Then the media amplified the overstated models even more
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:19 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
What I find interesting is that hospital, ICU admissions and vent use is much lower than the mortality as far as the model. Indicates to me they are over coding covid 19 deaths. How many reasonably healthy patients die as outpatients? Most are probably from nursing homes with DNRs I would suspect.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:22 pm to LittleRockDoc
I’ve read some stories of people trying to ride it out at home and dying in their sleep. Granted those are far and few between but they are there. I do agree that the COVID death numbers are inflated though.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:47 pm to Bham Bammer
Coronavirus computer models = climate models. I think you’re on to something.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:50 pm to da prophet
quote:
Coronavirus computer models = climate models. I think you’re on to something
Maybe the same computer is being used for both......
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:51 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Something something they are low because the government took over.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:52 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Muh experts.
Whole lotta people talking about how stupid everybody is who disagrees with them will treat this thread like kryptonite.
Whole lotta people talking about how stupid everybody is who disagrees with them will treat this thread like kryptonite.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:53 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Those vent numbers are way off in the story. We probably have at least 75 people in Missouri vented alone. And our case numbers are only 2k-ish.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:54 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
But it’s gonna kill millions of people. And this rate would only take 25 years to get there!
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:54 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Well...no shite
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:56 pm to the808bass
In fairness, they are compiling actual reported data for their numbers while you’re using phrases like “probably” and “ish”
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:57 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
GP is using the Worldometer stuff for hospitalizations, ICU and vents. Those numbers are all garbage.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:58 pm to Bham Bammer
He’s using garbage data. He should stick to stuff he knows. Then he would know he’s using garbage data.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 8:58 pm to TigerMuskyFanMinneso
Any article that has that same picture of an Italian hospital will automatically be suspect to me.
Having said that...I believe the models have been wrong all along.
Having said that...I believe the models have been wrong all along.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 9:00 pm to the808bass
quote:Yeah, that number doesn't include counts from NJ, NY, LA, and about 40 other states. Its Gateway Pundit. They know the numbers are bs yet they wrote a story using them anyway.
Those vent numbers are way off in the story. We probably have at least 75 people in Missouri vented alone. And our case numbers are only 2k-ish.
Posted on 4/5/20 at 9:00 pm to the808bass
I mean, I read where the data comes from and it seemed legit to me.
LINK
What would be a better place to get data?
LINK
What would be a better place to get data?
Posted on 4/5/20 at 9:01 pm to mmcgrath
Eh. He’s a moron. But I don’t think he knows enough to know that he’s looking at garbage data. He went to the Worldometer site, pulled the data and “Eureka!!”
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