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Message

re: Turkey clears way for Finland, Sweden to join NATO

Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:57 pm to
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67083 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

This is about Sweden and Finland joining NATO, which unequivocally does not "escalate" anything merely because Russia said "don't do it."



I wouldn't put Sweden and Finland joining NATO at the same level as Russia installing missile launch sites in Cuba during the Cold War, but it's similar as far as levels of brinksmanship and outrage.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422465 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

I'll accept that you think peace talks haven't happened. Yet. Why?

Russia won't leave Ukraine voluntarily
Posted by Bearcat90
The Land
Member since Nov 2021
2955 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:57 pm to
quote:

If Russia invaded Turkey from the rear, would Greece help?


quote:

Yes. That's literally what the defense pact is for.


Oh, really? Is that what NATO did when Turkey invaded Greece???

Greece would cheer loudly and take all of Cyprus back.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67083 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

Greece would cheer loudly and take all of Cyprus back.


Not immediately, but as soon as Turkey started pulling forces out of Cyprus, the Greeks would absolutely launch an attack. 100%
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

I'll accept that you think peace talks haven't happened. Yet. Why?


Why would the Ukrainians accept peace talks right now? You realize that the Ukrainians don't want peace talks either, right?

quote:

But what I find even more unacceptable than not trying to have peace talks is thinking that escalating this conflict at every turn will have an outcome any different than if we just stayed the frick out of it entirely.



Well, thankfully, you don't operate in the arena of geopolitics, because this is utterly naïve.
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26317 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 4:59 pm to
quote:

I wouldn't put Sweden and Finland joining NATO at the same level as Russia installing missile launch sites in Cuba during the Cold War

Good, because it isn't. And our position in that situation is as indefensible (note: not illogical, but indefensible) as Russia's is here. We had zero right to dictate the relationship between the USSR and Cuba. Khrushchev simply blinked at our brinksmanship.

quote:

but it's similar as far as levels of brinksmanship and outrage.

Nah. Russia has already taken the side that the EU and NATO are the same entity, and that Sweden/Finland have been NATO members all along.
This post was edited on 6/28/22 at 5:01 pm
Posted by Bearcat90
The Land
Member since Nov 2021
2955 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

Russia won't leave Ukraine voluntarily


Can't argue that point.

All I've ever said is:

1) Not our fricking war.
2) Why are we not promoting peace talks.
3) Why are we escalating an unwinnable war.
4) NOT OUR frickING WAR.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
34141 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:00 pm to
quote:

This is about Sweden and Finland joining NATO, which unequivocally does not "escalate" anything merely because Russia said "don't do it."


This is an unknown.

Time will tell.
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:02 pm to
Kharkiv (2nd biggest city), at worst is 30 miles from the Russian border and they couldn’t take it. Just 30 miles when the invasion began. The Ukrainians pushed the Russians back to the border at one point in fact. Putin had to push them back off the border as a PR move.

I think you are overestimating Russia and underestimating Ukraine. That thinking was normal at the beginning of the war. Not now.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:02 pm to
quote:

Oh, really? Is that what NATO did when Turkey invaded Greece???



They weren't involved in that conflict, were they?

quote:

Greece would cheer loudly and take all of Cyprus back.



And then what would happen?
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26317 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Why are we not promoting peace talks.

Someone else tell him why. He won't listen to me, but I'll try one more time:


Ukraine.

Does.

Not.

Want.

And.

Is.

Not.

Willing.

To.

Consider.

Negotiating.

Any.

Loss.

Of.

Ukrainian.

Territory.
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
34141 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Russia won't leave Ukraine voluntarily


That depends on the definition of “Ukraine” as a nation state going forward.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:04 pm to
quote:

Not immediately, but as soon as Turkey started pulling forces out of Cyprus, the Greeks would absolutely launch an attack. 100%



Why would Turkey pull out forces from Cyprus in the event of a Russian invasion? They would likely use the Cyprus base even more as a coordination point.
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:05 pm to
NOT OUR frickING WAR.

I’m curious. Is there anything it would take for you to say that it is? Anything?
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:06 pm to
quote:

2) Why are we not promoting peace talks.


Because the Ukrainians don't want to have peace talks, because peace talks now mean giving up territory. Russian insecurity is so great that any concession would embolden them, as they want to get to the Carpathian Mountains, which serves as a natural buffer to the European Plain.
Posted by crazy4lsu
Member since May 2005
36311 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:07 pm to
quote:

it's similar as far as levels of brinksmanship and outrage.


It genuinely isn't.
Posted by SlowFlowPro
Simple Solutions to Complex Probs
Member since Jan 2004
422465 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

That depends on the definition of “Ukraine” as a nation state going forward.

Russia won't leave *the sovereign borders of Ukraine on January 1, 2022.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
67083 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:09 pm to
quote:

Why would Turkey pull out forces from Cyprus in the event of a Russian invasion?


I don't know, maybe they would have to take some troops from Cyprus to shore up a defense of Anatolia since that's where the Russian army would be fighting?
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
26317 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:12 pm to
quote:

Why would Turkey pull out forces from Cyprus in the event of a Russian invasion? They would likely use the Cyprus base even more as a coordination point.

Better question is what the hell would the 10,000 UK military personnel on Cyprus do in that event
Posted by Realityintheface
Member since May 2022
1784 posts
Posted on 6/28/22 at 5:15 pm to
By the way, I am thankful the discussion is more deep then “frick you!” “No, frick you!!” Some very intelligent people come to this board and I want to hear their thoughts and opinions on this rather then the topic that N.O. is a shite hole, which we already know and beat that to death.
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