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re: Trump at 46% approval with likely black voters.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 12:55 pm to baobabtiger
Posted on 10/23/20 at 12:55 pm to baobabtiger
That's a lot of support for a "white supremacist".
It kinda makes me think... Most Black people know what actual, real, racism looks like. And they dont' see it in Trump. Just a guess...
It kinda makes me think... Most Black people know what actual, real, racism looks like. And they dont' see it in Trump. Just a guess...
Posted on 10/23/20 at 1:07 pm to Vacherie Saint
quote:
What states might the black vote flip for Trump?
Not flip, but hold.
Swing states he barely won in 2016 that have significant black population:
Michigan - 15% (mostly Detroit)
Pennsylvania - 12% (mostly Philly)
Florida - 16% (all types down there)
Let's reasonably assume blacks are 10% of the voting electorate in those states. If Democrats' 90% loyalty drops down to 80% this go around, Trump adds 1% margin to his victory tally. 1% is huge in swing states.
If the Democrats can't break through that 3 state firewall, it's over. Even if a state like Arizona flips, it's over.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 1:10 pm to baobabtiger
I'd love to believe it but every black neighborhood I've seen is heavy Biden signs.
I would think even a dramatic shift is 20-25 percent
I would think even a dramatic shift is 20-25 percent
Posted on 10/23/20 at 1:11 pm to Gatorbait2008
quote:
I'd love to believe it but every black neighborhood I've seen is heavy Biden signs.
Talk about a silent majority. Lets be real. In neighborhoods like that if you support Trump you cant put up a Trump sign
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:00 pm to baobabtiger
Rasmussen is a very credible poll. Not saying it’s on the money but it could be reasonably close.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:02 pm to aubie101
That would be great but makes no sense
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:02 pm to RandySavage
quote:
That would be great but makes no sense
Why?
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:07 pm to bayoubengals88
quote:
If it's one quarter true, he's likely wrapped it up.
11.5%
He needs at least 13% for a wrap up.
Posted on 10/23/20 at 2:12 pm to VoxDawg
I want to believe this, but can't yet.....what do the other polls/sources say?
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