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re: This ceasefire may end being more strategic to buy time than anything else.

Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:36 pm to
Posted by BigTigerJoe
Member since Aug 2022
14022 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 9:36 pm to
quote:

Who will enforce anything? You will have Democrats and maybe a few Republicans screaming "illegal war" and Republicans saying Trump is Commander-in-Chief. Courts are not going to get involved


Even if the courts don’t get involved, Trump could get impeached and tried in the Senate. There is that. He wouldn’t be convicted, but he doesn’t want that spectacle.
Posted by rstamp1
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2009
1493 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:11 pm to
At least now kids aren’t surrounding the electrical plans. I’d send the B’2s and have them ready to go if it is clear Iran isn’t willing to really negotiate.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
96894 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:17 pm to
Solid post OP

How long until the
quote:

George H W Bush carrier group
arrives?
Posted by RollingwiththeTide
Member since Oct 2020
6703 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:20 pm to
Thank you. The Bush is currently in the Med on its way. It isn’t very far. The Boxer I’m not 100% sure about. I think it was spotted leaving Pearl on April 1st or 2nd. I’m going off memory on that so don’t hold me to that. I’m pretty sure that is correct though.
Posted by idlewatcher
Planet Arium
Member since Jan 2012
96894 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:30 pm to
By the time this thing ramps up again, we’ll have plenty in place.
Posted by RollingwiththeTide
Member since Oct 2020
6703 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 10:39 pm to
I don’t know if the Navy can slap the Ford back together enough to get it back in the fight or not. They may just send them home even if they could because it had already been deployed a long time when this all started.

If it wasn’t for a stupid fire in the laundry room then Iran would be dealing with 3 aircraft carriers battle groups right.
Posted by Neutral Underground
Member since Mar 2024
3311 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 11:26 pm to
Trump said that he was going to both sanction and put a tariff on the country that is Arming Iran. It would cripple Chinas economy.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26797 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 11:51 pm to
quote:

Would the ceasefire, act as a mechanism that interrupts the consecutive days of action, and allows the 60 day clock to begin again?
quote:
The US-Iran conflict, which began on February 28, 2026, has been ongoing for 42 days as of April 10, 2026.

If the ceasefire holds past the 60 day mark, and Iran attacks the scaling down US forces, can the 60 day clock begin again?


I dont know anything concrete.
But for the longest time, I expected the engagement to change before the 60 day limit.
My expectation was for the next 60 days to focus on the strait with troops on the ground.

Instead of a decimation of the Iranian military (first 60), the next 60 days would be to secure free global trade through the strait.
Posted by beaux duke
Member since Oct 2023
4903 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 11:53 pm to
quote:

Hope you find some relief from the neck and back issues.

Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
12293 posts
Posted on 4/9/26 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

Instead of a decimation of the Iranian military (first 60), the next 60 days would be to secure free global trade through the strait.


quote:

My expectation was for the next 60 days to focus on the strait with troops on the ground.


I understand your thinking. But stationing troops on land like that in a tight space…That’s a big exposure risk for troops.
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26797 posts
Posted on 4/10/26 at 12:02 am to
quote:


I understand your thinking. But stationing troops on land like that in a tight space…That’s a big exposure risk for troops.


They don't need to be stationed there.
Go island to island and clearing all of the weapons and threats. Once the threats are removed, the island can be secured through the air/sea.

Once the islands are secure, work the coastline. Eliminate all of the caches in the immediate vicinity. Then install SAM similar to we have at our bases through the ME.

Then frigate, baby.
Posted by AGGIES
Member since Jul 2021
12293 posts
Posted on 4/10/26 at 12:09 am to
Yeah. I was thinking about the coastline.

Installing SAMs. Hmm. Might be the only option. But escalation is a real possibility.
Posted by MrLSU
Yellowstone, Val d'isere
Member since Jan 2004
29730 posts
Posted on 4/10/26 at 12:16 am to
Posted by RollingwiththeTide
Member since Oct 2020
6703 posts
Posted on 4/10/26 at 12:21 am to
I also read that Iran has something called the Greater Arch Strategy. They control 7 islands that are heavily militarized. The Greater Arch Strategy basically uses these Islands to control the shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. 2 of these islands are called Greater Tunb and Lesser Tunb. They have already been hit some but I’m sure there is plenty still there. Both of these Islands have airstrips from what i understand but one is smaller. One has a port I think. They have IRGC solders there. Pretty much I’m guessing to open the Strait then all 7 Islands will need to be taken probably starting with Greater and Lesser Tunb. I have a feeling though these Islands would get pounded heavily from the Land, Sea, and ain’t before any U.S. boots went on the ground. Taking these Islands will be simple though compared to trying to actually go into Iran and dig up all that uranium. That could take a while to get too. Every IRGC nut job with a gun will probably show up to fight.
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