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re: The Official Thread: Russia invades Ukraine
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:56 pm to Lima Whiskey
Posted on 5/3/22 at 2:56 pm to Lima Whiskey
I’m not sure why so many people have a fundamental misunderstanding of the situation in Ukraine, but let’s try it again…
Russia has not mobilized… therefore it has a limited amount of manpower committed to the fight… Ukraine OTOH has mobilized its men of fighting age… manpower isn’t this issue.
This idea that the current Russian ground forces can grind down UAR in the east, then sweep west towards Odessa and then cut off the western border is so completely foolish. They can’t even destroy forces in the east.
Russia has not mobilized… therefore it has a limited amount of manpower committed to the fight… Ukraine OTOH has mobilized its men of fighting age… manpower isn’t this issue.
This idea that the current Russian ground forces can grind down UAR in the east, then sweep west towards Odessa and then cut off the western border is so completely foolish. They can’t even destroy forces in the east.
2
Posted on 5/3/22 at 3:06 pm to lowspark12
Canadian general arrested in Mariupol
The Russian armed forces arrested Canadian General Trevor Kadier in Mariupol on the night of 2-3 May 2022. He is currently in Moscow awaiting to stand trial.
General Trevor Kadier was apparently not on a mission for his government, but was in charge of biolaboratory No. 1, with 18 staff working under his command.
Voltaire
apa
The Russian armed forces arrested Canadian General Trevor Kadier in Mariupol on the night of 2-3 May 2022. He is currently in Moscow awaiting to stand trial.
General Trevor Kadier was apparently not on a mission for his government, but was in charge of biolaboratory No. 1, with 18 staff working under his command.
Voltaire
apa
Posted on 5/3/22 at 3:20 pm to lowspark12
quote:
Ukraine OTOH has mobilized its men of fighting age… manpower isn’t this issue.
There are a lot of old men in the Ukrainian POW videos. That suggests manpower problems.
quote:
Russia has not mobilized… therefore it has a limited amount of manpower committed to the fight…
The Russians have an absolute advantage in AirPower.
The Ukrainian air force no longer exists in any operational sense. By late March, according to the DoD, the Ukrainians had twenty operational aircraft.
And the Russians have have an overwhelming advantage in artillery.
Between the two, they’re just pummeling the Ukrainians. And it doesn’t slow down much at night. The number of artillery fire missions drops just 20%.
This post was edited on 5/3/22 at 10:16 pm
Posted on 5/3/22 at 3:28 pm to Lima Whiskey
I get it man… it’s a hard concept for you to understand 
Posted on 5/3/22 at 3:32 pm to Chromdome35
quote:
Could be a sign that Ukraine needs the troops. That would give them about 100K to throw into the fight in the east.
I think so
They’re the equivalent of the British Home Guard in WW2. It’s your old men, and the people who otherwise aren’t eligible to fight in the regular army.
Poltico from February LINK
quote:
At 50, however, Velichansky is not a prime candidate for frontline duty. Instead, he is one of many Ukrainian civilians flocking to join a new military branch: the Territorial Defense Force.
quote:
Marianna, a 52-year-old Kyiv resident and married mother of three. A data analyst in market research, Marianna has trained for Territorial Defense since 2020 as an infantry riflewoman.
quote:
Prominent Territorial Defense recruits include Yegor Sobolev, a former lawmaker, who decided it was time to prepare for the worst when Russia last gathered more than 100,000 troops along Ukraine’s borders in the spring of 2021.
He’s 46.
Posted on 5/3/22 at 5:11 pm to lowspark12
quote:
This is all laughable… Russia doesn’t have the capability to pull off what it wants to in the Donbas… Odessa is a pipe dream
I didn’t say they would succeed, only that it is what they appear to be attempting
Posted on 5/4/22 at 9:09 am to Lima Whiskey
NASA has a set of satellites that monitor fires across the globe. It has come in very useful for seeing exactly where the fighting is occurring in Ukraine.
The NASA tool to view the data is very robust and you can choose from a variety of layers to display. You can also choose a date in time or a date range to view.
This should take you to the Donetsk region where the majority of the fighting is occurring now.
LINK
The NASA tool to view the data is very robust and you can choose from a variety of layers to display. You can also choose a date in time or a date range to view.
This should take you to the Donetsk region where the majority of the fighting is occurring now.
LINK
Posted on 5/4/22 at 10:36 am to Lima Whiskey
A really good Twitter thread discussing the current state of the Russian offensive
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1521700041601302529.html
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1521700041601302529.html
quote:
3/ This is not a prediction but a brief analysis of what seems to be the overall direction of operations by the Russian military in what is clearly the decisive terrain in east Ukraine – the convex line running from Izium through Siverskyi Donets to the Severondontsk Salient.
Posted on 5/4/22 at 11:27 pm to Chromdome35
A good twitter thread discussing the compostion of the Russian Army and the impact of their conscript system.
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1521147854949036032.html
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1521147854949036032.html
quote:
How is the Russian regular army composed? The key element is draft. Theoretically every young man between 18-27 y.o. has to serve in the army for a year. In practice however, everyone who can, dodges. So the quotas are filled by the most disadvantaged who didn't or couldn't dodge
Posted on 5/5/22 at 5:15 am to Lima Whiskey
Wounded American mercenary Manus McCaffery shares his sad combat experience in a hospital in Zaporozhye. On April 27, Manus McCaffery, a former soldier of the 75th Airborne Reconnaissance Regiment of the US Army, and his accomplice Paul Gray, who served in the 101st Airborne Division of the US Army, were wounded while trying to fire a Russian tank with a Javelin during the battles for the settlement of Orekhov Zaporizhzhya areas. Manus received multiple shrapnel and penetrating wounds to the head, torso, lower extremities, and Paul's left leg was torn off. Both Americans served as instructors in the Ukrainian Special Operations Forces.
LINK
LINK
This post was edited on 5/5/22 at 5:17 am
Posted on 5/5/22 at 5:18 am to Tigers2010a
Russian proxies were fighting using civilians as shields.
Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014 and hasn't vstopp killing since then
Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014 and hasn't vstopp killing since then
Posted on 5/5/22 at 7:03 am to Chromdome35
quote:
How is the Russian regular army composed? The key element is draft. Theoretically every young man between 18-27 y.o. has to serve in the army for a year. In practice however, everyone who can, dodges. So the quotas are filled by the most disadvantaged who didn't or couldn't dodge
What kind of nonsense of the mentally ill are you reading?
In a number of regions (similar to the US states) we are ready to pay a bribe to get into the army.
Not everyone is accepted into the army. Only one of my sons was in the army, no more
This post was edited on 5/5/22 at 7:08 am
Posted on 5/5/22 at 7:06 am to LSU7096
quote:
Russian proxies were fighting using civilians as shields.
Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014 and hasn't vstopp killing since then
Another one from a parallel universe.
Can you bring a proof, well, at least one how Russia attacked Ukraine in 2014 .... 2019 or any date before February 24, 2022?
And at least one proof when Russia was hiding behind civilians?
Posted on 5/5/22 at 7:14 am to ruff fish
Did you actually read the thread? I doubt it.
My two sons in law are both active military, Capt in Army and Gunny in Marines. The military has been good to both of them.
My two sons in law are both active military, Capt in Army and Gunny in Marines. The military has been good to both of them.
Posted on 5/5/22 at 7:46 am to Chromdome35
quote:
Did you actually read the thread? I doubt it.
My two sons in law are both active military, Capt in Army and Gunny in Marines. The military has been good to both of them.
I'm reading the thread. Responding to every crazy message has long been tired.
I live in Russia.
If you really believe in what you write, then for me in parallel.
Reality doesn't reflect it
This post was edited on 5/5/22 at 7:50 am
Posted on 5/5/22 at 8:01 am to ruff fish
These bots are getting sophisticated… this is almost English.
Posted on 5/5/22 at 8:45 am to ruff fish
I'm not talking about this thread on TD, I'm talking about the twitter thread I posted.
Sorry didn't realize you lived in Russia and your son was in the Russian military, my bad.
Sorry didn't realize you lived in Russia and your son was in the Russian military, my bad.
Posted on 5/5/22 at 9:22 am to Chromdome35
Following up to my post yesterday about NASA's FIRM system.
I have seen several posts on twitter like this one saying the Ukrainians have begun a major offensive.
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1522202434692870144
So looking at the NASA data from yesterday and then so far today, you can see the large increase in fires.
Yesterday
Today
I have seen several posts on twitter like this one saying the Ukrainians have begun a major offensive.
https://twitter.com/Nrg8000/status/1522202434692870144
So looking at the NASA data from yesterday and then so far today, you can see the large increase in fires.
Yesterday
Today
Posted on 5/5/22 at 9:33 am to Chromdome35
https://twitter.com/Eire_QC/status/1522179020569382912
quote:
Valeriy Zaluzhny confirmed in talks with Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Mark Milley (USA) that Ukraine was now switching gears moving from defensive positions to Counter-Offensive in Kharkiv and Izyum.
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