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Message
Senate Polling Error By State Per @PatrickRuffini
Posted on 10/3/26 at 1:42 pm
Posted on 10/3/26 at 1:42 pm
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Senate Battleground Polling Errors:
Alaska: ?? Dems +9.4%
Maine: ?? Dems +7.5%
Ohio: ?? Dems +6.5%
Michigan: ?? Dems +6.2%
Iowa: ?? Dems +6.0%
North Carolina: ?? Dems +3.9%
Georgia: ?? Dems +0.7%
Texas: ?? Dems +0.4%
Posted on 10/3/26 at 2:15 pm to loogaroo
Posted on 10/3/26 at 2:36 pm to loogaroo
The polls all lean the same way. I am shocked, shocked I tell you.
I wonder what's the probability that happens organically.
I wonder what's the probability that happens organically.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 3:33 pm to RohanGonzales
The silent majority dont answer their phones unless the person is on their contact list.
The rest are Ricky Retardos and answer every Prince of Zambawie, Prince of Phuket call, that want you to take access to their millions in funds, if you pay $8k in the taxes up front.
They all also have eleventy hundred car warranties, as they answer every poll and say democrats rule, kill the babies.
The rest are Ricky Retardos and answer every Prince of Zambawie, Prince of Phuket call, that want you to take access to their millions in funds, if you pay $8k in the taxes up front.
They all also have eleventy hundred car warranties, as they answer every poll and say democrats rule, kill the babies.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 3:41 pm to loogaroo
The first few at the top probably mean trouble for those GOP candidates.
GA and TX being less than one percent for the Dem candidates…I’m thinking that means the GOP candidate will win.
GA and TX being less than one percent for the Dem candidates…I’m thinking that means the GOP candidate will win.
This post was edited on 10/3/26 at 3:43 pm
Posted on 10/3/26 at 3:45 pm to cajunangelle
quote:
The silent majority dont answer their phones unless the person is on their contact list.
Yes.
I’ve been saying that on here. You and I have been on here long enough to see how this usually plays out.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 3:45 pm to ragincajun03
quote:
The first few at the top probably mean trouble for those GOP candidates.
Not an unreasonable assumption.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 3:54 pm to ragincajun03
quote:
The first few at the top probably mean trouble for those GOP candidates.
I read that as the error rate for example Alaska is showing an error 9+ percent in the Democrats favor compared to reality. That means a democrat with a 9% vote is really in the margin of error in reality.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:00 pm to loogaroo
I have lived in a lot of places, plus overseas. I have seen a lot of election cycles. 2024 had the silent majority after J13, put up flags, Trump signs. Many were so pissed after Butler.
It went too far that is our President.
Democrats got in wars with neighbors, marched with pussy shirts, screaming frick you to every car. Bused in from out of town. Once I saw in the biggest swing state there is...
MAGA are third class citizens that take such vitriol it affects employment even...
Imagining Carlson and jew haters, going Judas wanting MAGA dead is bad enough...
We are the silent majority not buying the muh joo spin.
It went too far that is our President.
Democrats got in wars with neighbors, marched with pussy shirts, screaming frick you to every car. Bused in from out of town. Once I saw in the biggest swing state there is...
MAGA are third class citizens that take such vitriol it affects employment even...
Imagining Carlson and jew haters, going Judas wanting MAGA dead is bad enough...
We are the silent majority not buying the muh joo spin.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:16 pm to Mid Iowa Tiger
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:25 pm to cajunangelle
Same poll had Kamala winning in a landslide
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:26 pm to cajunangelle
Same poll had Kamala winning in a landslide.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:42 pm to loogaroo
How were these numbers determined?
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:44 pm to loogaroo
Polls wildly overestimate Dems when Trump is on the ballot on average
They actually somewhat underestimate Dems when he isn’t (again, on average. Florida is MAGA as frick no matter what the season)
This isn’t new or news.
They actually somewhat underestimate Dems when he isn’t (again, on average. Florida is MAGA as frick no matter what the season)
This isn’t new or news.
Posted on 10/3/26 at 4:45 pm to loogaroo
quote:
Senate Polling Error By State Per @PatrickRuffini
If you haven't figured out by now that polls heavily skew Dem, I don't know what to tell you.
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