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re: Rush is on fire today.

Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:34 pm to
Posted by longwayfromLA
NYC
Member since Nov 2007
3331 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

The main model Fauci implemented was devised by a Bill Gates loyalist.


No it wasn't. Pretty everyone's model is an SIR, which is the standard model for most epidemiology; it's been around since the 1920s. The only thing different from Fauci's model or Ferguson's model or the ones used for Ebola are the assumptions you plug in.
Posted by supatigah
CEO of the Keith Hernandez Fan Club
Member since Mar 2004
90030 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:34 pm to
quote:

I don't think he ever got over that...


there have been a few cases over the years of his IRL personality and his online persona clashing

hell it happens to all of us if we are around long enough and go to TD functions
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134721 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:35 pm to
quote:

What makes you think she used the Imperial model?
Do you mean except for the time she said she used that model while speaking at one of President Trump's daily COVID-19 briefings???
Posted by longwayfromLA
NYC
Member since Nov 2007
3331 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Do you mean except for the time she said she used that model while speaking at one of President Trump's daily COVID-19 briefings???


It's the same model. Everyone has pretty much the same variables interacting in the same ways to produce forecast. The difference is the values you put in as assumptions. The truth is making good assumptions is tough because this is new. Since there is no history, people have leveraged assumptions from similar diseases and as we've learned more, we updated our assumptions.

Regardless, everyone's model has shown that a disease that doubles every few days does not need to have a high hospitalization rate or high mortality rate to sicken and kill a lot of people very quickly.

So I'll ask, and I'm asking sincerely, how does this not kill over 100K people if cases keep doubling every 3 days?
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 3:15 pm
Posted by OchoDedos
Republic of Texas
Member since Oct 2014
39813 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

So I'll ask, and I'm asking sincerely, how does this not kill over 100K people if cases keep doubling every 3 days?

What does it matter if it kills 100000? We're committing economic suicide for what? Consider it the price of doing business. Not a soul ran through the streets screaming doom and gloom when the flu killed 50000 people. Where was the over the top hysteria from the New York media then?
Posted by Bass Tiger
Member since Oct 2014
55605 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

You should be more ashamed of taking an admitted political fricking hack seriously



Powerman is powerfully stupid.
Posted by longwayfromLA
NYC
Member since Nov 2007
3331 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

What does it matter if it kills 100000? We're committing economic suicide for what? Consider it the price of doing business. Not a soul ran through the streets screaming doom and gloom when the flu killed 50000 people. Where was the over the top hysteria from the New York media then?


I suppose depending on what x is, different people might come out on different sides on the question of "is it worth it to shut down the economy over x dead people?" But remember you only limit it to 100K if you shut down much of the economy. If you don't the number is much higher. That's the rub, it is not clear what the limiting factor on bodies is absent drastic mitigation efforts.
This post was edited on 4/3/20 at 3:09 pm
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

You should be more ashamed of taking an admitted political fricking hack seriously



frick you

Having an opinion does not disqualify someone from being correct.
Posted by texridder
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Oct 2017
14941 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:14 pm to
quote:

Do you mean except for the time she said she used that model while speaking at one of President Trump's daily COVID-19 briefings???

Was that when she said the Imperial study had revised its fatality prediction for U.K. to 20,000?
Posted by BugAC
St. George
Member since Oct 2007
57743 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 3:15 pm to
quote:

Yeah the fricking clown president awarded him with it

Who cares bitch?



Whew boy! Somebody sure is triggered today.
Posted by texridder
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Oct 2017
14941 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 6:15 pm to
quote:

You should be more ashamed of taking an admitted political fricking hack seriously

quote:

Having an opinion does not disqualify someone from being correct.

Damn. Those are some powerful, profound words to live by.

I guess that means that the converse is also true.
quote:

Having an opinion does not disqualify someone from being incorrect.




Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 6:30 pm to
quote:

quote:
You should be more ashamed of taking an admitted political fricking hack seriously
quote:
Having an opinion does not disqualify someone from being correct.

Damn. Those are some powerful, profound words to live by.

I guess that means that the converse is also true.
quote:
Having an opinion does not disqualify someone from being incorrect.



Well dipshit that wasn't the question was it?

Seriously, are you stupid?
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 6:40 pm to
quote:

You should be more ashamed of taking an admitted political fricking hack seriously


You seem angry. Whatever is causing your anger, I'm sorry that happened to you. I hope you'll be ok.
Posted by Dale51
Member since Oct 2016
32378 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 6:43 pm to
quote:

Yeah the fricking clown president awarded him with it

Who cares bitch?


So angry.
Thought and prayers for you.
Posted by texridder
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Oct 2017
14941 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 7:30 pm to
quote:

Well dip shite that wasn't the question was it?
Your answer
quote:

Having an opinion does not disqualify someone from being correct.

was stupid no matter what the question was.
Posted by Poncho and Lefty
Guntersville, AL
Member since Jul 2018
834 posts
Posted on 4/3/20 at 7:40 pm to
Ok.
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