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Polymarket currently predicts a 64% chance of Democrat sweep

Posted on 10/26/26 at 4:27 am
Posted by moontigr
Dark Side of the Moon
Member since Nov 2020
7868 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 4:27 am
Please someone reassure me that this is bogus and inaccurate

LINK
Posted by BoomerandSooner
Top of Texas
Member since Sep 2025
3838 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 4:33 am to
We will find out soon enough. Now if the polling proves to be way off and as always, it leans far left... Actions will need to be taken, swiftly and judiciously.

There have already been a few pollsters that had to be shut down because of their methods and influence.
Posted by dcbl
Good guys wear white hats.
Member since Sep 2013
32911 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 5:50 am to
quote:

Please someone reassure me that this is bogus and inaccurate



they are assuming wins in TX, AK & ME and maybe even MI in big senate races

Republicans will keep the Senate

the House will be very close

and Donald John Trump is your president



Posted by Zgeo
Baja Oklahoma
Member since Jul 2021
4433 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:00 am to
Yes democrats don’t need to vote. They have it in the bag….
Posted by Placekicker
Florida
Member since Jan 2016
14909 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:06 am to
Polls are psyops, designed to demoralize one side or the other.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
59162 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:11 am to
quote:

Polls are psyops


That's true, although polymarket/kalshi aren't polls.

Not saying the live prediction markets can't be manipulated.. just need someone with more money than sense to tip the scales.
This post was edited on 10/26/26 at 6:15 am
Posted by udtiger
Over your left shoulder
Member since Nov 2006
118682 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:16 am to
I am sure Dem/Left operatives are flooding $$$ into prediction markets as part of their suppression efforts.
Posted by cadillacattack
the ATL
Member since May 2020
11877 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:21 am to

gaslighting…..
Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1610 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:21 am to
quote:

That's true, although polymarket/kalshi aren't polls.



While they may not be polls, you can bet a lot of the activity being generated is based upon polls, which as we know, have been skewed in favor of Dems for the last few decades, at least.
Posted by Pedropatterstine
Member since Aug 2026
1610 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:23 am to
quote:

I am sure Dem/Left operatives are flooding $$$ into prediction markets a


This is the truth. They placing bets based upon polling data. They are nut jobs so even though every single election turns out to have overestimated Dems, they keep doing the same thing and buying them every election. That my friends is called insanity.
Posted by moontigr
Dark Side of the Moon
Member since Nov 2020
7868 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:31 am to
I hope you’re right
Posted by Tarps99
Lafourche Parish
Member since Apr 2017
13830 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:50 am to
quote:

Please someone reassure me that this is bogus and inaccurate


You have some profiteering in the online casino market of political sports betting.

I would be willing to bet there is some manipulation going on to sway bets a certain way that way some big betor comes in and gets the rate he wants and cleans up on Election Day.

I think it is time for Congress to end political sports betting or exchanges that masquerade as sports betting sites.

Some of this is filtering into reporting and could be used to manipulate voters into not voting because they point to one side having no chance of winning.
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
173380 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:54 am to
The democrats and establishment uniparty spent 300k plus to influence this.

Final answer, i may poll the audience.
Posted by Stinger_1066
On a golf course
Member since Jul 2021
4195 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:56 am to
quote:

There have already been a few pollsters that had to be shut down because of their methods and influence.


Who and when?
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
173380 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:56 am to
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
173380 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:57 am to
Posted by The Torch
DFW The Dub
Member since Aug 2014
31259 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 6:58 am to
quote:

I am sure Dem/Left operatives are flooding $$$ into prediction markets as part of their suppression efforts.


They cheat at everything so you are most likely right, they have a team of 400 blue hairs sitting around all day placing $2.00 bets that Talarico will win to manipulate the markets.
Posted by Stinger_1066
On a golf course
Member since Jul 2021
4195 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 7:00 am to
quote:

I think it is time for Congress to end political sports betting or exchanges that masquerade as sports betting sites.


The Trumps, especially DJT, Jr, are heavily invested in both Polymarket and Kalshi.

DJT, Jr. is an "adviser" to both, and sits on the board of at least one of them.
Posted by Diamondawg
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2006
40405 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 7:03 am to
quote:

Please someone reassure me that this is bogus and inaccurate

Put $5M on the Republicans and see if the prediction moves. Isn't it a betting board?
Posted by cajunangelle
Member since Oct 2012
173380 posts
Posted on 10/26/26 at 7:03 am to
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