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Playing with 270toWin (Nebraska could be a factor)
Posted on 10/9/24 at 8:50 am
Posted on 10/9/24 at 8:50 am
This election very well could come down to the blue dot in Nebraska, and the Republicans deciding to punt on it could screw us over. There was a push to make Nebraska winner takes all.
Trump's best path might be the sunbelt strategy (sweeping AZ, NV, NC, and GA). But still losing the blue wall.
If this happens, Harris wins 270-268, making that split EV in Nebraska critical.
Trump's best path might be the sunbelt strategy (sweeping AZ, NV, NC, and GA). But still losing the blue wall.
If this happens, Harris wins 270-268, making that split EV in Nebraska critical.
11
Posted on 10/9/24 at 8:53 am to burger bearcat
Trump is sweeping the blue wall baw
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:00 am to burger bearcat
Trump needs to do a rally in Omaha
Trump can win the election with just Nevada and Omaha without winning any of PA, MI, or WI.
He’s going to win those three but still, you need to work towards every scenario.
Trump can win the election with just Nevada and Omaha without winning any of PA, MI, or WI.
He’s going to win those three but still, you need to work towards every scenario.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:02 am to FireGoodell
quote:
Trump is sweeping the blue wall baw
I hope so, but it's a risky strategy depending on those states. I don't trust PA and Michigan at all, and WI is always tricky. If he doesn't get one of those states, there is no path. Nevada seems easier and less expensive to flip than PA
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:04 am to burger bearcat
I've been saying this for a couple months now. Nebraska's District 2 could provide the presidency to either candidate. I see a very realistic scenario where this could be an electoral tie if Trump wins D2 in Nebraska. Tall order, I know, but if I were his campaign manager I'd have him in D2 every single week doing major events. Show those people that he cares about them and their issues. Show the minorities in Omaha some love and peel away 20% of them (which according to most polling on minorities, isn't impossible).
But instead everyone tells me I'm stupid. We'll see. Hopefully he doesn't need NE-D2 at all and gets PA, NC, GA, and AZ along with NV.
I'm nervous as frick to be honest.
But instead everyone tells me I'm stupid. We'll see. Hopefully he doesn't need NE-D2 at all and gets PA, NC, GA, and AZ along with NV.
I'm nervous as frick to be honest.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:07 am to burger bearcat
There is a better chance of him winning all three of the blue wall states than Nevada. His one and only strategy is to camp out in NC and Pennsylvania, with a few appearances in GA.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:31 am to armtackledawg
quote:
There is a better chance of him winning all three of the blue wall states than Nevada. His one and only strategy is to camp out in NC and Pennsylvania, with a few appearances in GA.
This is probably true. And he does just need those 3 states - GA, NC, PA.
I think he will get those plus AZ and WI. MI is a coin toss, but I think with the Muslim population abstaining from Kamala, it should very well go to Trump.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:37 am to wareagle7298
quote:
I think he will get those plus AZ and WI
I think AZ is red as well. I am most worried about Pennsylvania and NC. But, even if he wins just one of those, all he needs to do is get the other and either Wisconsin or Michigan. There are a lot of ways he can win.
I think the most likely result is that Trump wins both and AZ, MI, NV and MI do not matter.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:38 am to burger bearcat
That's why Nebraska has been called "Obamaha."
Which is actually worse that any of the plays off "Omaha" that our SEC teams put on the CWS t-shirts.
Which is actually worse that any of the plays off "Omaha" that our SEC teams put on the CWS t-shirts.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:43 am to armtackledawg
The last 2 elections they have tried to lump to NC for the Dem and it didn't happen. With such a weak candidate in Kamala, I do not see it this time either. Everything out of PA has been positive for Trump, from the court orders, registration swing, polls, etc...
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:44 am to burger bearcat
Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, or Michigan go red before NE-2 goes red. That NE-2 district is heavily suburban/urban, not Trump's best demographic.
This post was edited on 10/9/24 at 10:05 am
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:45 am to burger bearcat
I live an hour north of Omaha and I have not seen any polling or anything on the Omaha district. I know trump has done rally’s and Omaha/council bluffs jn the past. Vance was in Omaha a few weeks ago, but you think he would realize the importance of that EV. Hopefully he makes his way here soon
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:48 am to burger bearcat
The blue dot in Nebraska is staying blue. Zero chance it changes.
If Trump doesn’t win any of the blue wall states it’s over. They usually vote the same, but this election is a different beast altogether. He just needs one assuming he gets NC, GA and AZ.
My money is on WI. I don’t see him winning MI.
If Trump doesn’t win any of the blue wall states it’s over. They usually vote the same, but this election is a different beast altogether. He just needs one assuming he gets NC, GA and AZ.
My money is on WI. I don’t see him winning MI.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:49 am to burger bearcat
I think Trump wins PA, NC, and GA by 9pm and the party's over
Not to mention Maine at large is not completely out of the realm of possibility. That would be glorious
Not to mention Maine at large is not completely out of the realm of possibility. That would be glorious
This post was edited on 10/9/24 at 9:51 am
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:55 am to armtackledawg
quote:
There is a better chance of him winning all three of the blue wall states than Nevada. His one and only strategy is to camp out in NC and Pennsylvania, with a few appearances in GA.
Pennsylvania is the key. The whole election will probably come down to a couple counties in PA.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 9:58 am to burger bearcat
Couple of months ago it may have seemed that close.
Its not going to be close. Kamala is the worst candidate in modern history.
Its not going to be close. Kamala is the worst candidate in modern history.
Posted on 10/9/24 at 10:19 am to burger bearcat
quote:
Playing with 270toWin
Stock up
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