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re: Oil Field Rumblings

Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:09 pm to
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4323 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

People are though trying to beat any potential rush on projects that will come to fruition more than two years from now. The Trump win ensures there won't be a moratorium on drilling, so there is less uncertainty in getting bids for long term projects.


This is my assumption as well. Although, there have been some bids requested for long term projects.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
119560 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:09 pm to
quote:

I work for a large oil field services company in the Project Management/Estimating department.

Since the election, less than 48hrs ago, I've received about 10 inquires for new platform projects and about 20 for platform improvement projects. Some on the shelf in the Gulf and some deep water. Let's drill, bitches!

Just goes to show you the immediate affect Trump has had on the economy. Pretty crazy.


I received a new project yesterday afternoon. Not saying there is a correlation (but there is...believe me).
Posted by Douboy
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2007
4332 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:11 pm to
quote:

There is no oil supply shortage. More drilling isn't going to help.


Demand will. Let's get the economic engine running again. Infrastructure projects would be a huge help.
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
60334 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:15 pm to
There is a fundamental market problem that American politics has very little impact on
Posted by TigerFred
Feeding hamsters
Member since Aug 2003
27224 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:19 pm to
Everyone of those projects started years ago.

Shell has put the breaks one project for next year and another originally scheduled for 2018.

The two Hess projects started many years ago and the Chevron Bigfoot project is about five years behind schedule.

A 100 million dollar rig must be really small. Hell a small Jack Up Drilling Rig will cost more than 300 million now to build.


Posted by onelochevy
Slidell, LA
Member since Jan 2011
16678 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:21 pm to
Hope so. ROV work is slow as hell. Been home 6 weeks already. Finally have a 2 week job to go on starting sunday
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29351 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:23 pm to
Nice baw.

I work for a pipeline company....we ready to move it when you get it out of the ground
Posted by Russ337
NM
Member since Dec 2013
1473 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:23 pm to
Have two of my customers in west texas picking up 10 plus rigs by January..
Posted by DaBike
Member since Jan 2008
9377 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:23 pm to
Still don't see significant activity increase until oil goes up. Most capital programs are still looking flat for 2017
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4323 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

Hate to burst your bubble on this one, but until Saudi goes back to May 2014 production levels, any new projects will be limited at best.


There was an article I read not to long ago that the Saudi Oil Minister (prince) was beginning to take the stance that they should start to curve production on their end and start stabilizing the global market. Not sure how much truth there was to it. I'm no economist, just thinking the Saudi's may be seeing the benefits of high prices vs flooding the market.
Posted by Mir
Member since Sep 2016
2777 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:26 pm to
Yes please I need to gtfo west Texas and back home baw
Posted by LSU316
Rice and Easy Baby!!!
Member since Nov 2007
29351 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:27 pm to
quote:

Still don't see significant activity increase until oil goes up.


Before i ask this I'll admit I'm not well versed in how the economics of this particular industry work (as I said I work for a pipeline company....didn't say I was a software developer ).

Is it possible that by relaxing regulation and taxation that Trump could potentially lower the cost to profit from $60+/barrel to around $40/barrel....sounds like a lot to me honestly but I have heard people talk about this.
This post was edited on 11/10/16 at 4:28 pm
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4323 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:28 pm to
100 million pipe line. My bad, not specific enough there. Just the insulation on the pipeline actually. Doesn't include the steel, field jointing, and lay barge.

Appomattox and Rydberg. There's a third coming after Rydberg as well, can't recall the name though.
This post was edited on 11/10/16 at 4:30 pm
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19674 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:28 pm to
Yea this will have nothing to do with work picking back up. Im in O&G and just switched from completions side to production. Like it was said earlier all the projects you mentioned have been budgeted for years.



Whats the construction postion is Newo? Ive been contemplating switching industries.
Posted by CorporateTiger
Member since Aug 2014
10700 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:31 pm to
I mean stripping regulations wouldn't hurt, but I honestly doubt cost of compliance is a particularly big driver in the industry at this point. The direct costs are a much bigger driver.

Ultimately there is just too much oil for not enough economic activity at the moment.
Posted by DaBike
Member since Jan 2008
9377 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Is it possible that by relaxing regulation and taxation that Trump could potentially lower the cost to profit from $60+/barrel to around


Every little bit helps but the real cost are in materials and labor.
Posted by alphaandomega
Tuscaloosa-Here to Serve
Member since Aug 2012
13780 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:31 pm to
quote:

Price for unleaded in the NOLA/BR area is about $1.90
WTI is sitting at 44.30 a barrel and the OPEC basket is 41.90.

Prices for both have to be at a minimum of $60.00 for there to be real activity to even begin and the price for a gallon has to be 2.65/2.75


I am not it the O&G field but what would be the negatives on the following scenario?
An import ban on foreign oil as long as the domestic price lets gas run at $3 or less? If it goes over then foreign imports could happen.

The extra cost would be money that is reinvested in our own economy. And we would not be sending money to countries that hate us and use that money to fund terrorism.
How bad of an idea would that be? As I said I know nothing about these markets... so please be easy on me.
Posted by ibleedprplngld
Lafayette, LA
Member since Jan 2012
4323 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:33 pm to
quote:

Is it possible that by relaxing regulation and taxation that Trump could potentially lower the cost to profit from $60+/barrel to around $40/barrel....sounds like a lot to me honestly but I have heard people talk about this.


It's certainly possible. I'm not well versed in how much regulation effects the bottom line but I'd assume any cost saving results in greater profits.
Posted by TexasTiger
Katy TX
Member since Sep 2003
5326 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:40 pm to
quote:

Hess will be completing a deep water rig early 2017


Working on this one now.... should float out in the spring. Has really been a good project. Hess will probably cut a fat hog in the arse once they start producing. Looks like they times the project just about perfect.
Posted by TigerFred
Feeding hamsters
Member since Aug 2003
27224 posts
Posted on 11/10/16 at 4:47 pm to
quote:

n import ban on foreign oil as long as the domestic price lets gas run at $3 or less? If it goes over then foreign imports could happen


The problem is the fear of the 1970's oil embargo and if we needed oil we couldn't get it.

Basically to simplify it. If we needed to go to war with those countries they would have us by the balls.
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