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Message
re: Official Midterms 2018 Thread
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:39 pm to RattyBlowfish
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:39 pm to RattyBlowfish
FNC better get to work before 2020
They're fricking awful
They're fricking awful
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:40 pm to RattyBlowfish
quote:
Ok.. but did you remember when Clinton was winning at this time 2 years ago? Trump somehow got votes in at the last minute and won. RED has been leading Florida most of tonight
I mean I hope it goes Red, but I can only go off the data they are showing. The Dems are winning those major FL counties 60-70% a pop. With so much more vote, I was just doing the math.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:40 pm to Pettifogger
quote:
FNC better get to work before 2020
I hate CNN, but their interactive maps and this guy, King, are terrific!
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:41 pm to TigersSEC2010
FL Gov: 51% reporting for Broward, but they're major precincts.


This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 7:43 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:41 pm to Pettifogger
Jacksonville FL at 98% of their votes
Tampa FL at 90%
Orlando at 93%
Tallahassee at 89%
Miami-Dade at 80%
Tampa FL at 90%
Orlando at 93%
Tallahassee at 89%
Miami-Dade at 80%
This post was edited on 11/6/18 at 7:43 pm
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:41 pm to rpg37
quote:
Well, I'm trying to do 6 things at once -- we think our live election day forecast is definitely being too aggressive and are going to put it on a more conservative setting where it waits more for projections/calls instead of making inferences from partial vote counts.
Nate Silver of 538 is literally changing his live projection model because he doesn't think it's fair because R's are winning too much.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:42 pm to tigerpawl
quote:
FL Gov: 51% reporting for Broward, but they're major precincts.
They've been at 51% for a long time
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:42 pm to MFn GIMP
quote:
I wish the NYT house/senate forecasts would get started.
Right? Not sure wtf they're waiting for.
Finally 538 offered an explanation why their "chances for the house" probability is all over the place. Apparently, in terms of toss ups, they had a bunch of "likely republican" races all go red before any "likely democrat" races closed....they're saying the model overreacted to these results. In other words, it's a fricking useless tool.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:43 pm to mmmmmbeeer
Sorry if already posted. From 1 in 9 chance to win to 1 in 2 to win house in a matter of minutes! 

Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
Betting odds: 2/1 Desantis 
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:44 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
With Marion (Indianapolis) already at 55% in, you'd think they'd have to call Indiana for Braun soon, right?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to Who_Dat_Tiger
That's old, this is current


Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to tigerpawl
Barr gets the call
Sorry Dems. You night is going to suck.
Sorry Dems. You night is going to suck.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:45 pm to tigerpawl
Election results
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.9% Andy Barr* GOP 140,178 ?
47.9% Amy McGrath Dem 132,061
1.2% Other 3,410
93.6% of precincts reporting (587/627)
Percent Candidate Party Votes Winner
50.9% Andy Barr* GOP 140,178 ?
47.9% Amy McGrath Dem 132,061
1.2% Other 3,410
93.6% of precincts reporting (587/627)
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:46 pm to lsuman25
Nate's AI has become self aware and is MAGA as frick
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:46 pm to GEAUXmedic
In Bermuda at a dinner. No real time election info. $500 bet Rs keep the house straight up or down. Take the bet or no?
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:46 pm to lsuman25
finally looking like DeSantis may actually win FL. This is so, so important for the 2020 Trump campaign, and could very well make the difference for him.
Posted on 11/6/18 at 7:47 pm to TigerFanatic99
Oh look, rural counties are reporting now and Cruz is up now.
Bunch of pussies here tonight.
Bunch of pussies here tonight.
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