NYT generic congressional poll jumps from Dems +5 to Dems +11.

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As Republicans in several states race to redraw congressional maps to secure more seats for GOP candidates, a shocking new poll has suggested the party might want to proceed with caution.

According to a New York Times/Siena poll out Monday, Republicans are in a serious hole on the generic congressional ballot. Respondents were asked, “If the 2026 general election for Congress were held today, which party’s candidate would you be more likely to vote for in your district?” And 50 percent said they would back the Democratic candidate, while just 39 percent said they would pick the Republican.

That 11-point spread is way up from the 5-point margin the same poll showed in January. It is also a larger split than most other recent polls have shown — according to RealClearPolitics, which tracks all major polls.

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In a recent appearance on Fox News, Republican strategist Karl Rove warned that redistricting may not play out the way Republicans would want. “You could in essence take … like here in Texas, take big cities, which are typically Democrat, and split them up among several sort of suburban and rural Republicans and thereby reduce their margin and make [House Republicans] more vulnerable in an election year,” Rove said (via The Hill).

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