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re: Nobel Winner to Obama on Global Warming: 'Mr. President, You're Wrong'

Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:22 pm to
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
13407 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:22 pm to
How many peer-reviewed publications have been posted in this thread? I just find it funny that we're apparently having a scientific debate using blogs.

For what it's worth, I don't even feel learned enough in climate science to make a firm stance on the gravity of recent climate change. My only point has been that pointing to a single person (despite possibly a genius-level IQ) as the end-all-be-all "gotcha," when this very person has repeatedly said he doesn't know much about climate science, is ridiculous; especially when he's opposed by many academic scientists who actually do this as their day job.
Posted by noonan
Nassau Bay, TX
Member since Aug 2005
37002 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:22 pm to
OMG +1 degree?
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35374 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

Hasn't it been established that the ice core samples show carbon levels following temp increases, and not the opposite? Rise in temp causing the ocean to emit carbon...
This didn't really address the ice core samples, but during grad school while taking a time series class, I took the temperature data and CO2 data from Mauna Lao to see how I could apply my novice time-series analytical skills.

If I'm recalling it correctly (so don't take it as irrefutable), when I looked at the cross-correlations between the two variables, there was no clear lag either way. In fact, there was nearly a perfectly symmetric, normal-like, distribution on both sides of 0 lag.

What I took from it was that it's, to no surprise, unclear as to what true patterns are present, and what lurking variables aren't present (e.g., the sun is an obvious one).

I know it was a simple view, but it only provides evidence that their seemingly simple conclusions are probably a bit too simple.
Posted by ManBearTiger
BRLA
Member since Jun 2007
22319 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:45 pm to
And you never will because you're a natural loser. Sorry.
Posted by kingbob
Sorrento, LA
Member since Nov 2010
69400 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:48 pm to
I'm no expert, but my experience with ice cores showed me the same. If anything, it's a lagging indicator.
Posted by rooster108bm
Member since Nov 2010
3171 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 11:57 pm to
quote:

I'm no expert, but my experience with ice cores showed me the same. If anything, it's a lagging indicator.


Is there any proof that co2 levels drive temperature change? Or could temp change actually be accountable for the levels of co2?
Posted by EA6B
TX
Member since Dec 2012
14754 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 1:03 am to
quote:

How many peer-reviewed publications have been posted in this thread? I


Perhaps you should review some of the growing trend of articles concerning fraud in peer-reviewed articles.

LINK

"In August 2015, the publisher Springer retracted 64 articles from 10 different subscription journals “after editorial checks spotted fake email addresses, and subsequent internal investigations uncovered fabricated peer review reports,” according to a statement on their website.1 The retractions came only months after BioMed Central, an open-access publisher also owned by Springer, retracted 43 articles for the same reason.

“This is officially becoming a trend,” Alison McCook wrote on the blog Retraction Watch, referring to the increasing number of retractions due to fabricated peer reviews.2 Since it was first reported 3 years ago, when South Korean researcher Hyung-in Moon admitted to having invented e-mail addresses so that he could provide “peer reviews” of his own manuscripts, more than 250 articles have been retracted because of fake reviews — about 15% of the total number of retractions."
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
26295 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 1:22 am to
quote:

So global warming really starts with these two people: Al Gore and [former United Nations climate head Rajendra] Pachauri,



Yeah it wasn't a theory in the 1800's or anything. The frick is wrong with y'all? Thousands of scientists from every part of the globe agree on the same study and you would all downvote it, but put one guys article on here and it's the word of god? If you have questions ask a god damn professional or go to a natural history museum and talk to them, stop going to imright.com and memorizing bullshite to come here to your echo chamber.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 2:45 am to
Show me some global warming advocates who do not stand to make money off it.
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
26295 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 3:40 am to
The fact that the same people who believe in it are the ones trying to find ways to slow it down should be a pretty big heads up. Just this week German scientists have made leaps and bounds in a way for CO2 to be absorbed much faster than by algae. Why would they even do that? Why would studies come out BY THE SAME PEOPLE WHO ARE TELLING YOU ITS HAPPENING that say this particular month was colder? This is like asking to show you evolution theory advocates who don't stand to make money off the research. Show me some oil company deniers who wouldn't lose money if people started looking at the evidence and realizing it's a very real thing. I just attended a NOAA seminar in Hawaii for this, I cannot believe its political. frick al gore, frick the early theories, we're losing a Utah worth of sea ice each year, green house effects are real, and mean water levels are rising a cm each year.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94860 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 6:04 am to
quote:

How anyone can argue that the world is not getting warmer and a VASTLY increased rate compared to historical rates is beyond me.



Because it's a few tenths of a degree Celsius - it's cherrypicked datasets, and it compares apples to oranges.

And the Earth has heated/cooled in the past, completely as part of natural cycles, without CO2 being a suspect.

quote:

It is a very large problem,


So, a few tenths of a degree is a "very large problem" when natural seasonal differences in the 60/70 degree range are no big deal?
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
94860 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 6:08 am to
quote:

Show me some oil company deniers who wouldn't lose money if people started looking at the evidence and realizing it's a very real thing.


Some oil companies are co-opted, too. Shell, for example is almost (not quite) "all in" on AGW. Now, their crass motive is to kill coal, which is a competitor.

They're not children. They know there is no substitute for fossil fuels - not in 100 to 200 years, anyway. But, they think they'll be exempted once the coal industry is destroyed.
Posted by ChineseBandit58
Pearland, TX
Member since Aug 2005
48220 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 6:11 am to
quote:

How anyone can argue that the world is not getting warmer and a VASTLY increased rate compared to historical rates is beyond me.

This historical record goes all the way back to the last ice age. I am still waiting for someone to explain how to recover from an ice age without the earth warming. It may even overshoot a little before cycling back to another ice age. That is how stable systems work.
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
13407 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 6:32 am to
quote:

Perhaps you should review some of the growing trend of articles concerning fraud in peer-reviewed articles.


So because a small number of the tens of thousands of peer-reviewed publications put out every year are retracted (by other academic scientists doing their jobs), we're discrediting academic science as a whole and moving solely to uninformed sources that conveniently happen to fit our narrative? Got it.

This is the equivalent to someone getting a recall notice on their car and saying, see, I knew this whole automotive industry thing was bullshite.
Posted by Jodie
Member since Jun 2015
35 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 7:42 am to
Here is a link to a group of scientist and engineers who retired from NASA and started researching global warming.

Climate change research

This group came give a 2 hour lecture and presentation on climate change. They took the same data used by pro-climate change govt scientist, and one of the charts showed how the temperature falls and rises over hundreds of years dating back before we knew humans existed. Right now, we are on the verge of rising towards the peak where it starts to cool again. Political hoax!!!
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
13407 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 7:44 am to
quote:

Right now, we are on the verge of rising towards the peak where it starts to cool again.


You had me up until this point.
Posted by Godfather1
What WAS St George, Louisiana
Member since Oct 2006
87862 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 7:48 am to
quote:

34 downvotes and a single lame challenge.


Downvoted for whining about downvotes.
Posted by Jodie
Member since Jun 2015
35 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 7:50 am to
The graph shows the rise and falls from the past thousands of years. And every time the temperature peaked, it was almost the same every time before it started cooling again.
This post was edited on 11/18/16 at 7:51 am
Posted by AUbused
Member since Dec 2013
7827 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 7:56 am to
TIGHT!!!

I support this scientist instead of the other 95% because he reinforces my beliefs!
Posted by olddawg26
Member since Jan 2013
26295 posts
Posted on 11/18/16 at 7:58 am to
Oh yeah? Here's how I know you're full of shite. Because who on in hell would get retired "NASA" people who are obviously in the VAST minority among the spectrum of climate change researchers to come give a lecture to you? You would have had to wade through thousands upon thousands of scientists who would laugh at that preschool website you pointed me to. I also know you're full of shite because you, like all deniers, cannot do this simple test.

*if you truly think this is a hoax, put 1000$ against someone you know who thinks it isn't that 2016 and 2017 will be among the top 5 hottest years on record*

If this is when you say 'yea well they're fudging the data every year' then GO TO A frickING MUSEUM. Go look for yourself. This is the one issue that people on this board are being willfully ignorant about and are DEAD WRONG. It's being taught across the globe. And it's not "about to get cool again" you dolt. We're furiously pumping this shite into the air and you want to sit there and pretend it won't affect anything because you're too proud to admit maybe, just maybe the 99% are right about climate change.
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