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re: Nobel Winner to Obama on Global Warming: 'Mr. President, You're Wrong'

Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:38 pm to
Posted by Kashmir
Member since Dec 2014
9800 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:38 pm to
didnt bore gore say the polar caps would be melted by 2010?
Posted by philter
Member since Dec 2004
8967 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:39 pm to
quote:

How many times have we asked this of the global warming nuts?



It's irrelevant. The issue isn't what is the 'right' temperature, the issue is the temperature is rising an order of magnitude faster than ancient and recorded history.
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
35187 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:45 pm to
quote:

BobBoucher


Interesting link which gives needed perspective.

Looks like a smart, clever site as well!
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:48 pm to
I think Obama and those making similar arguments, are wrong in their level of certainty regarding (1) causation, (2) their prediction of the future climate, and (3) the effects of the future climate--especially the disproportionate focus on negative effects. These have been troubling themes for decades.

My problem is that the counter argument seems to have moved away from a healthy and justifiable skepticism to a similar level of certainty that the other side's arguments are completely wrong.

So now both sides have embraced an irrational level of certainty, and any reasonable middle-ground is drowned out.
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 9:51 pm
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18512 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:49 pm to
quote:

Interesting link which gives needed perspective.


24 dowvotes. First reply. Lol. Yeah, that really puts it in perspective for those who say "the climate has always changed". You can see it there, compared to the recent change.

I haven't looked at the rest of the site. I just thought the chart is really hard to dismiss, which is probably why I don't have any negative replies.
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 9:50 pm
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
13407 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:51 pm to
People just know that they're right. It doesn't matter how it happens or what the source.
Posted by philter
Member since Dec 2004
8967 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:52 pm to
quote:

So now both sides have embraced an irrational level of certainty, and any reasonable middle-ground is drowned out.



Absolutely. In general, humans tend to do this..and that is why we have the EXACT same situation regarding Left vs. Right. And that is why positive change is impossible in the current political environment. Hopefully we get some change, but I doubt it since we are a decaying civilization. All great civs have decayed from within, we are no different...just hope to extend it as long as possible.
Posted by BobABooey
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2004
15966 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:53 pm to
Why is the temperature variation in that graph based on the average temperature during the oddly specific date range between 1961 and 1990? Could it be because that produces the most dramatic results to support a conclusion that was made before testing? What a joke.




Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:55 pm to
quote:

How long ago was that you won a Nobel prize in physics? I am sure you are a better source of info about climate change but just want to get your resume before I just decide to believe you.
Clearly Giaevar should be better than most people in his ability to judge a complex topic like climate.

HOWEVER, the ridiculous "global warming consensus" argument is a logical fallacy (Appeal to Authority), so appealing to Giaevar's authority is also a fallacy.
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 9:56 pm
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18512 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:56 pm to
quote:

Why is the temperature variation in that graph based on the average temperature during the oddly specific date range between 1961 and 1990? Could it be because that produces the most dramatic results to support a conclusion that was made before testing? What a joke.


Not sure I follow. You're referring to the solid line versus the dotted line? My guess is that's from when it was measured compared to what can be deduced from geology (dotted line).
Posted by ManBearTiger
BRLA
Member since Jun 2007
22317 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 9:58 pm to
quote:

FYI, he won the Nobel in physics like 40+ years ago.




Has his breakthrough been discredited in that span?
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
13407 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:00 pm to
quote:

Has his breakthrough been discredited in that span?


Was his breakthrough in any way-shape-or-form even tangentially related to climate? I'll save you the trouble - no.
This post was edited on 11/17/16 at 10:01 pm
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:01 pm to
quote:

but I doubt it since we are a decaying civilization
Maybe this is correct, but there are too many great things about present day civilization for me to buy it.

That's not dismissing our problems, but I think we are in a unique place where we can see the problems immediately via the Internet, social media, 24 hour news. And since negative news sells--presumably because we must be more interested in it--we get an asymmetric view into the world.
Posted by ManBearTiger
BRLA
Member since Jun 2007
22317 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:02 pm to
quote:

he's going head-to-head (contrarily) with a huge number of other very, very bright folks whose careers depend on continued massive amounts of wasted tax dollars being dumped into the farcical realm of climate science;


Fify simp.
Posted by Stagg8
Houston
Member since Jan 2005
13407 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

Fify simp


And let me guess, we cured cancer years ago and are holding on to the cure, right?
Posted by Srbtiger06
Member since Apr 2006
29032 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:03 pm to
quote:

didnt bore gore say the polar caps would be melted by 2010?



I think this is part of the reason people don't believe it. There have been so many "HOLY shite. CLIMATE. ACID RAIN. NEXT ICE AGE. GLOBAL WARMING. MUST ACT NOWWWWWWWWWWW" moments that people are just numb to it. So many radical predictions, even if they're BS, have made headlines and not come to fruition. Especially when the solution seems to involve giving the government more money.
Posted by BobABooey
Parts Unknown
Member since Oct 2004
15966 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:04 pm to
So you're buying into a chart that supposedly tracks 1000's of years of temperature readings based on less than 30 years of actual readings? Come on.

Go back and look at the chart and get a better understanding of what it's saying.

Hysteria wrapped in the cloak of fake science is still hysteria.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:04 pm to
quote:

Has his breakthrough been discredited in that span?
This is really an irrelevant argumen, save for the fact that he has a unique ability to understand complex system that most of us don't posses.

That being said, the veracity of the message and the evidence used to support it, is all that truly matters.
Posted by buckeye_vol
Member since Jul 2014
35373 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

BobBoucher
quote:

BobABooey

Your names are making this argument much harder to follow than usual.
Posted by BobBoucher
Member since Jan 2008
18512 posts
Posted on 11/17/16 at 10:06 pm to
quote:

So you're buying into a chart that supposedly tracks 1000's of years of temperature readings based on less than 30 years of actual readings? Come on.


You're going to dispute geology and the fossile record? Scientists have been able to figure out past climate conditions by looking at what lived at the time and where. If you're disputing that, you're disputing an entire field of science that has been around a lot longer than the climate change theory.
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