re: Neverending Election 2022 Thread! Senate 50-49 D-R, House looking 222-213 R-D!

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Mass mail ins without an Election Day deadline and without an Election Day mail in ballot total is a steal. Want mail ins? Fine, but the total ballots mailed in should be accounted for by election night, even if they aren’t processed right away. Continuing to add to that number days after is irresponsible and suspicious at best.

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I bet they didn't clean the voter rolls for people who have moved out of state, died, gone to prison, are not a citizen, or have a phantom address that is off the wall.

Reposted here because my thread didn't get any views:

Republicans dominated "generic ballot" in House races

Polling actually wasn't wrong, from a national perspective. Republicans did almost as well as during the tea party "wave" in 2010, on a percentage basis.

From Breitbart:

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Republicans have won nearly six million more votes nationwide in races for the House of Representatives, but have flipped relatively few seats, suggesting talk of a “red wave” may have anticipated the overall mood of the country but not the final result of the election.

According to the Cook Political Report, as of Thursday morning, November 10, Republicans have won 50,113,534 votes, or 52.3% of the vote, compared to 44,251,768, or 46.2% of the vote. Republicans lead by 6.1%, which is better than their average in “generic congressional ballot” polls, in which the party led by 2.5% in the final RealClearPolitics average before the election.

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The mismatch between overall votes cast for Republicans and the actual result reflects the polarized nature of congressional maps. It also reflects the fact that Republican losses against many Democratic incumbents were very narrow. However, it could also suggest that Democrats ran a more effective campaign, concentrating resources where they were needed to defend their vulnerable positions.

In comparison, during the Tea Party “wave” election of 2010, in which Republicans won 63 seats, Republicans won 44,593,666 votes out of 86,784,957 cast, or 51.3%. Democrats won 38,854,459 votes, or 44.8%, meaning that the Republican margin of victory was 6.5%, similar to the margin thus far in 2022. However, the Republicans failed to win the Senate in that race, losing several key races.

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DDHQ calls Jahana Hayes (D) as winning reelection in CT-05 House race

By DDHQ's count... it's 210-192 GOP in the new House... GOP needs 8 more to officially gain the majority

GOP currently has a net of +7... which would be enough to switch the majority if no more races flip

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Polling actually wasn't wrong, from a national perspective. Republicans did almost as well as during the tea party "wave" in 2010, on a percentage basis.

From Breitbart:

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Republicans have won nearly six million more votes nationwide in races for the House of Representatives, but have flipped relatively few seats, suggesting talk of a “red wave” may have anticipated the overall mood of the country but not the final result of the election.

According to the Cook Political Report, as of Thursday morning, November 10, Republicans have won 50,113,534 votes, or 52.3% of the vote, compared to 44,251,768, or 46.2% of the vote. Republicans lead by 6.1%, which is better than their average in “generic congressional ballot” polls, in which the party led by 2.5% in the final RealClearPolitics average before the election.


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The mismatch between overall votes cast for Republicans and the actual result reflects the polarized nature of congressional maps. It also reflects the fact that Republican losses against many Democratic incumbents were very narrow. However, it could also suggest that Democrats ran a more effective campaign, concentrating resources where they were needed to defend their vulnerable positions.

In comparison, during the Tea Party “wave” election of 2010, in which Republicans won 63 seats, Republicans won 44,593,666 votes out of 86,784,957 cast, or 51.3%. Democrats won 38,854,459 votes, or 44.8%, meaning that the Republican margin of victory was 6.5%, similar to the margin thus far in 2022. However, the Republicans failed to win the Senate in that race, losing several key races.

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When the large votes still out in the West come in, you are looking at R+1 final. Which is inline with the competent polls. Unlike in previous election years, Republicans gerrymandered their seats to protect more of its members which this election that actually causes more Republican votes to be "wasted". In 2020 the close races broke almost all Republican, in 2022 the close races broke almost all Democrat.

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When the large votes still out in the West come in,

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If votes are still "coming in" 48 hours after an election, they aren't legitimate.

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If votes are still "coming in" 48 hours after an election, they aren't legitimate.

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Well the laws in those states would disagree. If you were looking at data from top people, you would have known that this wasn't a wave year and it was going to be basically neutral. It's not a surprise if you knew what to look at.

So in terms of the Senate, is the steal on in NV where the Republican leads or in AZ where the Democrat leads? I gotta keep my conspiracy theories straight.

In Nevada, they are still finding votes to count, in Arizona, all the votes are in, but they are taking forever to count them.

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There's nothing nefarious about that process.

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Except when the postmaster tells employees to backdate the ballots like what happened in 2020 when the FBI psychologically waterboarded the whistleblower in attempts to get him to change his testimony which was recorded and leaked by said whistleblower