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re: My hero Javier Milei releases lengthy statement on tariffs
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:26 pm to RogerTheShrubber
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:26 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
MAGA folks are not enjoying this thread very much, and are avoiding.
Yeah. The 70 upvotes to 15 downvotes on a heavily conservative board sure indicates that MAGA disagrees with Milei's position.

Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:33 pm to tide06
quote:
If a tariff would create more jobs domestically resulting in additional tax generation it could outweigh the relative increase to prices
First of all—and I post this here all the time—the jobs that will be created by bring more manufacturing back to America are not high paying jobs. The average factory worker makes $17 an hour here. The tax base addition from 10 million new $17 an hour jobs is going to be basically nothing. People making $17 an hour don't pay much in net federal income taxes.
If we weren't deficit spending and didn't have umpty-nine Trillion dollars in debt to pay down, maybe what you are saying would make sense based on collecting the tariff themselves. Because in that case we could theoretically lower taxes based on the additional revenue coming in from the tariffs.
But do any of the tariff numbers even come close to offsetting enough taxes to be able to do that with the situation we've got?
EDIT: Nevermind, I looked it up. According to the Tax Foundation, a universal 20% tariff would raise $3.3 Trillion over 10 years. But when you factor in the cost of the economy shrinking due to the tariffs, the net is only $2.8 Trillion, and that doesn't factor in the additional shrinking of the economy caused by retaliation (which we're already seeing).
It seems like the net effect isn't significant.
quote:
in the case of critical infrastructure like medicine or steel be justified as a national defense act.
If it really is something that impacts national security then tariffs are not the way to go about it. The government should simply contract directly with domestic companies to provide whatever it is that is considered essential for national security. No tariffs needed for that, and we're guaranteed a supply of whatever it is.
quote:
By replacing welfare takers with tax payers the impact is felt multiple times particularly if the money the worker spends is kept domestically rather than spent globally.
What makes you think people will suddenly abandon welfare for a $17 an hour job?
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:41 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
I see the MAGA folks are not enjoying this thread very much, and are avoiding.
What he said was not incompatible with MAGA. If you think it is you don’t understand what Trump is trying to do. Trump is using tariffs as a cudgel to rectify unfair practices that place Americans at a disadvantage. For example, making NATO countries pony up for defense. Also, forcing other countries to remove tariffs they are charging American companies.
Notice that as soon as a country makes a good faith effort to comply, Trump removes the tariffs.
There is one other category that is the exception. That is strategically important industries that we need to have domestically for national security reasons.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:42 pm to troyt37
quote:
The rub is where you find trading partners bending you over, making sure American producers can’t compete in their markets. Then something has to be done, or you are all complicit in the destruction of those American producers.
American producers are "destroyed" by not being able to compete equally in Canada and Mexico?
Seems like American whiskey producers, for example, were competing in Canada until someone decided to "do something" just recently.
Look, according to the International Trade Administration companies who export goods to other countries employed 10.2 million people, or roughly just under 7% of the American workforce.
100% of American consumers pay higher prices with us imposing tariffs.
You're causing 100% to pay more in order to protect 7%.
The math just doesn't work.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:48 pm to Penrod
quote:
Notice that as soon as a country makes a good faith effort to comply, Trump removes the tariffs.
Sure, and if it works, great. I'm all for no tariffs by anyone. Free trade.
But not every trading partner is Mexico. Most are going to be harder IMO to get to cave. Especially China, and that's the one that really matters.
Especially because while the US is a republic and elects a new POTUS every four years, China is a dictatorship. They know that the Trump tariffs will be temporary. They also don't care much what John Q. Chinaman thinks or feels, as the public can't vote Xi out.
So good luck with that. We'll see what happens.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:55 pm to wackatimesthree
quote:
American producers are "destroyed" by not being able to compete equally in Canada and Mexico?
Did I say Canada and Mexico? I did not, but they are among the worst offenders of using tariffs to force the USA to subsidize their government.
quote:
Seems like American whiskey producers, for example, were competing in Canada until someone decided to "do something" just recently.
That would be Castro Jr you are talking about. Instead of working to bring some fairness to their tariff schedule, they decided to have a trade war they have no possibility of winning.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 3:57 pm to wackatimesthree
quote:
Look, according to the International Trade Administration companies who export goods to other countries employed 10.2 million people, or roughly just under 7% of the American workforce. 100% of American consumers pay higher prices with us imposing tariffs. You're causing 100% to pay more in order to protect 7%.
List for me the top 5 items that are not or cannot be produced domestically. Nobody forces anyone to buy imported products.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 4:11 pm to wackatimesthree
quote:
the jobs that will be created by bring more manufacturing back to America are not high paying jobs. The average factory worker makes $17 an hour here. The tax base addition from 10 million new $17 an hour jobs is going to be basically nothing. People making $17 an hour don't pay much in net federal income taxes.
I want domestic wages to increase and a return to domestic production would accomplish that in terms of producing livable wage / taxable jobs.
My target would be south of what we saw in UAW era MI and north of the minimum wage type pay you outlined. $25-$28 would probably be solid for entry level.
All of your numbers related to net tariff balances assume that the nations impacted will sustain tariffs in a scenario where every day they lose money in doing so due to the trade imbalances involved
They can’t do it in most cases. Not China, not India. They will fail and prior to do so will seek to negotiate away from a tariff war they started decades ago. Once the tariffs are reduced or eliminated we have a massive economic boost regardless of the trade relationship during the war, which is still better than the one way tariff environment we are currently operating in.
quote:
If it really is something that impacts national security then tariffs are not the way to go about it. The government should simply contract directly with domestic companies to provide whatever it is that is considered essential for national security. No tariffs needed for that, and we're guaranteed a supply of whatever it is.
Disagree.
By slapping large tariffs on those items we can ensure domestic production without direct subsidy and have the market competition of the firms having to compete in a limited controlled way to ensure they don’t have uncapped profit margins.
quote:
What makes you think people will suddenly abandon welfare for a $17 an hour job?
They’re going to get paid more than $17/hr when the domestic production kicks in, but either way by cracking down on welfare and disability fraud their option will be $25/hr or actual poverty. Ending generational welfare isn’t a defect, it’s a feature. We just need to give them jobs to work when we pull the social programs back.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 4:13 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
I see the MAGA folks are not enjoying this thread very much, and are avoiding.
MAGA guy here and I love this thread. Know why? Because guys like you prove you have no idea how things really work.
In short, Argentina has much different problems than we do, and different solutions are needed. I'm not going to explain all this to you other than to tell you that you thought you had a snappy reply and its just dumb.
Have a good weekend!
Posted on 3/7/25 at 4:15 pm to tadman
quote:
In short, Argentina has much different problems than we do
If anything THEY have the fledgling industry that you think would need protecting, not us.
This is a gift to BitCorp.
Posted on 3/7/25 at 4:53 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
I see the MAGA folks are not enjoying this thread very much, and are avoiding
Hmmmmm. The article doesn't mention tariffs...
Posted on 3/7/25 at 5:41 pm to Chicken
quote:
exactly...why are other nations allowed to place tariffs on our exports and us not be able to reciprocate? The world has been taking advantage of us...I like how they are being called out.
Exactly.
If it’s a “trade war” to implement tariffs on these nations we’ve been in a one sided trade war for 30+ years with many of them.
It’s like they got so used to kicking us in the balls every year without any consequences that they can’t process a world in which America kicks back.
Their lack of self awareness is wild to watch.
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