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Massive youth voter swing to Democrats in 2026 compared to 2024.

Posted on 11/12/26 at 9:34 am
Posted by loogaroo
Welsh
Member since Dec 2005
44780 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 9:34 am
quote:

Democratic candidates enjoyed major victories across the country in the 2026 midterm elections, which handed the party control of the House and Senate. Key to those victories was renewed support among young voters, who gave Democrats a 35-point advantage: 66% voted for Democratic House candidates and 31% for Republicans. (While we use the national vote choice for the U.S. House of Representatives in this analysis, data suggest youth vote choice for U.S. Senate and for governor races was similar.)

This is based on a CIRCLE analysis of NORC Civic Health & Elections Project data as of November 6 at 9 a.m. ET. That data could shift very slightly in the coming days.

The strong preference for Democratic candidates is a return to form for young voters, who had given Democrats overwhelming support in recent election cycles until 2024. In that election cycle, some exit polls had youth supporting Democratic House candidates nationally by just 14 points and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris by 11 points. Other data had youth supporting Harris by an even smaller 4-point margin.

Behind the nearly 30-point preference for Democrats by youth in 2026 are major shifts among particular demographic groups compared to how those same groups voted for president in 2024. That does not necessarily mean those same young people changed their ideological views or party allegiance—it may also reflect which segments of youth turned out or stayed home in each election. Moreover, because the 2026 data is for youth vote choice in U.S. House elections and the 2024 data for choice of U.S. president, they are not perfectly comparable. However, the data still provides noteworthy insights on what happened with the youth vote in 2026.


quote:

Young Men Swing Back Toward Democrats In 2024, according to AP VoteCast data, 56% of young men voted for President Trump and 42% for Democratic nominee Kamala Harris: a 14-point preference for the Republican candidate. In 2026, young men swung back in the other direction: 59% supported a Democratic House candidate and 37% a Republican. Young men’s shift back toward Democratic candidates is largely due to the very different choices of young white and Latino men. In 2024, almost two-thirds of young white men voted for President Trump: 63% vs. 35% for Kamala Harris. In the 2026 midterms, young white men gave Democratic House candidates a double-digit advantage: 54% vs. 43%. The shift among young Latino men was even more dramatic. In 2024, they backed President Trump by a slim two-point margin: 49% vs. 47%. In 2026 they voted for Democratic House candidates by nearly 40 points: 65% vs. 28% for Republicans.

https://circle.tufts.edu/latest-research/youth-shifts-defined-2026-midterm-elections
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
1302 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 9:36 am to
Any white male, young or otherwise, is a fool for voting Democrat
This post was edited on 11/12/26 at 9:44 am
Posted by Figgy
CenCal
Member since May 2020
10824 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 9:56 am to
Told ya. But thanks for posting it. Independents also swung heavily against Trump. Can some of you stop with the excuse making now? It wasn’t just Iran. Or ICE. Or the economy. Or the cost of living. Or a feckless Congress. It was everything and it was more than people could tolerate. One positive to note is that the dems aren’t really popular per the polling. They benefited from not being Trump or the Republicans. So assuming they frick things up a lot of these voters could be up for grabs in ‘28.
Posted by el Gaucho
He/They
Member since Dec 2010
61669 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:04 am to
Republicans are especially mean to young white men, accusing them of being on welfare, bringing in h1bs to take entry level jobs, telling them to get a different protein etc
Posted by j1897
Member since Nov 2011
5330 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:05 am to
WTF have the republicans done for young white males?


Name one thing.
Posted by Tigersforthee
Member since Dec 2025
1302 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:16 am to
Lap up your victimhood mentality. The left will gladly take your vote so they can import 50 million more illegals and raise your taxes while you whine about mean old Republicans not giving you free stuff. Grow up weakling.
Posted by lsusteve1
Member since Dec 2004
49732 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:17 am to
Galvanized mentally ill liberal voting bloc
Posted by VOR
New Orleans
Member since Apr 2009
70191 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:20 am to
I’m a white male, and I’ve done fine when voting for a Democrat…
Posted by JohnnyMackBrown
Member since Nov 2026
226 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:21 am to
quote:

WTF have the republicans done for young white males? Name one thing.


Well Sarah Huckabee Sanders made a political ad chastising them for being on welfare and playing video games.
Posted by Friscodog
Ruston, LA. (Formerly Frisco TX)
Member since Jul 2009
5335 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:23 am to
Charlie Kiek was a huge force for the Republicans with young voters. His loss created a huge hole in this demographic.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
102341 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:24 am to
Nickers Fuentes did his job for the Dems along with that bs online affordability campaign Van spoke about

Lots of clowns on here fell for it
Posted by mb6355
Member since Apr 2020
284 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:25 am to
No longer will you be rewarded for not executing on your campaign promises. The younger generations have no loyalty to this D & R BS and no one else should either. Look at what the "conservative" Abbot did to Texas during his terms. Open borders, H1-Bs, mosques, massive property tax increases. Fire them if they do not execute.
Posted by Fat Bastard
alter hunter
Member since Mar 2009
96031 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:26 am to
quote:

I’m a white male, and I’ve done fine when voting for a Democrat…


any white male voting for dem policies is a dumbass unless u live on welfare or are a commie.

do we really need to go through all the things you fools voted for again?
Posted by JohnnyMackBrown
Member since Nov 2026
226 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:26 am to
quote:

Lap up your victimhood mentality. The left will gladly take your vote so they can import 50 million more illegals and raise your taxes while you whine about mean old Republicans not giving you free stuff. Grow up weakling.


Boomers are the soft whiney babies. Cant even lose an election without throwing a tantrum. Young men have a plan to take back the GOP and win. It just doesnt involve you olds
Posted by JohnnyMackBrown
Member since Nov 2026
226 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:30 am to
A boomer has a gun with one bullet and is faced with one invader and one traitor...who does he shoot?














....neither, he turns around and shoots his grandchild
Posted by CaptEasy
Panama City Beach
Member since Feb 2018
758 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:33 am to
Shocker.

Young people are not the wisest.

Although they truly believe they are.

Nothing beats experience.
Posted by junkyarddawg3
Metro ATL
Member since Nov 2015
2460 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:34 am to
quote:

One positive to note is that the dems aren’t really popular per the polling.


Both parties need to do better.
Posted by JohnnyMackBrown
Member since Nov 2026
226 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Shocker. Young people are not the wisest. Although they truly believe they are. Nothing beats experience.


Yeah because the old people now have such a great track record.

Its like a team being down 60 points and the starters crying that if they are taken out, well go down 80 points
Posted by TooFyeToFly
Athens, GA
Member since Nov 2012
2501 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:45 am to
quote:

Both parties need to do better.


This.

Vote them all out.
Posted by 1801
Charleston
Member since Aug 2012
9402 posts
Posted on 11/12/26 at 10:46 am to
quote:

I’m a white male, and I’ve done fine when voting for a Democrat…
your avatar says it all while voting for anti-Republic candidates -

quote:

get up
survive
go back to bed

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