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LSURussian and Others: Situation in Ukraine...

Posted on 2/25/14 at 9:50 pm
Posted by FT
REDACTED
Member since Oct 2003
26925 posts
Posted on 2/25/14 at 9:50 pm
Can some of you with more knowledge on the region help fill me in on the basics or link me to some reputable sources?
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 2/25/14 at 10:05 pm to
Ukraine was on its way towards further integration with Europe, which many viewed as a giant leap towards a more modernized economy and stable political structure.

Last November, the Ukrainian President unilaterally decided to instead strengthen ties with Russia.

Meanwhile, he's also been robbing taxpayers to grossly enrich himself.

Ukrainians had enough and began to revolt.

Cops began getting violent, which only served to strengthen the resolve of the revolutionaries, eventually leading to the former President's being removed from office.

LINK
This post was edited on 2/25/14 at 10:16 pm
Posted by davesdawgs
Georgia - Class of '75
Member since Oct 2008
20307 posts
Posted on 2/25/14 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

Last November, the Ukrainian President unilaterally decided to instead strengthen ties with Russia.


Translation: Viktor Yanukovych got paid and/or coerced by Russia into fricking the Ukrainian people.
Posted by RedStickBR
Member since Sep 2009
14577 posts
Posted on 2/25/14 at 10:38 pm to
Essentially. It's not unlike the situation in Bosnia, where gross political corruption is enriching crooked politicians overnight. All of these grey countries will eventually need to pick between east and west.
Posted by John McClane
Member since Apr 2010
37180 posts
Posted on 2/25/14 at 10:49 pm to
Wow, great post
Posted by FT
REDACTED
Member since Oct 2003
26925 posts
Posted on 2/25/14 at 11:26 pm to
quote:

RedStickBR


Thanks!
Posted by Lima Whiskey
Member since Apr 2013
22594 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 1:20 am to
The current instability is driven by economic factors, the failure of the political class, and longstanding cultural divides within Ukraine.

Ukraine is in dire economic straights, the government is nearly bankrupt and it's facing several debt payment over the next year that it can not afford to make. Kiev approached the EU in the hope that Brussels would bail them out, but the resulting trade agreement fell well short of their requirements. They needed direct cash infusions that the EU was unwilling or incapable of providing. That explains why Kiev turned back to Moscow. Moscow in turn is worried about an economic collapse in Ukraine. The Russian economy is slowing and many worry that a downturn in Ukraine could spread.

Culture is critical as well. Ukraine was once part of Russia, but it spent centuries under foreign domination. The Polish-Lithuanian Kingdom seized much of Ukraine, converting the natives to Catholicism as they did. Ukrainian nationalism is rooted in this split. On one side is the former Polish territory which is Catholic, and on the other you have the still Orthodox region which was never part of the Polish Kingdom. The popularity of Maidan neatly overlays the lines of the old Polish state.

Making matters worse, you have Crimea a former Russian province that was gifted to Ukraine in 1954 by Nikita Khrushchev. Crimea remains very Russian, and it's the home of Russia's Black Sea Fleet. The residents of Crimea have little interest in being Ukrainian.

Unfortunately for all sides, the Ukrainian state has never been able to reconcile the long-standing cultural cleavages between each region.

The political leadership has been awful as well. For the past twenty years Ukraine has been ruled by a venal group of oligarchs bent on enriching themselves at the expense of their country. They appear to have little interest in building anything. Some of these oligarchs favor closer ties with Russia, others with the West. They'll go where the money is.

-

A couple of closers.

Viktor Yanukovych isn't Moscow's man. He's spent the last few years trying to play Moscow and Brussels off each other. Apparently Putin despises him.

Yulia Tymoshenko is very charismatic and she was a powerful politician. Prison seems to have weakened her though, she does not look or sound like the women she was. That's unfortunate because she's one of the few people that could bring stability to Ukraine.
Posted by FT
REDACTED
Member since Oct 2003
26925 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 1:38 am to
Someone disliked this post.

How awesome is that?
Posted by CarrolltonTiger
New Orleans
Member since Aug 2005
50291 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:04 am to
quote:

How awesome is that?



The opposition to knowledge is strong here.
Posted by Placebeaux
Bobby Fischer Fan Club President
Member since Jun 2008
51852 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:23 am to
For years Ukraine has been the corridor through which Russia sold its natural gas to Europe. Since the Soviet Union collapse Ukraine has amounted a huge debt to Russia for gas it hasn't paid for. The IMF and Russia are competing to buy the debt because if you own the debt you own the country. So It's basically a power struggle between the IMF/EU and Russia for Ukraine with human rights and democracy as the excuse. Russia has countered the EU in this chess match by forming a coalition with other countries and building a new south stream pipeline that bypasses Ukraine and other EU controlled countries. Many of the political players in Ukraine have ties to either banking (yuskenkco) and gas (yulia whatshername).
Posted by Phideaux
Cades Cove
Member since May 2008
2631 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:36 am to
What does Ukraine offer Russia that it would go to war over its loss? Is it land mass and river access from Black Sea to Europe? Right now you find more articles on the ethnic areas as being the reason Russia will go to war, to protect those in Crimea and SE areas of Ukraine that identify more Russian. Also understand this is more spin that the country is broken in ethnic areas as part of propaganda to make Russia look like its doing a favor.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139041 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:45 am to
quote:

Can some of you with more knowledge on the region help fill me in on the basics or link me to some reputable sources?

With the fall of the Soviet Union, 2 economically similar countries chose different paths.



Decisions have consequences.
Posted by Placebeaux
Bobby Fischer Fan Club President
Member since Jun 2008
51852 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:46 am to
Yeah most media focuses on the social aspects of these struggles but I always say follow the money. If you control Ukraine you control access to billions in natural resources. Russia also sees Ukraine as a buffer state
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139041 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:48 am to
quote:

Also understand this is more spin that the country is broken in ethnic areas as part of propaganda to make Russia look like its doing a favor.
Posted by Zahrim
McCamey Texas
Member since Mar 2009
8156 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:51 am to
quote:

What does Ukraine offer Russia that it would go to war over its loss?


Uranium and lots of it.

It has been the primary feeder to their nuclear needs.
Posted by Phideaux
Cades Cove
Member since May 2008
2631 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:55 am to
there are articles I read recently stating while areas speak Russian and identify as Russian its not a "tribal" view, they rather unify under Ukraine. Russia will say they need to protect those people from the dissidents that overthrew the government. I know Crimea is a different story
Posted by Phideaux
Cades Cove
Member since May 2008
2631 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 5:57 am to
Okay now that makes sense
Posted by CITWTT
baton rouge
Member since Sep 2005
31765 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 6:07 am to
One little thing that is not known by many is that the original capital of Russia was the city Kiev and the country called Kievan Rus. Although it has not been true for a few centuries sometimes the cultural boundaries stay rooted in peoples minds and still hold a certain amount of sway with them. The best example of that is what occurred with the crumbling of Yugoslavia after the death of Tito it took shape as separate parts aligned by the dominant religion of a region. Croats were the land of Catholics, Serbia was that of ethnic Eastern Orthodoxy, Monte Negro was that of Muslims descended from people that had been converted over time from Ottoman Turks. The war in the region was more like another stage of the Crusades.
Posted by NC_Tigah
Make Orwell Fiction Again
Member since Sep 2003
139041 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 6:09 am to
quote:

there are articles I read recently stating while areas speak Russian and identify as Russian its not a "tribal" view
Excellent insight from LSURussian on this.
quote:

I've worked in Ukraine, from Odessa on the Black Sea which is heavily ethnic Russian, to Kiev which is about 50/50 Russian/Ukrainian and all the way to western Ukraine in Lviv, which is mostly ethnic Ukrainians and Poles.

So I speak from some experience working alongside and with the various ethnic groups there not from just reading a history book.

I speak Russian but not Ukrainian so when I was in Lviv, I had to be careful not to speak Russian. I forgot a couple of times and when I said a Russian word, I got some stern looks from the locals. I would apologize and they would forgive me and we'd move on.

On the other hand, when I worked in Odessa I spoke Russian with the locals. Most of them didn't know how to speak Ukrainian.

It's a bi-polar, schizophrenic country.

LINK
Posted by Reubaltaich
A nation under duress
Member since Jun 2006
5548 posts
Posted on 2/26/14 at 6:32 am to
Think of pipelines running through Ukraine into Europe, the Ruskies supply the Euros with lots of fuel. Its a huge cash cow for the Ruskies.

Think of the Naval Black Sea port in Crimea. This is a warm water port for the Ruskie Navy.

pootie is a kgb thug doing the dirty work for the russian mafia.

That is all.
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