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re: Latest Updates: Russia-Ukraine Conflict.

Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:55 pm to
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15688 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:55 pm to
At least two Baltic States are very vulnerable. Orban would welcome them
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15688 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 7:55 pm to
Beware, you Yankee scum!!!

Our weapon of retribution, the heavy aircraft carrier Admiral Bubentsov is already on its way to kill you!!!

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This post was edited on 1/7/26 at 8:13 pm
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 8:16 pm to
quote:

All the paper tiger talk, the ineptitude, incompetence and inability to fight and defeat a neighbor with which they share a border, and they will advance westward when?

I mean come on...let's step back into reality for a bit here.


Look, you're talking reality. Russians don't live in that world. Willpower makes might in their minds..
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 9:21 pm to
I mean.. is Russia better off in any way today than before they invaded Ukraine? In any way?

Why do they persist? The belief that their will is stronger than the West, and that they will prevail if they just hang in there indefinitely.

We get told constantly in this thread "Look, the Russians will stop at NOTHING to get what they want... except right at the border of the Baltic States."
Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 11:40 pm to
This war has gone on so long, I can remember when we were told any help to Ukraine would result in a nuclear exchange by certain fearful posters, who used that as reason to let Russia take Ukraine.

Now, this gets no comment... I think I even see some of those same accounts cheerleading it all!

Posted by Lee B
Member since Dec 2018
3946 posts
Posted on 1/7/26 at 11:42 pm to
But needless to say, Russia has no cards at the moment...

So the pressure will ramp up on the them to stop in Ukraine, right?
Posted by GOP_Tiger
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
20970 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 4:42 am to
Maybe the pressure will indeed increase. We'll see.

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What we can say is that MAGA no longer includes Tucker, MTG, and several other of the loudest pro-Russian voices it used to have. Rubio's influence is obviously much stronger now.

Vol likes to talk about trends. This one is bad for Russia.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
28563 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 5:15 am to
quote:

But needless to say, Russia has no cards at the moment... So the pressure will ramp up on the them to stop in Ukraine, right?

Now is a good time for Trump to push Putin.

Since the election it’s been clear that Trump’s large power play is to exploit Russia’s diminished position. Russia today, after years of war, is much weaker than it was in Trump’s first term. Despite that, Trump has continued to treat Russia as a power equal. It has at times looked like Trump was manipulated by Putin.

Maybe Trump is finally realizing that there is an opportunity to project American power to diminish Russian ambitions. That would serve American interests and improve European security.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 6:03 am to
quote:

But needless to say, Russia has no cards at the moment...

So the pressure will ramp up on the them to stop in Ukraine, right?


What you're saying is largely accurate, and yet Russia to this point hasn't even pretended to be interested in peace. I don't believe they are just complete morons who will destroy themselves trying to take land. I also don't believe the "Putin is backed into a corner, he knows they will fail but can't quit" narrative. If that were the case they would stop any attempts to advance and switch to a holding pattern to increase their longevity as much as possible.
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15688 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 7:01 am to
quote:

Since the election it’s been clear that Trump’s large power play is to exploit Russia’s diminished position. Russia today, after years of war, is much weaker than it was in Trump’s first term. Despite that, Trump has continued to treat Russia as a power equal. It has at times looked like Trump was manipulated by Putin.


Considering that it took since Spring to plan and rehearse the Maduro extraction, numb nuts were thinking that Trump was all about Putin. Reality is that he was playing GEOPOLITICS all along, but not rushing in. We already knew that Ukraine could hold Russia.
Posted by Auburn1968
NYC
Member since Mar 2019
26471 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 10:31 am to
US ‘Growler’ signal-jamming jets scrambled Venezuela’s defenses during Maduro capture: report

Says they are popular in Ukraine too.

Read where they jam the radar causing the operators to crank up the output which in turn lights them up as easy targets.

https://nypost.com/2026/01/07/world-news/us-growler-signal-jamming-jets-scrambled-venezuelas-defenses-during-maduro-capture-report/
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4336 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 12:26 pm to
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quote:

Another tanker from Russia's shadow fleet was attacked off the coast of Turkey On January 7, a drone attacked the oil tanker ELBUS in the Black Sea, 30 miles off the coast of Turkey (Kastamonu province). The ship, flying the flag of Palau, was heading to the Russian port of Novorossiysk to load oil. As a result of the attack, the upper part of the tanker was damaged, according to the Ortadogu newspaper.

The monitoring group "Crimean Wind", by analyzing the ship's track, determined that the attack occurred yesterday between 08:57 and 11:18 GMT. Currently, the tanker is at anchor in the Turkish port of Inebolu.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4336 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 12:32 pm to
By the way... have we heard anything about what the 'Bella 1 / Marinera' was carrying? No...?

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quote:

“We can even smuggle nuclear weapons”: officers of the 291st regiment of the Russian Armed Forces and “Vostok-Akhmat” have set up an arms smuggling operation through Crimea.

Ukrainian hackers from the Group 256 Cyber Assault Division, in cooperation with InformNapalm, conducted a CYBINT operation.

The facts about the supply chains of smuggled weapons from the combat zone to temporarily occupied Crimea have been exposed. In turn, the peninsula serves as a hub for the further transportation of weapons to the "black markets" in Russian regions, as well as to Europe, West Asia, and Africa, by involving tankers of the Russian "shadow fleet".

During the operation, the accounts of Russian officers were hacked, including Major Yevgeny Dmitriev – the platoon commander of the Russian assault company "Storm V" of the 291st Guards Motor Rifle Regiment (42nd Motor Rifle Division, 58th Combined Arms Army), which is currently operating on the Zaporizhia direction. The facts of cooperation between Russian officers and representatives of the Kadyrov's battalion "Vostok-Akhmat" in the field of illegal arms sales have been exposed.
Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2299 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

I don't believe they are just complete morons who will destroy themselves trying to take land.


Okay, but as you say, the trend for over three years now has been exactly that - kill your own people in an attempt to take a few feet of land a day.

quote:

I also don't believe the "Putin is backed into a corner, he knows they will fail but can't quit" narrative. If that were the case they would stop any attempts to advance and switch to a holding pattern to increase their longevity as much as possible.


I don't think that's possible at this point. The way the Russians bring soldiers in and just throw them at the lines without training means that they aren't prepared to just hold the line - that takes training, coordination, leadership, and a bunch of other things they clearly don't have.

The only real options the Russians have at this point is to just keep throwing bodies at that line. If and when they stop doing that the Ukrainians might be in a position to maneuver on them.
Posted by doubleb
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2006
42610 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

quote:I don't believe they are just complete morons who will destroy themselves trying to take land.

Okay, but as you say, the trend for over three years now has been exactly that - kill your own people in an attempt to take a few feet of land a day.


World War I
Lasted four years three months and about two weeks. History shows that a nation or nations will act like morons trying to take land.

Governments, nations and empires were destroyed. Millions died.
Posted by Coeur du Tigre
It was just outside of Barstow...
Member since Nov 2008
4336 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 1:53 pm to
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quote:

Iraq is moving to nationalise operations at its massive West Qurna-2 oilfield after U.S. sanctions forced Russian oil giant Lukoil to declare force majeure. With Lukoil holding a 75% stake, Baghdad has tasked the state-run Basra Oil Company with taking over for the next 12 months, keeping output steady at around 465,000 to 480,000 barrels per day.

The move is aimed at avoiding supply disruptions while Iraq shops for new investors to replace the sanctioned Russian firm.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 2:58 pm to
quote:

Okay, but as you say, the trend for over three years now has been exactly that - kill your own people in an attempt to take a few feet of land a day.


There is a difference between attritional warfare where your losses hurt less than your opponents, and attritional warfare until the point of completely collapse.

quote:

that takes training, coordination, leadership, and a bunch of other things they clearly don't have.


Ukraine struggles in at least a few if not all of those areas and are holding pretty well
Posted by CitizenK
BR
Member since Aug 2019
15688 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 3:05 pm to
quote:

Ukraine struggles in at least a few if not all of those areas and are holding pretty well


That could be a quote from Douglas MacGregor in 2003 in an interview with Tucker when he said that the front was about to collapse and Russia was about to take all of the land east of the Dnipro.
Posted by VolSquatch
First Coast
Member since Sep 2023
8364 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 3:09 pm to
quote:

That could be a quote from Douglas MacGregor in 2003 in an interview with Tucker when he said that the front was about to collapse and Russia was about to take all of the land east of the Dnipro.


So your disagree that Ukraine has a training problem? They are saying themselves that they are having to speed up the training process to get people to the front.

That is, when people aren't going AWOL. 80% of AWOL cases are occuring at the training centers.
Posted by Leopold
Columbia
Member since Sep 2013
2299 posts
Posted on 1/8/26 at 3:54 pm to
quote:

There is a difference between attritional warfare where your losses hurt less than your opponents, and attritional warfare until the point of completely collapse.
'

NO THERE ISN'T. THE POINT OF ATTRITIONAL WARFARE IS TO MAKE YOUR OPPONENT COLLAPSE BECAUSE THEIR LOSSES HURT MORE THAN YOURS DOES. THESE TWO THINGS ARE TIED AT THE HIP.

quote:

Ukraine struggles in at least a few if not all of those areas and are holding pretty well


Not when compared to their opponent. Ukraine trains their soldiers infinitely better than the Russians, and apparently now is rejecting NATO training because it's fallen behind in drone warfare. Their coordination between branches seems to be excellent; not only was the leader able go to the front lines multiple times, operation Spiderweb seemed to integrate logistics, intelligence, drone warfare, and elements of transportation into a successful sneak attack. Their leadership seems to have done a great job, and if someone gets fired it's because their leaders realize he's incompetent and they need to get rid of them.

So, yeah, it's not close. Ukraine has outclassed the Russians in every possible way.
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