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Kevin “Vote-stradamus” McCullough explains on radio program why Trump will win landslide
Posted on 10/8/20 at 4:52 pm
Posted on 10/8/20 at 4:52 pm
He was correct that Obama would beat Romney
His electoral map in 2016 was only a half point off (district in Maine)
Has Trump getting 331 electoral votes as of right now. Starts at 18:55 LINK
He says Trump insiders have told him the polls in the media aren’t even close.
His electoral map in 2016 was only a half point off (district in Maine)
Has Trump getting 331 electoral votes as of right now. Starts at 18:55 LINK
He says Trump insiders have told him the polls in the media aren’t even close.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 4:59 pm
21
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:38 pm to FlexDawg
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:42 pm to FlexDawg
Map makes sense to me
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:44 pm to FlexDawg
I don't see Trump winning all of WI, MI, and MN. I think he'll take one or two of the three, but not all.
I don't see how he wins NM.
I don't see how he wins NM.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:46 pm to FlexDawg
I don't think Trump take NM ,but that is about right.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:47 pm to FlexDawg
Don't get overconfident... go out and vote, make sure all your Trump loving relatives and friends go vote, and just as importantly, make sure your dead relatives don't vote.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:47 pm to TigersSEC2010
If he wins NM, it means he is doing very well with Hispanics IMHO.
He isn’t winning the native population there but it has traditionally been close. Shaving a few points off the Hispanic bloc may be enough.
He isn’t winning the native population there but it has traditionally been close. Shaving a few points off the Hispanic bloc may be enough.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:49 pm to FlexDawg
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:53 pm to FlexDawg
quote:
He says Trump insiders have told him the polls in the media aren’t even close.
So ALL the public polls are wrong. Ok....sure
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:56 pm to StopRobot
quote:
So ALL the public polls are wrong. Ok....sure
Not accidentally. Purposefully.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:56 pm to StopRobot
quote:
ALL the public polls are wrong
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:57 pm to FlexDawg
the polls in the media do what they did with Biden's townhalls. Use dems & neverTrumpers only.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:58 pm to FlexDawg
This guy is either going to look like the smartest person in the metaphorical room or get a lot of egg on his face. Hopefully the first.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:58 pm to FlexDawg
Rasmussen has me concerned with Trump, but other than that he’s saying everything I’ve been seeing and hearing. With the rallies and crowd sizes and base and not knowing a single person who voted for Trump in 2016 who is going to vote for Biden but dozens of Hillary and non-voters voting this time around, it doesn’t add up. While I’m cautious and think his enablers that would literally blow him and/or let him frick their wives, my brain still tells me he’s winning. I’d put it at a 51/49 chance with Trump being favored, but if what my brain is telling me is correct, then he’s going to landslide and possibly take Oregon and Colorado.
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 7:24 pm
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:59 pm to Honkus
and they were right. Hillary got 48% of the vote and Trump 46%
Posted on 10/8/20 at 5:59 pm to FlexDawg
Daddy likey
Posted on 10/8/20 at 6:00 pm to Honkus
Those margins were actually pretty dead on - but only because their 6% to 8% error in NY and CA (understating Clinton) offset their 6% to 10% errors in all the swing states (Understating Trump)
This post was edited on 10/8/20 at 6:05 pm
Posted on 10/8/20 at 6:01 pm to OMLandshark
quote:
not knowing a single person who voted for Trump in 2016 who is going to vote for Biden but dozens of Hillary and non-voters voting this time around, it doesn’t add up.
Its like the old story of the New York Times columnist who said in 1972, "How did Nixon win? I dont know a single person who voted for him" If youre counting on Trump's base he is going to lose badly.
Posted on 10/8/20 at 6:03 pm to StopRobot
Yah but it was a fluke - broken clock is right twice a day kind of thing. See my previous post for details
Posted on 10/8/20 at 6:03 pm to SirWinston
quote:
Those margins were actually pretty dead on - but only because their 6% error in NY and CA (understating Clinton) offset their 6% errors in all the swing states (Understating Trump)
All of the swing state polls were right except Wisconsin. The problem is that people do not understand what a margin of error is in a poll and think because a poll shows Clinton winning PA by 2% and Trump actually wins by .7% that the poll was wrong.
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